Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 721 | 0 | 73 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 11100 | 11816.9860886561 | 1447.34449485243 | 8935.66941649144 | 716.986088656138 |
2 | 8962 | 8731.50941337677 | 284.071591325289 | 8908.41899529794 | -230.490586623229 |
3 | 9173 | 8695.6991313018 | 769.132294593755 | 8881.16857410444 | -477.300868698199 |
4 | 8738 | 8676.3272773875 | -55.0597784909588 | 8854.73250110346 | -61.672722612504 |
5 | 8459 | 8435.2882864028 | -345.584714505278 | 8828.29642810248 | -23.7117135972057 |
6 | 8078 | 7943.1945433327 | -589.472675079017 | 8802.27813174632 | -134.805456667304 |
7 | 8411 | 8404.26758587416 | -358.527421264319 | 8776.25983539016 | -6.73241412583957 |
8 | 8291 | 8497.53331922379 | -671.353948335966 | 8755.82062911218 | 206.533319223790 |
9 | 7810 | 7711.29893320712 | -826.680356041308 | 8735.38142283419 | -98.7010667928807 |
10 | 8616 | 8701.19948708108 | -208.228335029823 | 8739.02884794875 | 85.1994870810759 |
11 | 8312 | 8130.10013961025 | -248.776412673561 | 8742.6762730633 | -181.899860389745 |
12 | 9692 | 9828.19067548415 | 803.13510824265 | 8752.6742162732 | 136.190675484149 |
13 | 9911 | 9611.98334566448 | 1447.34449485243 | 8762.6721594831 | -299.016654335521 |
14 | 8915 | 8764.476579926 | 284.071591325289 | 8781.45182874871 | -150.523420074001 |
15 | 9452 | 9334.63620739191 | 769.132294593755 | 8800.23149801433 | -117.363792608086 |
16 | 9112 | 9449.61795267224 | -55.0597784909588 | 8829.44182581871 | 337.617952672244 |
17 | 8472 | 8430.93256088218 | -345.584714505278 | 8858.6521536231 | -41.0674391178218 |
18 | 8230 | 8158.86709498972 | -589.472675079017 | 8890.6055800893 | -71.1329050102831 |
19 | 8384 | 8203.96841470882 | -358.527421264319 | 8922.5590065555 | -180.031585291183 |
20 | 8625 | 9001.39068284571 | -671.353948335966 | 8919.96326549025 | 376.390682845715 |
21 | 8221 | 8351.31283161631 | -826.680356041308 | 8917.367524425 | 130.312831616309 |
22 | 8649 | 8627.79869872992 | -208.228335029823 | 8878.4296362999 | -21.2013012700809 |
23 | 8625 | 8659.28466449875 | -248.776412673561 | 8839.4917481748 | 34.2846644987530 |
24 | 10443 | 11291.6440143809 | 803.13510824265 | 8791.22087737646 | 848.64401438089 |
25 | 10357 | 10523.7054985695 | 1447.34449485243 | 8742.95000657811 | 166.705498569461 |
26 | 8586 | 8193.88362338514 | 284.071591325289 | 8694.04478528957 | -392.116376614864 |
27 | 8892 | 8369.72814140521 | 769.132294593755 | 8645.13956400103 | -522.271858594789 |
28 | 8329 | 8113.27433248527 | -55.0597784909588 | 8599.78544600569 | -215.725667514729 |
29 | 8101 | 7993.15338649494 | -345.584714505278 | 8554.43132801034 | -107.846613505064 |
30 | 7922 | 7899.71119245662 | -589.472675079017 | 8533.7614826224 | -22.2888075433839 |
31 | 8120 | 8085.43578402986 | -358.527421264319 | 8513.09163723446 | -34.5642159701401 |
32 | 7838 | 7800.29719444345 | -671.353948335966 | 8547.05675389252 | -37.7028055565515 |
33 | 7735 | 7715.65848549073 | -826.680356041308 | 8581.02187055058 | -19.3415145092677 |
34 | 8406 | 8389.50066307947 | -208.228335029823 | 8630.72767195035 | -16.4993369205313 |
35 | 8209 | 7986.34293932343 | -248.776412673561 | 8680.43347335013 | -222.657060676571 |
