| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 655362 | 655362 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 873127 | 804406.285730027 | 154723.683435794 | 68720.7142699727 | 0.792697786821828 |
| 3 | 1107897 | 1106300.64103651 | 252402.524266799 | 1596.3589634869 | 0.434957272742389 |
| 4 | 1555964 | 1514241.73925271 | 361658.421900535 | 41722.2607472875 | 0.490125218490501 |
| 5 | 1671159 | 1734860.34344928 | 263973.653008982 | -63701.3434492812 | -0.413797699272963 |
| 6 | 1493308 | 1606381.3245862 | -4624.93070922245 | -113073.324586201 | -1.14966332958283 |
| 7 | 2957796 | 2589589.26262942 | 673905.456188023 | 368206.737370576 | 2.90713365936900 |
| 8 | 2638691 | 2870691.93217134 | 403718.853278761 | -232000.932171341 | -1.15615675723536 |
| 9 | 1305669 | 1764653.79148623 | -634755.586934305 | -458984.791486227 | -4.44411005156445 |
| 10 | 1280496 | 1125357.46497959 | -637878.217048106 | 155138.535020414 | -0.0133632996398641 |
| 11 | 921900 | 813555.896314699 | -413672.590087513 | 108344.103685301 | 0.959470907078068 |
| 12 | 867888 | 776975.173500372 | -154394.415130973 | 90912.826499628 | 1.10956300157995 |
| 13 | 652586 | 674263.051614344 | -118967.082874995 | -21677.0516143436 | 0.152133710391677 |
| 14 | 913831 | 817118.307479208 | 61258.5908571292 | 96712.692520792 | 0.783697800299816 |
| 15 | 1108544 | 1100837.21270453 | 209625.384328984 | 7706.78729547084 | 0.630196206051504 |
| 16 | 1555827 | 1402058.79522844 | 270175.015422369 | 153768.204771559 | 0.263216819291442 |
| 17 | 1699283 | 1685824.29326389 | 279252.418207754 | 13458.7067361082 | 0.0389642270491927 |
| 18 | 1509458 | 2025952.91210091 | 319595.247558002 | -516494.912100908 | 0.172020794623345 |
| 19 | 3268975 | 2693984.95255166 | 549922.975517657 | 574990.047448336 | 0.986118487001621 |
| 20 | 2425016 | 2455590.54746179 | 27803.9000785844 | -30574.5474617950 | -2.23553745599879 |
| 21 | 1312703 | 1887240.71049179 | -367364.840682602 | -574537.710491789 | -1.69095084036959 |
| 22 | 1365498 | 1322291.45042066 | -498337.78808427 | 43206.5495793387 | -0.56052309358586 |
| 23 | 934453 | 883149.563472569 | -459116.910248001 | 51303.436527431 | 0.167847776186944 |
| 24 | 775019 | 614397.061963756 | -333135.144410646 | 160621.938036244 | 0.539355036853022 |
| 25 | 651142 | 633505.38111326 | -99975.4767584471 | 17636.6188867405 | 1.00094348095493 |
| 26 | 843192 | 752375.13847692 | 45074.4238357024 | 90816.8615230807 | 0.621717087192154 |
| 27 | 1146766 | 1071980.15866668 | 225370.495935167 | 74785.8413333169 | 0.769405225037162 |
| 28 | 1652601 | 1471062.66692537 | 338941.269568832 | 181538.333074628 | 0.488287288313136 |
| 29 | 1465906 | 1626318.17121237 | 218206.590290659 | -160412.171212373 | -0.518534370758853 |
| 30 | 1652734 | 2205887.04772438 | 455393.041312502 | -553153.047724384 | 1.01320223921361 |
| 31 | 2922334 | 2258299.19082140 | 191716.798301726 | 664034.809178603 | -1.12747131346868 |
| 32 | 2702805 | 2485325.21462377 | 214831.185691687 | 217479.785376226 | 0.0989512068727316 |
| 33 | 1458956 | 2139065.58578316 | -152861.924261836 | -680109.585783157 | -1.57359291035739 |
| 34 | 1410363 | 1487508.54590282 | -479723.888368583 | -77145.5459028232 | -1.39878277247667 |
| 35 | 1019279 | 985788.802204873 | -494133.659463354 | 33490.1977951272 | -0.0616689736602361 |
| 36 | 936574 | 774886.575725905 | -308681.219509099 | 161687.424274095 | 0.79421395774286 |
