Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1431 | 0 | 144 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 20503 | 21040.6323242025 | -3122.86610469806 | 23088.2337804956 | 537.632324202455 |
2 | 22885 | 23073.9284537408 | -947.87277628048 | 23643.9443225396 | 188.928453740849 |
3 | 26217 | 27199.4757484174 | 1034.86938699896 | 24199.6548645837 | 982.475748417379 |
4 | 26583 | 26982.7684083010 | 1405.43817933733 | 24777.7934123617 | 399.768408300959 |
5 | 27751 | 27630.145386743 | 2515.92265311725 | 25355.9319601398 | -120.854613257012 |
6 | 28158 | 27100.4024882742 | 3267.38379008215 | 25948.2137216436 | -1057.59751172577 |
7 | 27373 | 26114.4094930714 | 2091.09502378112 | 26540.4954831475 | -1258.59050692859 |
8 | 28367 | 27402.2366326343 | 2204.05883866564 | 27127.7045287 | -964.763367365656 |
9 | 26851 | 25637.4815834614 | 349.60484228604 | 27714.9135742526 | -1213.51841653860 |
10 | 26733 | 26529.9725415441 | -1406.35129464465 | 28342.3787531005 | -203.027458455876 |
11 | 26849 | 27423.3793187264 | -2695.22325067489 | 28969.8439319485 | 574.379318726402 |
12 | 26733 | 28512.6358703723 | -4696.05876279635 | 29649.4228924241 | 1779.63587037229 |
13 | 27951 | 28695.8642517984 | -3122.86610469806 | 30329.0018528996 | 744.864251798419 |
14 | 29781 | 29562.8163621983 | -947.87277628048 | 30947.0564140822 | -218.183637801718 |
15 | 32914 | 33228.0196377363 | 1034.86938699896 | 31565.1109752648 | 314.019637736277 |
16 | 33488 | 33548.5283466702 | 1405.43817933733 | 32022.0334739925 | 60.5283466701585 |
17 | 35652 | 36309.1213741625 | 2515.92265311725 | 32478.9559727203 | 657.121374162496 |
18 | 36488 | 36962.6836326066 | 3267.38379008215 | 32745.9325773113 | 474.683632606550 |
19 | 35387 | 35669.9957943165 | 2091.09502378112 | 33012.9091819023 | 282.995794316543 |
20 | 35676 | 36037.4951891895 | 2204.05883866564 | 33110.4459721448 | 361.495189189533 |
21 | 34844 | 36130.4123953267 | 349.60484228604 | 33207.9827623873 | 1286.41239532665 |
22 | 32447 | 33166.2201301907 | -1406.35129464465 | 33134.131164454 | 719.220130190675 |
23 | 31068 | 31770.9436841543 | -2695.22325067489 | 33060.2795665206 | 702.943684154256 |
24 | 29010 | 29912.1948191988 | -4696.05876279635 | 32803.8639435975 | 902.194819198805 |
25 | 29812 | 30199.4177840236 | -3122.86610469806 | 32547.4483206745 | 387.417784023593 |
26 | 30951 | 30745.2770933585 | -947.87277628048 | 32104.595682922 | -205.722906641542 |
27 | 32974 | 33251.3875678315 | 1034.86938699896 | 31661.7430451696 | 277.387567831462 |
28 | 32936 | 33390.8453266776 | 1405.43817933733 | 31075.7164939851 | 454.845326677558 |
29 | 34012 | 35018.3874040821 | 2515.92265311725 | 30489.6899428006 | 1006.38740408211 |
30 | 32946 | 32739.675978591 | 3267.38379008215 | 29884.9402313268 | -206.324021408986 |
31 | 31948 | 32524.7144563659 | 2091.09502378112 | 29280.190519853 | 576.714456365855 |
32 | 30599 | 30276.4839757491 | 2204.05883866564 | 28717.4571855852 | -322.516024250868 |
33 | 27691 | 26877.6713063965 | 349.60484228604 | 28154.7238513174 | -813.328693603475 |
34 | 25073 | 23930.2977659678 | -1406.35129464465 | 27622.0535286769 | -1142.70223403221 |
35 | 23406 | 22417.8400446386 | -2695.22325067489 | 27089.3832060363 | -988.159955361403 |