36 | 9451 | 9402.86613187513 | 803.13510824265 | 8695.99875988222 | -48.1338681248653 |
37 | 10041 | 9923.09145873328 | 1447.34449485243 | 8711.5640464143 | -117.908541266725 |
38 | 9411 | 9841.00068016598 | 284.071591325289 | 8696.92772850873 | 430.00068016598 |
39 | 10405 | 11358.5762948031 | 769.132294593755 | 8682.29141060316 | 953.57629480308 |
40 | 8467 | 8331.84187237878 | -55.0597784909588 | 8657.21790611218 | -135.158127621216 |
41 | 8464 | 8641.4403128841 | -345.584714505278 | 8632.14440162118 | 177.440312884093 |
42 | 8102 | 8199.13349637121 | -589.472675079017 | 8594.3391787078 | 97.1334963712125 |
43 | 7627 | 7055.9934654699 | -358.527421264319 | 8556.53395579443 | -571.006534530106 |
44 | 7513 | 7189.33860874268 | -671.353948335966 | 8508.01533959328 | -323.661391257317 |
45 | 7510 | 7387.18363264917 | -826.680356041308 | 8459.49672339214 | -122.816367350832 |
46 | 8291 | 8356.2841814953 | -208.228335029823 | 8433.94415353453 | 65.2841814952935 |
47 | 8064 | 7968.38482899664 | -248.776412673561 | 8408.39158367692 | -95.6151710033573 |
48 | 9383 | 9530.76071461756 | 803.13510824265 | 8432.10417713979 | 147.760714617560 |
49 | 9706 | 9508.8387345449 | 1447.34449485243 | 8455.81677060266 | -197.161265455088 |
50 | 8579 | 8383.37531805971 | 284.071591325289 | 8490.553090615 | -195.624681940288 |
51 | 9474 | 9653.57829477891 | 769.132294593755 | 8525.28941062733 | 179.578294778910 |
52 | 8318 | 8160.13135574045 | -55.0597784909588 | 8530.92842275051 | -157.868644259554 |
53 | 8213 | 8235.01727963159 | -345.584714505278 | 8536.56743487369 | 22.0172796315856 |
54 | 8059 | 8188.03101795137 | -589.472675079017 | 8519.44165712765 | 129.031017951365 |
55 | 9111 | 10078.2115418827 | -358.527421264319 | 8502.31587938161 | 967.211541882705 |
56 | 7708 | 7601.57755757025 | -671.353948335966 | 8485.77639076571 | -106.422442429748 |
57 | 7680 | 7717.4434538915 | -826.680356041308 | 8469.23690214981 | 37.4434538914957 |
58 | 8014 | 7789.96194172784 | -208.228335029823 | 8446.26639330198 | -224.038058272155 |
59 | 8007 | 7839.48052821942 | -248.776412673561 | 8423.29588445414 | -167.519471780583 |
60 | 8718 | 8242.8706521394 | 803.13510824265 | 8389.99423961795 | -475.129347860604 |
61 | 9486 | 9167.9629103658 | 1447.34449485243 | 8356.69259478177 | -318.037089634194 |
62 | 9113 | 9603.38577912301 | 284.071591325289 | 8338.5426295517 | 490.385779123015 |
63 | 9025 | 8960.47504108462 | 769.132294593755 | 8320.39266432162 | -64.5249589153773 |
64 | 8476 | 8667.63034271007 | -55.0597784909588 | 8339.42943578089 | 191.630342710068 |
65 | 7952 | 7891.11850726512 | -345.584714505278 | 8358.46620724016 | -60.8814927348831 |
66 | 7759 | 7737.3452935961 | -589.472675079017 | 8370.12738148292 | -21.6547064039041 |
67 | 7835 | 7646.73886553864 | -358.527421264319 | 8381.78855572568 | -188.261134461362 |
68 | 7600 | 7479.96025207962 | -671.353948335966 | 8391.39369625635 | -120.039747920380 |
69 | 7651 | 7727.6815192543 | -826.680356041308 | 8400.99883678701 | 76.6815192543 |
70 | 8319 | 8435.4351887547 | -208.228335029823 | 8410.79314627512 | 116.435188754698 |
71 | 8812 | 9452.18895691032 | -248.776412673561 | 8420.58745576324 | 640.18895691032 |
72 | 8630 | 8026.17422294916 | 803.13510824265 | 8430.6906688082 | -603.825777050843 |