| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1301 | 0 | 131 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 621 | 642.797006940351 | 11.8706090170458 | 587.332384042603 | 21.7970069403515 |
| 2 | 587 | 490.883172188198 | 98.734913245717 | 584.381914566085 | -96.1168278118022 |
| 3 | 655 | 727.151155938117 | 1.41739897231516 | 581.431445089568 | 72.1511559381171 |
| 4 | 517 | 452.9096106406 | 2.56813743939417 | 578.522251920006 | -64.0903893594002 |
| 5 | 646 | 598.849955484034 | 117.536985765522 | 575.613058750444 | -47.1500445159664 |
| 6 | 657 | 929.70035766396 | -189.037545181598 | 573.337187517638 | 272.70035766396 |
| 7 | 382 | 496.823330358436 | -303.884646643267 | 571.061316284831 | 114.823330358436 |
| 8 | 345 | 1.15501537981510 | 119.368551168376 | 569.476433451809 | -343.844984620185 |
| 9 | 625 | 593.668657231268 | 88.439792149946 | 567.891550618786 | -31.3313427687323 |
| 10 | 654 | 730.13168460092 | 12.8198572721422 | 565.048458126938 | 76.1316846009196 |
| 11 | 606 | 622.505724517874 | 27.2889098470352 | 562.20536563509 | 16.5057245178745 |
| 12 | 510 | 445.560214047592 | 12.8770380719056 | 561.562747880502 | -64.4397859524078 |
| 13 | 614 | 655.20926085704 | 11.8706090170458 | 560.920130125914 | 41.2092608570401 |
| 14 | 647 | 629.045206376013 | 98.734913245717 | 566.21988037827 | -17.9547936239873 |
| 15 | 580 | 587.062970397058 | 1.41739897231516 | 571.519630630626 | 7.0629703970584 |
| 16 | 614 | 648.300666175628 | 2.56813743939417 | 577.131196384978 | 34.3006661756281 |
| 17 | 636 | 571.720252095149 | 117.536985765522 | 582.742762139329 | -64.2797479048513 |
| 18 | 388 | 378.653329281567 | -189.037545181598 | 586.384215900031 | -9.3466707184333 |
| 19 | 356 | 425.858976982535 | -303.884646643267 | 590.025669660733 | 69.8589769825347 |
| 20 | 639 | 566.557932269526 | 119.368551168376 | 592.073516562098 | -72.442067730474 |
| 21 | 753 | 823.438844386591 | 88.439792149946 | 594.121363463463 | 70.438844386591 |
| 22 | 611 | 614.266622510913 | 12.8198572721422 | 594.913520216945 | 3.26662251091307 |
| 23 | 639 | 655.005413182538 | 27.2889098470352 | 595.705676970427 | 16.0054131825381 |
| 24 | 630 | 650.730252471477 | 12.8770380719056 | 596.392709456618 | 20.7302524714768 |
| 25 | 586 | 563.049649040146 | 11.8706090170458 | 597.079741942809 | -22.9503509598544 |
| 26 | 695 | 693.654101268792 | 98.734913245717 | 597.610985485491 | -1.34589873120797 |
| 27 | 552 | 504.440371999512 | 1.41739897231516 | 598.142229028173 | -47.5596280004885 |
| 28 | 619 | 636.339104178208 | 2.56813743939417 | 599.092758382398 | 17.3391041782081 |
| 29 | 681 | 644.419726497856 | 117.536985765522 | 600.043287736622 | -36.5802735021442 |
| 30 | 421 | 429.068603919671 | -189.037545181598 | 601.968941261926 | 8.06860391967132 |
| 31 | 307 | 313.990051856037 | -303.884646643267 | 603.89459478723 | 6.99005185603687 |
| 32 | 754 | 781.891365619332 | 119.368551168376 | 606.740083212292 | 27.8913656193315 |