36 | 22248 | 22615.6734181031 | -4696.05876279635 | 26576.3853446932 | 367.673418103139 |
37 | 22896 | 22851.4786213479 | -3122.86610469806 | 26063.3874833501 | -44.5213786520762 |
38 | 25317 | 25969.2623019885 | -947.87277628048 | 25612.610474292 | 652.262301988474 |
39 | 26558 | 26919.2971477672 | 1034.86938699896 | 25161.8334652339 | 361.29714776716 |
40 | 26471 | 26745.3255354776 | 1405.43817933733 | 24791.236285185 | 274.325535477648 |
41 | 27543 | 28149.4382417466 | 2515.92265311725 | 24420.6391051362 | 606.43824174659 |
42 | 26198 | 24969.4090187741 | 3267.38379008215 | 24159.2071911437 | -1228.59098122586 |
43 | 24725 | 23461.1296990676 | 2091.09502378112 | 23897.7752771513 | -1263.87030093238 |
44 | 25005 | 24064.8371000897 | 2204.05883866564 | 23741.1040612446 | -940.162899910261 |
45 | 23462 | 22989.962312376 | 349.60484228604 | 23584.432845338 | -472.037687624019 |
46 | 20780 | 19499.5969496230 | -1406.35129464465 | 23466.7543450217 | -1280.40305037702 |
47 | 19815 | 18976.1474059695 | -2695.22325067489 | 23349.0758447054 | -838.852594030475 |
48 | 19761 | 20977.5218524528 | -4696.05876279635 | 23240.5369103435 | 1216.52185245281 |
49 | 21454 | 22898.8681287163 | -3122.86610469806 | 23131.9979759817 | 1444.86812871634 |
50 | 23899 | 25727.9395025972 | -947.87277628048 | 23017.9332736833 | 1828.93950259723 |
51 | 24939 | 25939.2620416163 | 1034.86938699896 | 22903.8685713848 | 1000.26204161625 |
52 | 23580 | 22994.0155118436 | 1405.43817933733 | 22760.5463088191 | -585.984488156450 |
53 | 24562 | 23990.8533006293 | 2515.92265311725 | 22617.2240462535 | -571.146699370696 |
54 | 24696 | 23603.7413656976 | 3267.38379008215 | 22520.8748442203 | -1092.25863430240 |
55 | 23785 | 23054.3793340318 | 2091.09502378112 | 22424.5256421871 | -730.620665968185 |
56 | 23812 | 22910.7172489946 | 2204.05883866564 | 22509.2239123397 | -901.282751005387 |
57 | 21917 | 20890.4729752215 | 349.60484228604 | 22593.9221824924 | -1026.52702477846 |
58 | 19713 | 17940.6732240863 | -1406.35129464465 | 22891.6780705584 | -1772.32677591373 |
59 | 19282 | 18069.7892920505 | -2695.22325067489 | 23189.4339586243 | -1212.21070794946 |
60 | 18788 | 18635.6408455071 | -4696.05876279635 | 23636.4179172893 | -152.359154492915 |
61 | 21453 | 21945.4642287439 | -3122.86610469806 | 24083.4018759542 | 492.464228743869 |
62 | 24482 | 25345.9851826461 | -947.87277628048 | 24565.8875936343 | 863.985182646138 |
63 | 27474 | 28864.7573016865 | 1034.86938699896 | 25048.3733113145 | 1390.75730168654 |
64 | 27264 | 27694.9931404697 | 1405.43817933733 | 25427.5686801929 | 430.993140469731 |
65 | 27349 | 26375.3132978114 | 2515.92265311725 | 25806.7640490714 | -973.686702188625 |
66 | 30632 | 32022.0700810168 | 3267.38379008215 | 25974.546128901 | 1390.07008101684 |
67 | 29429 | 30624.5767674882 | 2091.09502378112 | 26142.3282087306 | 1195.57676748823 |
68 | 30084 | 31766.4503912992 | 2204.05883866564 | 26197.4907700352 | 1682.45039129916 |
69 | 26290 | 25977.7418263742 | 349.60484228604 | 26252.6533313397 | -312.258173625785 |
70 | 24379 | 23773.0585590008 | -1406.35129464465 | 26391.2927356439 | -605.941440999231 |
71 | 23335 | 22835.2911107269 | -2695.22325067489 | 26529.932139948 | -499.708889273126 |
