Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 721 | 0 | 73 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 655362 | 643683.108619118 | -794327.452145622 | 1461368.34352650 | -11678.8913808824 |
2 | 873127 | 859178.451900511 | -571497.804409377 | 1458573.35250887 | -13948.5480994887 |
3 | 1107897 | 1101513.12756765 | -341497.489058875 | 1455778.36149123 | -6383.87243235088 |
4 | 1555964 | 1574289.13960546 | 84223.8952798325 | 1453414.96511470 | 18325.1396054649 |
5 | 1671159 | 1768844.39157654 | 122422.039685280 | 1451051.56873818 | 97685.3915765414 |
6 | 1493308 | 1471862.64645431 | 65235.3661655697 | 1449517.98738012 | -21445.353545686 |
7 | 2957796 | 2957693.31578101 | 1509914.27819694 | 1447984.40602205 | -102.684218993178 |
8 | 2638691 | 2621832.7215937 | 1208627.85083336 | 1446921.42757294 | -16858.2784062976 |
9 | 1305669 | 1244507.86563022 | -79028.3147540319 | 1445858.44912382 | -61161.1343697847 |
10 | 1280496 | 1217324.41975379 | -102317.772175260 | 1445985.35242147 | -63171.5802462101 |
11 | 921900 | 901785.305688588 | -504097.561407711 | 1446112.25571912 | -20114.6943114123 |
12 | 867888 | 881253.437832332 | -597657.003239319 | 1452179.56540699 | 13365.4378323315 |
13 | 652586 | 641252.57705077 | -794327.452145622 | 1458246.87509485 | -11333.4229492294 |
14 | 913831 | 936069.847081493 | -571497.804409377 | 1463089.95732788 | 22238.8470814929 |
15 | 1108544 | 1090652.44949796 | -341497.489058875 | 1467933.03956092 | -17891.5505020409 |
16 | 1555827 | 1558796.86625486 | 84223.8952798325 | 1468633.23846531 | 2969.86625485658 |
17 | 1699283 | 1806810.52294501 | 122422.039685280 | 1469333.43736971 | 107527.522945015 |
18 | 1509458 | 1487558.86579626 | 65235.3661655697 | 1466121.76803817 | -21899.1342037374 |
19 | 3268975 | 3565125.62309643 | 1509914.27819694 | 1462910.09870663 | 296150.623096431 |
20 | 2425016 | 2182122.67273426 | 1208627.85083336 | 1459281.47643238 | -242893.327265739 |
21 | 1312703 | 1248781.46059591 | -79028.3147540319 | 1455652.85415812 | -63921.5394040917 |
22 | 1365498 | 1381168.98229354 | -102317.772175260 | 1452144.78988172 | 15670.982293542 |
23 | 934453 | 924366.835802399 | -504097.561407711 | 1448636.72560531 | -10086.1641976011 |
24 | 775019 | 700437.39587553 | -597657.003239319 | 1447257.60736379 | -74581.6041244697 |
25 | 651142 | 650732.963023357 | -794327.452145622 | 1445878.48912226 | -409.036976642674 |
26 | 843192 | 807042.807161906 | -571497.804409377 | 1450838.99724747 | -36149.1928380942 |
27 | 1146766 | 1179229.98368620 | -341497.489058875 | 1455799.50537268 | 32463.9836861982 |
28 | 1652601 | 1756148.14086268 | 84223.8952798325 | 1464829.96385748 | 103547.140862683 |
29 | 1465906 | 1335529.53797243 | 122422.039685280 | 1473860.42234229 | -130376.462027572 |
30 | 1652734 | 1758828.55170244 | 65235.3661655697 | 1481404.08213199 | 106094.551702438 |
31 | 2922334 | 2845805.97988137 | 1509914.27819694 | 1488947.74192169 | -76528.0201186324 |
32 | 2702805 | 2705103.71351067 | 1208627.85083336 | 1491878.43565597 | 2298.71351066511 |
33 | 1458956 | 1502131.18536378 | -79028.3147540319 | 1494809.12939025 | 43175.1853637795 |
34 | 1410363 | 1430730.45585989 | -102317.772175260 | 1492313.31631537 | 20367.4558598865 |
35 | 1019279 | 1052838.05816722 | -504097.561407711 | 1489817.50324049 | 33559.0581672161 |
