| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 508643 | 508643 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 527568 | 522879.737907261 | 2235.54280668410 | 880.570267395239 | 0.679303067014587 |
| 3 | 520008 | 520796.001371167 | 996.795015088428 | 765.275075422108 | -0.243427050519995 |
| 4 | 498484 | 503560.94062598 | -5295.81893424825 | 732.968754851264 | -0.947006177484237 |
| 5 | 523917 | 517414.232542759 | 1636.66492039466 | 794.986576711566 | 0.953082098762873 |
| 6 | 553522 | 545188.497627135 | 11212.4883283357 | 700.294307405367 | 1.28471769597676 |
| 7 | 558901 | 557855.492210381 | 11747.1124366646 | 622.584009950372 | 0.0713250413239441 |
| 8 | 548933 | 553110.123013028 | 5677.75448637661 | 616.737770967309 | -0.808827985701807 |
| 9 | 567013 | 564625.046532452 | 7827.16489197715 | 690.68250092035 | 0.286389305936121 |
| 10 | 551085 | 555423.975052409 | 1554.77422647304 | 613.855402129362 | -0.83572580679396 |
| 11 | 588245 | 580623.740896998 | 10266.1205282576 | 742.55171450639 | 1.16069288393369 |
| 12 | 605010 | 601310.493982289 | 14105.7163429042 | 667.652022724942 | 0.511585887166022 |
| 13 | 631572 | 628239.793306811 | 18596.4610658461 | -210.306644224539 | 0.729299621435798 |
| 14 | 639180 | 640578.322376321 | 16435.4087605407 | -129.931498527007 | -0.250167206246470 |
| 15 | 653847 | 654652.20860595 | 15577.1458193328 | -126.925143892356 | -0.115418825504425 |
| 16 | 657073 | 660253.152926578 | 11899.5042631907 | -287.83803785221 | -0.489106217650624 |
| 17 | 626291 | 636772.459353388 | -1141.36001055664 | -254.148786458373 | -1.73060835486476 |
| 18 | 625616 | 627864.302269351 | -4000.86459090566 | -1.34669412313031 | -0.380141688125085 |
| 19 | 633352 | 631216.058422033 | -1294.70203283899 | 5.98699305746485 | 0.360240919284134 |
| 20 | 672820 | 663172.170389181 | 10944.7546932926 | 7.16150964955054 | 1.63027772212875 |
| 21 | 691369 | 687487.855032411 | 15867.4625681848 | 2.59764550632268 | 0.655838226061422 |
| 22 | 702595 | 702948.885151191 | 15717.8059228557 | -235.961903076208 | -0.0199396744163479 |
| 23 | 692241 | 698303.169753426 | 8218.82534935807 | -153.130575179061 | -0.99915478906515 |
| 24 | 718722 | 716007.343795401 | 11711.7910413418 | -37.7375766397637 | 0.465400457032939 |
| 25 | 732297 | 729951.723231772 | 12514.0324432613 | 1713.06535706441 | 0.118683922536796 |
| 26 | 721798 | 726110.589812661 | 6740.59227656606 | -516.813170496904 | -0.70603027917733 |
| 27 | 766192 | 758782.000471856 | 16199.5968023204 | -41.4585978402295 | 1.26811487042180 |
| 28 | 788456 | 785645.893548372 | 20127.4105096696 | -274.910403398728 | 0.522730032274457 |
| 29 | 806132 | 806421.226659312 | 20366.0359282316 | -476.285587331538 | 0.0317093666897173 |
| 30 | 813944 | 817089.971611704 | 16797.3256909277 | -344.820344599108 | -0.474776398854136 |
| 31 | 788025 | 798809.772413497 | 3891.14654477199 | -643.309830327182 | -1.71856979833561 |
| 32 | 765985 | 774530.683132659 | -6474.38151495653 | -396.491162230097 | -1.38081451977589 |
| 33 | 702684 | 717758.709195631 | -24984.2587289551 | -519.882835634134 | -2.46609516221689 |
| 34 | 730159 | 721709.675032519 | -14334.8077222910 | 74.8731042570749 | 1.41890446246529 |
| 35 | 678942 | 685814.728003832 | -22270.4212982397 | -632.260199730614 | -1.05733375108728 |
| 36 | 672527 | 670590.065285948 | -19677.3728513075 | -102.201661374764 | 0.345497027198647 |
| 37 | 594783 | 610567.894496334 | -34293.0198164359 | -4281.86959513517 | -2.08982269214111 |
| 38 | 594575 | 590641.630655958 | -29166.994563884 | 389.560034521141 | 0.642464534745484 |
| 39 | 576299 | 572304.346249627 | -25210.7169378212 | 886.045810830544 | 0.529598517436605 |
| 40 | 530770 | 534077.4971425 | -30001.3836008155 | 449.299166231358 | -0.637781472220461 |
| 41 | 524491 | 519411.797332152 | -24357.0622374916 | 659.803988673835 | 0.750521747724276 |
| 42 | 456590 | 464867.87315356 | -35460.9133840915 | 424.736430042922 | -1.47777298827776 |
| 43 | 428448 | 428260.566477481 | -35882.5311876229 | 518.152288689237 | -0.0561502261798934 |
| 44 | 444937 | 432125.601786134 | -21263.4400747238 | 1339.68856889385 | 1.94753762706702 |
| 45 | 372206 | 381139.297982589 | -32196.5266642407 | -352.814968523353 | -1.45665169505806 |
| 46 | 317272 | 323629.368723455 | -41508.3908607915 | 951.078195664782 | -1.24069340101103 |
| 47 | 297604 | 293847.217310637 | -37194.5227785536 | 370.985690818326 | 0.574776418881518 |
| 48 | 288561 | 280459.431575179 | -28438.0400007376 | 1228.97765628388 | 1.16671956217339 |
| 49 | 289287 | 282962.702731473 | -17185.4437558441 | -2519.95964073206 | 1.58048912720570 |
| 50 | 258923 | 260483.862645361 | -19085.9787334948 | -209.332049499595 | -0.241580024153711 |
| 51 | 255493 | 251752.16391006 | -15300.9673259458 | 773.497115857667 | 0.506220109776332 |
| 52 | 277992 | 268540.725016916 | -3497.46645586085 | 209.955251914043 | 1.57174074866072 |
| 53 | 295474 | 288103.855204534 | 4985.10703724913 | 737.668639060526 | 1.12834901281228 |
| 54 | 291680 | 292048.098689574 | 4602.41929475903 | -68.6415006026201 | -0.050941238873255 |
| 55 | 318736 | 313933.496953407 | 10955.8986525835 | -172.574555918405 | 0.84621538156101 |
| 56 | 338463 | 334477.111006579 | 14480.6480726626 | 1224.96805028303 | 0.469576478158825 |
| 57 | 351963 | 351678.884376289 | 15481.1004640056 | -499.624623694192 | 0.133294815364596 |
| 58 | 347240 | 351511.962933636 | 9727.55428130257 | 235.448915146358 | -0.766592517058976 |
| 59 | 347081 | 350508.571419431 | 5781.78484233479 | -336.366757860426 | -0.525731564377954 |
| 60 | 383486 | 376720.500209268 | 13292.0990938283 | 881.8245512265 | 1.0006922242197 |