| 33 | 690 | 681.9746362127 | 88.439792149946 | 609.585571637354 | -8.02536378730008 |
| 34 | 644 | 662.694693916102 | 12.8198572721422 | 612.485448811756 | 18.6946939161023 |
| 35 | 643 | 643.325764166808 | 27.2889098470352 | 615.385325986157 | 0.325764166807744 |
| 36 | 608 | 584.781177140076 | 12.8770380719056 | 618.341784788018 | -23.2188228599238 |
| 37 | 651 | 668.831147393075 | 11.8706090170458 | 621.29824358988 | 17.8311473930746 |
| 38 | 691 | 659.270571005864 | 98.734913245717 | 623.994515748419 | -31.7294289941358 |
| 39 | 627 | 625.891813120727 | 1.41739897231516 | 626.690787906958 | -1.10818687927326 |
| 40 | 634 | 636.330063704037 | 2.56813743939417 | 629.101798856569 | 2.330063704037 |
| 41 | 731 | 712.950204428298 | 117.536985765522 | 631.51280980618 | -18.0497955717019 |
| 42 | 475 | 504.03106635859 | -189.037545181598 | 635.006478823008 | 29.03106635859 |
| 43 | 337 | 339.384498803432 | -303.884646643267 | 638.500147839835 | 2.38449880343194 |
| 44 | 803 | 843.105846844975 | 119.368551168376 | 643.525601986649 | 40.1058468449751 |
| 45 | 722 | 707.009151716592 | 88.439792149946 | 648.551056133462 | -14.9908482834082 |
| 46 | 590 | 515.072967664411 | 12.8198572721422 | 652.107175063447 | -74.9270323355888 |
| 47 | 724 | 765.047796159534 | 27.2889098470352 | 655.663293993431 | 41.0477961595335 |
| 48 | 627 | 584.236029659207 | 12.8770380719056 | 656.886932268888 | -42.7639703407932 |
| 49 | 696 | 722.01882043861 | 11.8706090170458 | 658.110570544344 | 26.0188204386101 |
| 50 | 825 | 891.596669790948 | 98.734913245717 | 659.668416963335 | 66.5966697909479 |
| 51 | 677 | 691.356337645359 | 1.41739897231516 | 661.226263382326 | 14.3563376453586 |
| 52 | 656 | 646.781862821887 | 2.56813743939417 | 662.649999738719 | -9.21813717811278 |
| 53 | 785 | 788.389278139367 | 117.536985765522 | 664.073736095111 | 3.38927813936664 |
| 54 | 412 | 350.169540251452 | -189.037545181598 | 662.868004930146 | -61.8304597485479 |
| 55 | 352 | 346.222372878088 | -303.884646643267 | 661.66227376518 | -5.77762712191247 |
| 56 | 839 | 898.912314878401 | 119.368551168376 | 659.719133953223 | 59.9123148784009 |
| 57 | 729 | 711.784213708788 | 88.439792149946 | 657.775994141266 | -17.215786291212 |
| 58 | 696 | 720.241946452817 | 12.8198572721422 | 658.938196275041 | 24.2419464528170 |
| 59 | 641 | 594.610691744149 | 27.2889098470352 | 660.100398408816 | -46.3893082558509 |
| 60 | 695 | 715.160318752969 | 12.8770380719056 | 661.962643175126 | 20.1603187529686 |
| 61 | 638 | 600.304503041518 | 11.8706090170458 | 663.824887941436 | -37.6954969584820 |
| 62 | 762 | 761.912994033691 | 98.734913245717 | 663.352092720592 | -0.0870059663092206 |
| 63 | 635 | 605.703303527936 | 1.41739897231516 | 662.879297499748 | -29.2966964720636 |
| 64 | 721 | 777.878319333866 | 2.56813743939417 | 661.55354322674 | 56.8783193338663 |
| 65 | 854 | 930.235225280747 | 117.536985765522 | 660.22778895373 | 76.2352252807473 |