72 | 21346 | 20554.1074393442 | -4696.05876279635 | 26833.9513234521 | -791.89256065576 |
73 | 21106 | 18196.8955977418 | -3122.86610469806 | 27137.9705069562 | -2909.10440225815 |
74 | 24514 | 22380.4349004135 | -947.87277628048 | 27595.4378758670 | -2133.56509958655 |
75 | 28353 | 27618.2253682232 | 1034.86938699896 | 28052.9052447778 | -734.774631776814 |
76 | 30805 | 31572.4127766614 | 1405.43817933733 | 28632.1490440013 | 767.412776661404 |
77 | 31348 | 30968.6845036581 | 2515.92265311725 | 29211.3928432247 | -379.315496341922 |
78 | 34556 | 35972.1839286594 | 3267.38379008215 | 29872.4322812585 | 1416.18392865939 |
79 | 33855 | 35085.4332569266 | 2091.09502378112 | 30533.4717192923 | 1230.43325692663 |
80 | 34787 | 36081.2770179113 | 2204.05883866564 | 31288.6641434231 | 1294.27701791130 |
81 | 32529 | 32664.5385901601 | 349.60484228604 | 32043.8565675539 | 135.538590160104 |
82 | 29998 | 28576.8953815257 | -1406.35129464465 | 32825.455913119 | -1421.10461847434 |
83 | 29257 | 27602.1679919908 | -2695.22325067489 | 33607.0552586841 | -1654.83200800923 |
84 | 28155 | 26592.9462726164 | -4696.05876279635 | 34413.1124901799 | -1562.05372738357 |
85 | 30466 | 28835.6963830223 | -3122.86610469806 | 35219.1697216757 | -1630.30361697765 |
86 | 35704 | 36379.3281624328 | -947.87277628048 | 35976.5446138477 | 675.328162432808 |
87 | 39327 | 40885.2111069814 | 1034.86938699896 | 36733.9195060196 | 1558.21110698141 |
88 | 39351 | 39955.4408307139 | 1405.43817933733 | 37341.1209899487 | 604.440830713924 |
89 | 42234 | 44003.7548730049 | 2515.92265311725 | 37948.3224738779 | 1769.75487300489 |
90 | 43630 | 45663.8278861894 | 3267.38379008215 | 38328.7883237285 | 2033.82788618936 |
91 | 43722 | 46643.6508026398 | 2091.09502378112 | 38709.2541735791 | 2921.65080263977 |
92 | 43121 | 45115.725130662 | 2204.05883866564 | 38922.2160306724 | 1994.72513066200 |
93 | 37985 | 36485.2172699484 | 349.60484228604 | 39135.1778877656 | -1499.78273005164 |
94 | 37135 | 36409.0064607871 | -1406.35129464465 | 39267.3448338576 | -725.993539212912 |
95 | 34646 | 32587.7114707254 | -2695.22325067489 | 39399.5117799495 | -2058.28852927462 |
96 | 33026 | 31223.5132254266 | -4696.05876279635 | 39524.5455373697 | -1802.48677457339 |
97 | 35087 | 33647.2868099081 | -3122.86610469806 | 39649.57929479 | -1439.71319009193 |
98 | 38846 | 38725.6295936767 | -947.87277628048 | 39914.2431826038 | -120.370406323316 |
99 | 42013 | 42812.2235425834 | 1034.86938699896 | 40178.9070704176 | 799.223542583444 |
100 | 43908 | 45755.0661868306 | 1405.43817933733 | 40655.495633832 | 1847.06618683065 |
101 | 42868 | 42087.9931496363 | 2515.92265311725 | 41132.0841972464 | -780.006850363687 |
102 | 44423 | 43935.4557474327 | 3267.38379008215 | 41643.1604624851 | -487.544252567284 |
103 | 44167 | 44088.668248495 | 2091.09502378112 | 42154.2367277238 | -78.3317515049494 |
104 | 43636 | 42474.7583714435 | 2204.05883866564 | 42593.1827898908 | -1161.24162855649 |
105 | 44382 | 45382.2663056561 | 349.60484228604 | 43032.1288520579 | 1000.2663056561 |
106 | 42142 | 42266.47105256 | -1406.35129464465 | 43423.8802420846 | 124.471052560002 |
107 | 43452 | 45783.5916185635 | -2695.22325067489 | 43815.6316321114 | 2331.59161856346 |
