| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1211 | 0 | 122 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 464 | 472.39118155618 | -4.88540625077001 | 460.494224694589 | 8.39118155618053 |
| 2 | 460 | 460.189303700079 | -1.82317134286365 | 461.633867642785 | 0.189303700078597 |
| 3 | 467 | 469.921426752775 | 1.30506265624482 | 462.773510590981 | 2.92142675277455 |
| 4 | 460 | 459.179009699465 | -3.19779482071541 | 464.01878512125 | -0.820990300534675 |
| 5 | 448 | 443.336592538571 | -12.6006521900907 | 465.264059651519 | -4.66340746142879 |
| 6 | 443 | 438.820081165493 | -19.3611453964424 | 466.541064230949 | -4.17991883450679 |
| 7 | 436 | 434.003567712426 | -29.8216365228043 | 467.818068810379 | -1.99643228757441 |
| 8 | 431 | 420.732273568545 | -27.7830468667714 | 469.050773298227 | -10.2677264314551 |
| 9 | 484 | 472.260979783282 | 25.4555424306439 | 470.283477786074 | -11.7390202167182 |
| 10 | 510 | 513.158551579818 | 35.119009443292 | 471.722438976890 | 3.15855157981753 |
| 11 | 513 | 526.456120758439 | 26.3824790738543 | 473.161400167707 | 13.4561207584391 |
| 12 | 503 | 519.943116529075 | 11.2107552613780 | 474.846128209547 | 16.9431165290749 |
| 13 | 471 | 470.354549999383 | -4.88540625077001 | 476.530856251387 | -0.645450000617359 |
| 14 | 471 | 465.654291417655 | -1.82317134286365 | 478.168879925209 | -5.34570858234514 |
| 15 | 476 | 470.888033744725 | 1.30506265624482 | 479.80690359903 | -5.11196625527509 |
| 16 | 475 | 471.97783926897 | -3.19779482071541 | 481.219955551746 | -3.02216073103034 |
| 17 | 470 | 469.967644685629 | -12.6006521900907 | 482.633007504461 | -0.0323553143705340 |
| 18 | 461 | 456.757403263254 | -19.3611453964424 | 484.603742133188 | -4.24259673674590 |
| 19 | 455 | 453.247159760889 | -29.8216365228043 | 486.574476761915 | -1.75284023911098 |
| 20 | 456 | 450.055844098537 | -27.7830468667714 | 489.727202768234 | -5.94415590146298 |
| 21 | 517 | 515.664528794803 | 25.4555424306439 | 492.879928774553 | -1.33547120519739 |
| 22 | 525 | 518.317514978852 | 35.119009443292 | 496.563475577856 | -6.68248502114761 |
| 23 | 523 | 519.370498544988 | 26.3824790738543 | 500.247022381158 | -3.62950145501196 |
| 24 | 519 | 522.619165698507 | 11.2107552613780 | 504.170079040115 | 3.61916569850706 |
| 25 | 509 | 514.792270551698 | -4.88540625077001 | 508.093135699072 | 5.79227055169787 |
| 26 | 512 | 513.545320289436 | -1.82317134286365 | 512.277851053427 | 1.54532028943629 |
| 27 | 519 | 520.232370935973 | 1.30506265624482 | 516.462566407783 | 1.23237093597254 |
| 28 | 517 | 516.518536437012 | -3.19779482071541 | 520.679258383703 | -0.481463562987983 |
| 29 | 510 | 507.704701830467 | -12.6006521900907 | 524.895950359624 | -2.29529816953345 |
| 30 | 509 | 508.547026016782 | -19.3611453964424 | 528.81411937966 | -0.45297398321793 |
| 31 | 501 | 499.089348123108 | -29.8216365228043 | 532.732288399697 | -1.91065187689219 |
| 32 | 507 | 505.378769252153 | -27.7830468667714 | 536.404277614618 | -1.62123074784699 |
| 33 | 569 | 572.468190739816 | 25.4555424306439 | 540.07626682954 | 3.46819073981567 |
| 34 | 580 | 581.213917318151 | 35.119009443292 | 543.667073238557 | 1.21391731815129 |
| 35 | 578 | 582.359641278573 | 26.3824790738543 | 547.257879647573 | 4.35964127857289 |
| 36 | 565 | 568.302603901539 | 11.2107552613780 | 550.486640837083 | 3.3026039015391 |
| 37 | 547 | 545.170004224177 | -4.88540625077001 | 553.715402026593 | -1.82999577582291 |
| 38 | 555 | 555.406728543308 | -1.82317134286365 | 556.416442799556 | 0.406728543308191 |
| 39 | 562 | 563.577453771237 | 1.30506265624482 | 559.117483572518 | 1.57745377123706 |
| 40 | 561 | 563.448569585617 | -3.19779482071541 | 561.749225235098 | 2.44856958561741 |
