Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[122])
11035.41-------
11137.01-------
11239.19-------
11346.5-------
11444.79-------
11547.01-------
11649.15-------
11750.85-------
11854.09-------
11955.4-------
12056.16-------
12154.37-------
12252.34-------
12356.1351.984346.684357.28420.06260.447710.4477
12451.2952.369445.060659.67820.38610.15660.99980.5031
12542.9552.43443.27861.58990.02120.59670.8980.508
12628.8852.386842.224362.549300.96560.92860.5036
12738.4752.138540.999463.27770.008110.81660.4859
12834.8351.860339.898463.82220.00260.98590.67150.4687
12941.1751.54538.727764.36220.05630.99470.54230.4516
13040.851.295137.696464.89380.06520.92780.34350.4401
1314051.337336.97965.69550.06090.92480.28960.4456
1324451.229536.167366.29180.17340.9280.26060.4426


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
1230.0520.0797017.187100
1240.0712-0.02060.05021.1659.17613.0292
1250.0891-0.18090.093789.945736.09936.0083
1260.099-0.44870.1825552.5686165.216612.8537
1270.109-0.26220.1984186.8288169.539113.0207
1280.1177-0.32840.2201290.0306189.62113.7703
1290.1269-0.20130.2174107.6398177.909413.3383
1300.1353-0.20460.2158110.1473169.439113.0169
1310.1427-0.22080.2164128.5336164.894112.8411
1320.15-0.14110.208852.2662153.631312.3948