| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.3643 | 0.154 | 0.5465 | -0.9988 | -0.5919 | -0.3279 | -0.0646 |
| (p-val) | (0.023 ) | (0.3281 ) | (5e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0.7694 ) | (0.7574 ) | (0.9776 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.3763 | 0.1517 | 0.542 | -0.993 | -0.6722 | -0.4046 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0211 ) | (0.3317 ) | (5e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0.0022 ) | (0.1824 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.5114 | 0 | 0.4336 | -1.2274 | -0.7049 | -0.4616 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0016 ) | (NA ) | (0.002 ) | (0 ) | (8e-04 ) | (0.098 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.3805 | 0 | 0.5395 | -1.0094 | -0.5097 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0031 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.001 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 36.7593781220035 |
| -45.6215939866598 |
| 758.561616853397 |
| 543.406789450526 |
| 61.0406865166352 |
| 620.365008054159 |
| -803.699500155286 |
| -783.148008816583 |
| 757.26629252191 |
| 426.929319301819 |
| -542.504064011715 |
| 162.135329446406 |
| 26.0355314026596 |
| -1308.88688533757 |
| 2163.55021944997 |
| -829.626557851259 |
| -191.492093847012 |
| -628.905004239426 |
| 322.042394803607 |
| 22.0352244363261 |
| -1351.85455805880 |
| -2237.6397115189 |
| -1063.32842815601 |
| 53.3550531071327 |
| 1061.23243425684 |
| -74.8253734898874 |
| 1112.68015748659 |
| -182.165898494622 |
| 1188.58605012805 |
| 713.827608865896 |
| 550.755752789601 |
| 163.015433709573 |
| 47.4612154542062 |
| 113.832890748175 |
| 1723.70522002238 |
| -833.883452830958 |
| -586.765307957573 |
| 99.6326294847433 |
| 1067.97463227851 |
| -1057.88796562468 |
| 47.2955681690592 |
| -691.152189085097 |
| 298.965260768221 |
| -179.845711064242 |