| 41 | 555 | 558.219685292413 | -12.6006521900907 | 564.380966897678 | 3.21968529241269 |
| 42 | 544 | 539.801314151122 | -19.3611453964424 | 567.55983124532 | -4.1986858488782 |
| 43 | 537 | 533.082940929841 | -29.8216365228043 | 570.738695592963 | -3.91705907015887 |
| 44 | 543 | 539.760293901557 | -27.7830468667714 | 574.022752965215 | -3.23970609844309 |
| 45 | 594 | 585.23764723189 | 25.4555424306439 | 577.306810337466 | -8.76235276810962 |
| 46 | 611 | 606.695108484705 | 35.119009443292 | 580.185882072003 | -4.30489151529491 |
| 47 | 613 | 616.552567119606 | 26.3824790738543 | 583.06495380654 | 3.55256711960567 |
| 48 | 611 | 625.1563437382 | 11.2107552613780 | 585.632901000422 | 14.1563437381996 |
| 49 | 594 | 604.684558056465 | -4.88540625077001 | 588.200848194305 | 10.6845580564652 |
| 50 | 595 | 601.531060774981 | -1.82317134286365 | 590.292110567883 | 6.53106077498092 |
| 51 | 591 | 588.311564402294 | 1.30506265624482 | 592.383372941461 | -2.68843559770562 |
| 52 | 589 | 587.586789768086 | -3.19779482071541 | 593.61100505263 | -1.41321023191426 |
| 53 | 584 | 585.762015026292 | -12.6006521900907 | 594.838637163799 | 1.76201502629203 |
| 54 | 573 | 570.014759109419 | -19.3611453964424 | 595.346386287024 | -2.98524089058117 |
| 55 | 567 | 567.967501112556 | -29.8216365228043 | 595.854135410249 | 0.967501112555851 |
| 56 | 569 | 569.648849755218 | -27.7830468667714 | 596.134197111553 | 0.648849755218066 |
| 57 | 621 | 620.130198756498 | 25.4555424306439 | 596.414258812858 | -0.869801243502138 |
| 58 | 629 | 626.357497134862 | 35.119009443292 | 596.523493421846 | -2.64250286513845 |
| 59 | 628 | 632.984792895311 | 26.3824790738543 | 596.632728030835 | 4.9847928953111 |
| 60 | 612 | 616.128612575236 | 11.2107552613780 | 596.660632163386 | 4.12861257523616 |
| 61 | 595 | 598.196869954833 | -4.88540625077001 | 596.688536295937 | 3.19686995483301 |
| 62 | 597 | 599.108621491816 | -1.82317134286365 | 596.714549851048 | 2.10862149181605 |
| 63 | 593 | 587.954373937597 | 1.30506265624482 | 596.740563406158 | -5.04562606240313 |
| 64 | 590 | 586.858624302273 | -3.19779482071541 | 596.339170518442 | -3.14137569772674 |
| 65 | 580 | 576.662874559365 | -12.6006521900907 | 595.937777630726 | -3.33712544063542 |
| 66 | 574 | 572.84331831915 | -19.3611453964424 | 594.517827077292 | -1.15668168084983 |
| 67 | 573 | 582.723759998946 | -29.8216365228043 | 593.097876523858 | 9.72375999894598 |
| 68 | 573 | 583.212900088565 | -27.7830468667714 | 590.570146778206 | 10.2129000885651 |
| 69 | 620 | 626.502040536802 | 25.4555424306439 | 588.042417032554 | 6.50204053680181 |
| 70 | 626 | 632.475622682476 | 35.119009443292 | 584.405367874232 | 6.47562268247646 |
| 71 | 620 | 632.849202210237 | 26.3824790738543 | 580.768318715909 | 12.8492022102370 |
| 72 | 588 | 588.788620030161 | 11.2107552613780 | 576.000624708461 | 0.788620030161383 |
| 73 | 566 | 565.652475549758 | -4.88540625077001 | 571.232930701012 | -0.347524450242418 |
| 74 | 557 | 550.163279265907 | -1.82317134286365 | 565.659892076956 | -6.83672073409264 |
| 75 | 561 | 560.608083890855 | 1.30506265624482 | 560.0868534529 | -0.3919161091452 |
| 76 | 549 | 546.711577871465 | -3.19779482071541 | 554.486216949251 | -2.28842212853533 |
| 77 | 532 | 527.71507174449 | -12.6006521900907 | 548.885580445601 | -4.28492825551041 |
| 78 | 526 | 527.531706363858 | -19.3611453964424 | 543.829439032584 | 1.53170636385789 |
| 79 | 511 | 513.048338903237 | -29.8216365228043 | 538.773297619568 | 2.04833890323653 |
| 80 | 499 | 491.143785625552 | -27.7830468667714 | 534.63926124122 | -7.85621437444809 |