| 37 | 708917 | 691302.923382195 | -161180.3875827 | 17614.0766178050 | 0.632314884873522 |
| 38 | 885295 | 800990.66960777 | 16266.1824537370 | 84304.3303922297 | 0.759309206825336 |
| 39 | 1099663 | 1017114.01883775 | 146601.345342499 | 82548.981162248 | 0.557010075370487 |
| 40 | 1576220 | 1322724.97451576 | 250074.735001702 | 253495.025484244 | 0.443697283395574 |
| 41 | 1487870 | 1748618.91718001 | 364798.299043137 | -260748.917180012 | 0.492143367464302 |
| 42 | 1488635 | 2010215.69909771 | 297435.387932727 | -521580.699097708 | -0.288124852859087 |
| 43 | 2882530 | 2267215.05333694 | 271094.361359321 | 615314.946663062 | -0.112615994237108 |
| 44 | 2677026 | 2324713.89115924 | 132015.684770908 | 352312.108840758 | -0.595133427404052 |
| 45 | 1404398 | 2019831.92600212 | -152644.443415346 | -615433.92600212 | -1.21828661742676 |
| 46 | 1344370 | 1491863.05342577 | -397249.244480888 | -147493.053425775 | -1.04681171889161 |
| 47 | 936865 | 991231.006925688 | -464609.907957584 | -54366.0069256883 | -0.288319993519011 |
| 48 | 872705 | 704400.332736259 | -348773.915920572 | 168304.667263741 | 0.496064698220531 |
| 49 | 628151 | 609708.905283165 | -183123.004470953 | 18442.0947168348 | 0.709492600952514 |
| 50 | 953712 | 811251.923515926 | 67500.5843725041 | 142460.076484074 | 1.07209027581935 |
| 51 | 1160384 | 1091172.38151680 | 205525.401540081 | 69211.6184832014 | 0.590213562923718 |
| 52 | 1400618 | 1248644.16569597 | 174338.279100505 | 151973.834304031 | -0.133612469497581 |
| 53 | 1661511 | 1797784.55968851 | 417973.371191647 | -136273.559688513 | 1.04435187600874 |
| 54 | 1495347 | 2109124.00036111 | 348610.229218776 | -613777.000361107 | -0.296844019695559 |
| 55 | 2918786 | 2296705.38818896 | 243985.542129311 | 622080.611811039 | -0.447395876638402 |
| 56 | 2775677 | 2327785.81065524 | 105763.618165130 | 447891.189344763 | -0.591320949131602 |
| 57 | 1407026 | 1999944.58645493 | -175778.847318824 | -592918.586454928 | -1.20487958506547 |
| 58 | 1370199 | 1527005.27346226 | -368766.867424514 | -156806.273462259 | -0.825997990953125 |
| 59 | 964526 | 1068224.35481020 | -427227.557583701 | -103698.354810196 | -0.250262185271716 |
| 60 | 850851 | 726189.256137018 | -371883.91773934 | 124661.743862982 | 0.236982880845807 |
| 61 | 683118 | 681906.498318281 | -158988.64021811 | 1211.50168171915 | 0.9114208826073 |
| 62 | 847224 | 711405.312438976 | -36586.6640156648 | 135818.687561024 | 0.523566333984858 |
| 63 | 1073256 | 929423.35132979 | 128451.277713616 | 143832.648670211 | 0.705916075044084 |
| 64 | 1514326 | 1412776.70752070 | 358337.199943239 | 101549.292479304 | 0.984508098733805 |
| 65 | 1503734 | 1684675.44206594 | 302288.600588527 | -180941.442065942 | -0.240149787659462 |
| 66 | 1507712 | 2069108.48627377 | 355589.330451279 | -561396.486273775 | 0.228154299283835 |
| 67 | 2865698 | 2249922.92165048 | 242260.618262726 | 615775.078349524 | -0.484722186461353 |
| 68 | 2788128 | 2252724.55185059 | 87120.3993972594 | 535403.44814941 | -0.663634973325712 |
| 69 | 1391596 | 1969764.57690924 | -152592.232197099 | -578168.576909244 | -1.02579742665646 |
| 70 | 1366378 | 1535961.6943205 | -334761.579187746 | -169583.694320501 | -0.779759955153367 |
| 71 | 946295 | 1084296.47693913 | -410508.134465556 | -138001.476939130 | -0.324294331167833 |
| 72 | 859626 | 782388.217916578 | -340116.398274757 | 77237.7820834224 | 0.301390911931582 |
