Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[360])
348	702.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
349	784.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
350	810.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
351	755.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
352	656.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
353	615.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
354	745.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
355	694.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
356	675.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
357	643.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
358	622.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
359	634.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
360	588	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
361	689.7	678.5688	624.5563	734.821	0.3491	0.9992	1e-04	0.9992
362	673.9	681.3146	599.0099	768.9157	0.4341	0.4256	0.0019	0.9816
363	647.9	639.0552	535.7858	751.4196	0.4387	0.2717	0.021	0.8134
364	568.8	572.4099	454.6656	703.697	0.4785	0.1299	0.1039	0.408
365	545.7	533.4128	402.0294	683.341	0.4362	0.3218	0.1428	0.2377
366	632.6	650.3247	485.6084	839.0527	0.427	0.8614	0.162	0.7413
367	643.8	617.9237	440.7432	824.968	0.4032	0.4448	0.2354	0.6115
368	593.1	585.5956	398.1827	809.0411	0.4738	0.3048	0.2147	0.4916
369	579.7	568.0727	369.6653	808.94	0.4623	0.4193	0.2691	0.4356
370	546	545.7208	338.7822	801.7561	0.4991	0.3974	0.2794	0.3731
371	562.9	563.4144	340.3813	842.3506	0.4986	0.5487	0.3085	0.4314
372	572.5	550.6616	318.999	845.1704	0.4422	0.4675	0.4019	0.4019

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
361	0.0423	0.0164	0	123.9038	0	0
362	0.0656	-0.0109	0.0136	54.9759	89.4399	9.4573
363	0.0897	0.0138	0.0137	78.2313	85.7037	9.2576
364	0.117	-0.0063	0.0119	13.0311	67.5356	8.218
365	0.1434	0.023	0.0141	150.976	84.2236	9.1773
366	0.1481	-0.0273	0.0163	314.1657	122.5473	11.0701
367	0.171	0.0419	0.0199	669.5845	200.6955	14.1667
368	0.1947	0.0128	0.0191	56.3167	182.6481	13.5147
369	0.2163	0.0205	0.0192	135.1933	177.3754	13.3182
370	0.2394	5e-04	0.0173	0.078	159.6456	12.6351
371	0.2526	-9e-04	0.0158	0.2646	145.1565	12.0481
372	0.2729	0.0397	0.0178	476.9173	172.8032	13.1455