36 | 936574 | 986803.030900418 | -597657.003239319 | 1484001.9723389 | 50229.0309004178 |
37 | 708917 | 733975.010708315 | -794327.452145622 | 1478186.44143731 | 25058.0107083146 |
38 | 885295 | 870738.592909515 | -571497.804409377 | 1471349.21149986 | -14556.4070904849 |
39 | 1099663 | 1076311.50749646 | -341497.489058875 | 1464511.98156242 | -23351.4925035401 |
40 | 1576220 | 1610095.28820111 | 84223.8952798325 | 1458120.81651906 | 33875.2882011107 |
41 | 1487870 | 1401588.30883902 | 122422.039685280 | 1451729.65147570 | -86281.6911609776 |
42 | 1488635 | 1464178.0118701 | 65235.3661655697 | 1447856.62196433 | -24456.9881299015 |
43 | 2882530 | 2811162.12935010 | 1509914.27819694 | 1443983.59245297 | -71367.870649905 |
44 | 2677026 | 2701274.94649866 | 1208627.85083336 | 1444149.20266798 | 24248.9464986601 |
45 | 1404398 | 1443509.50187104 | -79028.3147540319 | 1444314.81288299 | 39111.5018710424 |
46 | 1344370 | 1344365.56271665 | -102317.772175260 | 1446692.20945861 | -4.43728335341439 |
47 | 936865 | 928757.955373474 | -504097.561407711 | 1449069.60603424 | -8107.04462652607 |
48 | 872705 | 891139.228241781 | -597657.003239319 | 1451927.77499754 | 18434.228241781 |
49 | 628151 | 595843.508184783 | -794327.452145622 | 1454785.94396084 | -32307.4918152166 |
50 | 953712 | 1021293.18106075 | -571497.804409377 | 1457628.62334862 | 67581.1810607526 |
51 | 1160384 | 1201794.18632247 | -341497.489058875 | 1460471.30273641 | 41410.1863224655 |
52 | 1400618 | 1254411.73809171 | 84223.8952798325 | 1462600.36662846 | -146206.261908289 |
53 | 1661511 | 1735870.52979422 | 122422.039685280 | 1464729.43052050 | 74359.5297942169 |
54 | 1495347 | 1459925.98239631 | 65235.3661655697 | 1465532.65143812 | -35421.0176036891 |
55 | 2918786 | 2861321.84944733 | 1509914.27819694 | 1466335.87235574 | -57464.1505526747 |
56 | 2775677 | 2877821.08366335 | 1208627.85083336 | 1464905.06550329 | 102144.083663347 |
57 | 1407026 | 1429606.05610319 | -79028.3147540319 | 1463474.25865085 | 22580.0561031858 |
58 | 1370199 | 1382040.85085889 | -102317.772175260 | 1460674.92131637 | 11841.8508588891 |
59 | 964526 | 975273.977425816 | -504097.561407711 | 1457875.58398190 | 10747.9774258155 |
60 | 850851 | 845872.928284845 | -597657.003239319 | 1453486.07495447 | -4978.07171515469 |
61 | 683118 | 711466.88621857 | -794327.452145622 | 1449096.56592705 | 28348.8862185702 |
62 | 847224 | 819578.254722053 | -571497.804409377 | 1446367.54968732 | -27645.7452779473 |
63 | 1073256 | 1044370.95561128 | -341497.489058875 | 1443638.53344760 | -28885.0443887208 |
64 | 1514326 | 1498930.98931584 | 84223.8952798325 | 1445497.11540433 | -15395.0106841638 |
65 | 1503734 | 1437690.26295365 | 122422.039685280 | 1447355.69736107 | -66043.7370463456 |
66 | 1507712 | 1501539.29128683 | 65235.3661655697 | 1448649.34254760 | -6172.7087131741 |
67 | 2865698 | 2771538.73406892 | 1509914.27819694 | 1449942.98773414 | -94159.2659310822 |
68 | 2788128 | 2915716.96110742 | 1208627.85083336 | 1451911.18805922 | 127588.961107421 |
69 | 1391596 | 1408340.92636974 | -79028.3147540319 | 1453879.38838429 | 16744.9263697413 |
70 | 1366378 | 1378370.01277823 | -102317.772175260 | 1456703.75939703 | 11992.0127782272 |
71 | 946295 | 937159.430997936 | -504097.561407711 | 1459528.13040978 | -9135.56900206418 |
72 | 859626 | 854130.861506892 | -597657.003239319 | 1462778.14173243 | -5495.1384931081 |