| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.3107 | 0.5302 | 0.1031 | -0.5558 | -0.3073 | -0.2095 |
| (p-val) | (0.0294 ) | (6e-04 ) | (0.4809 ) | (0.0371 ) | (0.0923 ) | (0.443 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3631 | 0.5788 | 0 | -0.5888 | -0.3112 | -0.2115 |
| (p-val) | (0.0031 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.025 ) | (0.0911 ) | (0.4438 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.3737 | 0.5529 | 0 | -0.7464 | -0.3879 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0023 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.004 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.03506181831137 |
| 0.636047965061417 |
| 0.470188089050736 |
| 1.51089080573116 |
| -0.6444009828546 |
| -1.79904018857707 |
| -1.23503970644708 |
| -0.388017884662523 |
| -0.665519039566152 |
| -0.648996342688902 |
| -0.0725850934735686 |
| -2.57521431760399 |
| 0.817151417167467 |
| -1.43633070839875 |
| -0.73685665206447 |
| 1.18005426940507 |
| 0.136598339106429 |
| -2.39972245007179 |
| -0.527559519213952 |
| 0.145408369121896 |
| 2.01344258026433 |
| 2.72615621266203 |
| -3.36286162724709 |
| -1.55568853960301 |
| 1.0474574148394 |
| -1.97560425138623 |
| 1.38865942448234 |
| 0.00160559642759129 |
| 0.215978447851325 |
| -1.69833300691848 |
| 0.469490512445483 |
| 0.570671171700871 |
| 0.338603022476007 |
| -2.27532135085477 |
| 0.243482338239412 |
| 0.300706357108947 |
| 1.58907334200653 |
| -0.465088502637092 |
| -1.00859955953779 |
| -0.560791461926436 |
| -0.544679022306336 |
| 0.328069278088548 |
| 0.0699283267648905 |
| -0.714735625846969 |
| 0.0661867205403364 |
| -0.45968279651631 |
| 0.722861145862549 |
| -0.675779428191039 |
| -0.57197339022398 |
| -1.10195751261718 |
| 0.807367285268361 |
| -0.331999037525138 |
| 0.328154451190874 |