| 66 | 418 | 364.900390592062 | -189.037545181598 | 660.137154589536 | -53.0996094079383 |
| 67 | 367 | 377.838126417926 | -303.884646643267 | 660.046520225341 | 10.8381264179261 |
| 68 | 824 | 870.433277907757 | 119.368551168376 | 658.198170923867 | 46.433277907757 |
| 69 | 687 | 629.210386227662 | 88.439792149946 | 656.349821622392 | -57.7896137723385 |
| 70 | 601 | 536.51631583454 | 12.8198572721422 | 652.663826893318 | -64.4836841654597 |
| 71 | 676 | 675.733257988722 | 27.2889098470352 | 648.977832164243 | -0.266742011277984 |
| 72 | 740 | 822.133998912894 | 12.8770380719056 | 644.9889630152 | 82.1339989128944 |
| 73 | 691 | 729.129297116797 | 11.8706090170458 | 641.000093866157 | 38.1292971167968 |
| 74 | 683 | 629.186812120354 | 98.734913245717 | 638.07827463393 | -53.8131878796463 |
| 75 | 594 | 551.426145625983 | 1.41739897231516 | 635.156455401701 | -42.5738543740166 |
| 76 | 729 | 822.392869154774 | 2.56813743939417 | 633.038993405832 | 93.3928691547742 |
| 77 | 731 | 713.541482824516 | 117.536985765522 | 630.921531409962 | -17.4585171754840 |
| 78 | 386 | 332.513392501339 | -189.037545181598 | 628.524152680258 | -53.4866074986605 |
| 79 | 331 | 339.757872692713 | -303.884646643267 | 626.126773950555 | 8.7578726927128 |
| 80 | 706 | 667.253278526468 | 119.368551168376 | 625.378170305155 | -38.7467214735316 |
| 81 | 715 | 716.930641190298 | 88.439792149946 | 624.629566659756 | 1.93064119029782 |
| 82 | 657 | 676.616977482306 | 12.8198572721422 | 624.563165245552 | 19.6169774823059 |
| 83 | 653 | 654.214326321617 | 27.2889098470352 | 624.496763831348 | 1.21432632161702 |
| 84 | 642 | 645.75024082113 | 12.8770380719056 | 625.372721106965 | 3.75024082112952 |
| 85 | 643 | 647.880712600372 | 11.8706090170458 | 626.248678382582 | 4.88071260037214 |
| 86 | 718 | 707.520287878347 | 98.734913245717 | 629.744798875936 | -10.4797121216529 |
| 87 | 654 | 673.341681658395 | 1.41739897231516 | 633.24091936929 | 19.3416816583949 |
| 88 | 632 | 624.852998183909 | 2.56813743939417 | 636.578864376697 | -7.14700181609123 |
| 89 | 731 | 704.546204850374 | 117.536985765522 | 639.916809384104 | -26.4537951496263 |
| 90 | 392 | 331.599265495946 | -189.037545181598 | 641.438279685652 | -60.400734504054 |
| 91 | 344 | 348.924896656068 | -303.884646643267 | 642.959749987199 | 4.92489665606843 |
| 92 | 792 | 820.192838934772 | 119.368551168376 | 644.438609896852 | 28.192838934772 |
| 93 | 852 | 969.64273804355 | 88.439792149946 | 645.917469806505 | 117.642738043549 |
| 94 | 649 | 634.472888350349 | 12.8198572721422 | 650.707254377509 | -14.5271116496513 |
| 95 | 629 | 575.214051204451 | 27.2889098470352 | 655.497038948514 | -53.785948795549 |
| 96 | 685 | 695.122798796126 | 12.8770380719056 | 662.000163131968 | 10.1227987961262 |
| 97 | 617 | 553.626103667531 | 11.8706090170458 | 668.503287315423 | -63.3738963324686 |