| 81 | 555 | 554.039232706485 | 25.4555424306439 | 530.505224862871 | -0.960767293515119 |
| 82 | 565 | 567.848401050639 | 35.119009443292 | 527.032589506069 | 2.84840105063904 |
| 83 | 542 | 534.057566776879 | 26.3824790738543 | 523.559954149267 | -7.94243322312093 |
| 84 | 527 | 522.212783332318 | 11.2107552613780 | 520.576461406304 | -4.78721666768217 |
| 85 | 510 | 507.292437587428 | -4.88540625077001 | 517.592968663342 | -2.70756241257163 |
| 86 | 514 | 514.690807227291 | -1.82317134286365 | 515.132364115573 | 0.690807227290975 |
| 87 | 517 | 520.023177775951 | 1.30506265624482 | 512.671759567804 | 3.02317777595147 |
| 88 | 508 | 508.6308765428 | -3.19779482071541 | 510.566918277915 | 0.630876542799967 |
| 89 | 493 | 490.138575202064 | -12.6006521900907 | 508.462076988027 | -2.86142479793642 |
| 90 | 490 | 492.438642142274 | -19.3611453964424 | 506.922503254168 | 2.43864214227449 |
| 91 | 469 | 462.438707002496 | -29.8216365228043 | 505.382929520309 | -6.56129299750421 |
| 92 | 478 | 478.60482076577 | -27.7830468667714 | 505.178226101001 | 0.604820765770341 |
| 93 | 528 | 525.570934887662 | 25.4555424306439 | 504.973522681694 | -2.42906511233753 |
| 94 | 534 | 525.999188980913 | 35.119009443292 | 506.881801575795 | -8.00081101908722 |
| 95 | 518 | 500.827440456249 | 26.3824790738543 | 508.790080469897 | -17.1725595437510 |
| 96 | 506 | 488.058597700574 | 11.2107552613780 | 512.730647038048 | -17.9414022994259 |
| 97 | 502 | 492.214192644571 | -4.88540625077001 | 516.671213606199 | -9.78580735542897 |
| 98 | 516 | 511.864292048209 | -1.82317134286365 | 521.958879294654 | -4.13570795179078 |
| 99 | 528 | 527.448392360645 | 1.30506265624482 | 527.24654498311 | -0.551607639354756 |
| 100 | 533 | 536.312201479235 | -3.19779482071541 | 532.88559334148 | 3.31220147923523 |
| 101 | 536 | 546.07601049024 | -12.6006521900907 | 538.52464169985 | 10.0760104902400 |
| 102 | 537 | 549.792479583077 | -19.3611453964424 | 543.568665813366 | 12.7924795830767 |
| 103 | 524 | 529.208946595924 | -29.8216365228043 | 548.612689926881 | 5.20894659592363 |
| 104 | 536 | 547.097460070462 | -27.7830468667714 | 552.685586796309 | 11.0974600704621 |
| 105 | 587 | 591.785973903618 | 25.4555424306439 | 556.758483665738 | 4.78597390361824 |
| 106 | 597 | 599.124104500524 | 35.119009443292 | 559.756886056184 | 2.12410450052357 |
| 107 | 581 | 572.862232479515 | 26.3824790738543 | 562.755288446631 | -8.13776752048511 |
| 108 | 564 | 552.214933890764 | 11.2107552613780 | 564.574310847858 | -11.7850661092363 |
| 109 | 558 | 554.492073001684 | -4.88540625077001 | 566.393333249086 | -3.50792699831561 |
| 110 | 575 | 584.19738910233 | -1.82317134286365 | 567.625782240534 | 9.19738910232979 |
| 111 | 580 | 589.836706111773 | 1.30506265624482 | 568.858231231982 | 9.83670611177308 |
| 112 | 575 | 584.06005876519 | -3.19779482071541 | 569.137736055526 | 9.06005876518986 |
| 113 | 563 | 569.183411311022 | -12.6006521900907 | 569.417240879069 | 6.18341131102159 |
| 114 | 552 | 554.756639038768 | -19.3611453964424 | 568.604506357675 | 2.75663903876773 |
| 115 | 537 | 536.029864686524 | -29.8216365228043 | 567.79177183628 | -0.970135313475794 |
| 116 | 545 | 550.961173945125 | -27.7830468667714 | 566.821872921646 | 5.96117394512544 |
| 117 | 601 | 610.692483562344 | 25.4555424306439 | 565.851974007012 | 9.69248356234436 |
| 118 | 604 | 608.176983270853 | 35.119009443292 | 564.704007285855 | 4.17698327085282 |
| 119 | 586 | 582.061480361447 | 26.3824790738543 | 563.556040564699 | -3.93851963855286 |
| 120 | 564 | 554.606934134916 | 11.2107552613780 | 562.182310603706 | -9.39306586508394 |
| 121 | 549 | 542.076825608057 | -4.88540625077001 | 560.808580642713 | -6.92317439194335 |