108 | 36912 | 34375.3359197502 | -4696.05876279635 | 44144.7228430461 | -2536.66408024979 |
109 | 42413 | 43475.0520507172 | -3122.86610469806 | 44473.8140539809 | 1062.05205071720 |
110 | 45344 | 46903.0889235179 | -947.87277628048 | 44732.7838527626 | 1559.08892351785 |
111 | 44873 | 43719.3769614567 | 1034.86938699896 | 44991.7536515444 | -1153.62303854334 |
112 | 47510 | 48485.1228564743 | 1405.43817933733 | 45129.4389641884 | 975.122856474278 |
113 | 49554 | 51324.9530700503 | 2515.92265311725 | 45267.1242768324 | 1770.95307005035 |
114 | 47369 | 46319.096120654 | 3267.38379008215 | 45151.5200892638 | -1049.90387934598 |
115 | 45998 | 44868.9890745236 | 2091.09502378112 | 45035.9159016952 | -1129.01092547636 |
116 | 48140 | 49552.8848780854 | 2204.05883866564 | 44523.0562832489 | 1412.88487808542 |
117 | 48441 | 52522.1984929113 | 349.60484228604 | 44010.1966648026 | 4081.19849291133 |
118 | 44928 | 48056.5838325196 | -1406.35129464465 | 43205.7674621251 | 3128.58383251957 |
119 | 40454 | 41201.8849912274 | -2695.22325067489 | 42401.3382594475 | 747.884991227358 |
120 | 38661 | 40605.4005239209 | -4696.05876279635 | 41412.6582388754 | 1944.40052392091 |
121 | 37246 | 37190.8878863947 | -3122.86610469806 | 40423.9782183034 | -55.1121136052898 |
122 | 36843 | 35280.3951818328 | -947.87277628048 | 39353.4775944476 | -1562.60481816716 |
123 | 36424 | 33530.1536424091 | 1034.86938699896 | 38282.9769705919 | -2893.84635759088 |
124 | 37594 | 36382.8446118188 | 1405.43817933733 | 37399.7172088438 | -1211.15538818117 |
125 | 38144 | 37255.619899787 | 2515.92265311725 | 36516.4574470958 | -888.380100213013 |
126 | 38737 | 38114.068822954 | 3267.38379008215 | 36092.5473869639 | -622.931177046004 |
127 | 34560 | 31360.2676493869 | 2091.09502378112 | 35668.6373268319 | -3199.73235061306 |
128 | 36080 | 34345.1621974424 | 2204.05883866564 | 35610.7789638919 | -1734.83780255758 |
129 | 33508 | 31113.4745567620 | 349.60484228604 | 35552.9206009519 | -2394.52544323797 |
130 | 35462 | 36609.8325521036 | -1406.35129464465 | 35720.518742541 | 1147.83255210360 |
131 | 33374 | 33555.1063665447 | -2695.22325067489 | 35888.1168841302 | 181.106366544722 |
132 | 32110 | 32600.6926556934 | -4696.05876279635 | 36315.3661071029 | 490.692655693434 |
133 | 35533 | 37446.2507746224 | -3122.86610469806 | 36742.6153300757 | 1913.25077462239 |
134 | 35532 | 34564.9323300217 | -947.87277628048 | 37446.9404462588 | -967.067669978307 |
135 | 37903 | 36619.8650505591 | 1034.86938699896 | 38151.2655624419 | -1283.13494944087 |
136 | 36763 | 33124.0986574768 | 1405.43817933733 | 38996.4631631859 | -3638.90134252318 |
137 | 40399 | 38440.416582953 | 2515.92265311725 | 39841.6607639298 | -1958.58341704703 |
138 | 44164 | 44363.9558400898 | 3267.38379008215 | 40696.660369828 | 199.955840089839 |
139 | 44496 | 45349.2450004927 | 2091.09502378112 | 41551.6599757262 | 853.24500049265 |
140 | 43110 | 41580.0065485757 | 2204.05883866564 | 42435.9346127586 | -1529.99345142426 |
141 | 43880 | 44090.1859079230 | 349.60484228604 | 43320.209249791 | 210.185907922954 |
142 | 43930 | 45022.6654713196 | -1406.35129464465 | 44243.6858233250 | 1092.66547131960 |
143 | 44327 | 46182.0608538158 | -2695.22325067489 | 45167.1623968591 | 1855.06085381580 |