| 98 | 715 | 656.540178198338 | 98.734913245717 | 674.724908555945 | -58.459821801662 |
| 99 | 715 | 747.636071231218 | 1.41739897231516 | 680.946529796467 | 32.6360712312176 |
| 100 | 629 | 565.586048109389 | 2.56813743939417 | 689.845814451217 | -63.4139518906111 |
| 101 | 916 | 1015.71791512851 | 117.536985765522 | 698.745099105966 | 99.7179151285113 |
| 102 | 531 | 539.297483236311 | -189.037545181598 | 711.740061945287 | 8.297483236311 |
| 103 | 357 | 293.149621858661 | -303.884646643267 | 724.735024784607 | -63.8503781413393 |
| 104 | 917 | 976.935547320748 | 119.368551168376 | 737.695901510876 | 59.9355473207479 |
| 105 | 828 | 816.903429612909 | 88.439792149946 | 750.656778237145 | -11.0965703870912 |
| 106 | 708 | 644.602046084461 | 12.8198572721422 | 758.578096643397 | -63.3979539155391 |
| 107 | 858 | 922.211675103316 | 27.2889098470352 | 766.499415049649 | 64.2116751033161 |
| 108 | 775 | 767.547066717108 | 12.8770380719056 | 769.575895210987 | -7.45293328289233 |
| 109 | 785 | 785.47701561063 | 11.8706090170458 | 772.652375372325 | 0.477015610629223 |
| 110 | 1006 | 1137.73185839054 | 98.734913245717 | 775.533228363738 | 131.731858390545 |
| 111 | 789 | 798.168519672533 | 1.41739897231516 | 778.414081355152 | 9.16851967253308 |
| 112 | 734 | 684.47843718194 | 2.56813743939417 | 780.953425378666 | -49.5215628180605 |
| 113 | 906 | 910.970244832297 | 117.536985765522 | 783.492769402181 | 4.97024483229688 |
| 114 | 532 | 468.799890970358 | -189.037545181598 | 784.23765421124 | -63.2001090296421 |
| 115 | 387 | 292.902107622969 | -303.884646643267 | 784.982539020298 | -94.097892377031 |
| 116 | 991 | 1076.49727803144 | 119.368551168376 | 786.134170800184 | 85.4972780314403 |
| 117 | 841 | 806.274405269985 | 88.439792149946 | 787.285802580069 | -34.7255947300148 |
| 118 | 892 | 980.19378897772 | 12.8198572721422 | 790.986353750137 | 88.193788977721 |
| 119 | 782 | 742.02418523276 | 27.2889098470352 | 794.686904920205 | -39.9758147672403 |
| 120 | 813 | 814.932858727163 | 12.8770380719056 | 798.190103200932 | 1.93285872716262 |
| 121 | 793 | 772.436089501296 | 11.8706090170458 | 801.693301481659 | -20.5639104987043 |
| 122 | 978 | 1054.89655643284 | 98.734913245717 | 802.368530321444 | 76.8965564328388 |
| 123 | 775 | 745.538841866455 | 1.41739897231516 | 803.04375916123 | -29.4611581335450 |
| 124 | 797 | 788.261881028977 | 2.56813743939417 | 803.16998153163 | -8.73811897102337 |
| 125 | 946 | 971.16681033245 | 117.536985765522 | 803.296203902029 | 25.1668103324492 |
| 126 | 594 | 573.896123236446 | -189.037545181598 | 803.141421945151 | -20.1038767635539 |
| 127 | 438 | 376.898006654993 | -303.884646643267 | 802.986639988274 | -61.101993345007 |
| 128 | 1022 | 1121.93158828327 | 119.368551168376 | 802.699860548357 | 99.9315882832665 |
| 129 | 868 | 845.147126741614 | 88.439792149946 | 802.41308110844 | -22.8528732583864 |
| 130 | 795 | 775.103895572189 | 12.8198572721422 | 802.076247155669 | -19.8961044278109 |
