Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	142.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	144.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	145.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	156.01	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	146.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	156.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	152.29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	122.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	154.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	149.68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	118.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	109.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	104.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	107.33	105.6465	88.3738	126.2953	0.4365	0.555	1e-04	0.555
51	114.07	106.7664	82.9446	137.4299	0.3203	0.4856	0.0062	0.5654
52	107.92	114.1881	83.817	155.5644	0.3833	0.5022	0.0238	0.6821
53	103.53	107.4032	75.1542	153.4902	0.4346	0.4912	0.0472	0.5543
54	117.3	114.5102	76.8206	170.691	0.4612	0.6492	0.0717	0.6406
55	112.09	111.4654	71.9824	172.605	0.492	0.4258	0.0953	0.5922
56	95.08	89.7051	55.9355	143.8624	0.4229	0.2089	0.1172	0.3001
57	123.28	113.1488	68.2899	187.4749	0.3947	0.6831	0.1372	0.5934
58	121.98	109.555	64.1264	187.1664	0.3768	0.3644	0.1555	0.5539
59	121.74	86.9165	49.4225	152.8549	0.1503	0.1486	0.172	0.3038
60	119.93	79.9412	44.2208	144.5156	0.1124	0.1023	0.1871	0.2309
61	115.11	76.2596	41.0881	141.5379	0.1217	0.0949	0.2008	0.2008

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0997	0.0159	0	2.834	0	0
51	0.1465	0.0684	0.0422	53.3428	28.0884	5.2998
52	0.1849	-0.0549	0.0464	39.2896	31.8221	5.6411
53	0.2189	-0.0361	0.0438	15.0014	27.617	5.2552
54	0.2503	0.0244	0.0399	7.783	23.6502	4.8631
55	0.2799	0.0056	0.0342	0.3902	19.7735	4.4467
56	0.308	0.0599	0.0379	28.8891	21.0757	4.5908
57	0.3351	0.0895	0.0443	102.6412	31.2714	5.5921
58	0.3614	0.1134	0.052	154.3798	44.9501	6.7045
59	0.3871	0.4007	0.0869	1212.6768	161.7228	12.717
60	0.4121	0.5002	0.1245	1599.103	292.3937	17.0995
61	0.4367	0.5094	0.1565	1509.3525	393.8069	19.8446