Structural Time Series Model
tObservedLevelSlopeSeasonalStand. Residuals
15.25.2000
27.96.993912842499250.07119884634900060.9060871575007520.872321117172038
38.78.257528332518980.1394242818918420.4424716674810160.607021020776165
48.98.751811428520630.1538351565671310.1481885714793760.221387044607060
515.312.10677075001800.2301276481628623.193229249982022.09997531546472
615.414.43692699605060.2639962872045150.9630730039494261.38408008450448
718.116.74085393497540.2936232719320941.359146065024571.34262529707823
819.718.68192421921840.3187749770645641.018075780781641.08234842091195
91316.16018707234300.272259602839774-3.16018707234296-1.8634331525741
1012.613.75840926882890.226157135535431-1.15840926882892-1.75242697675590
116.29.35408963864380.143494723953962-3.1540896386438-3.03228240690364
123.55.386918982155590.0681537171316838-1.88691898215559-2.69009984476411
133.44.320790548075430.0866945732487102-0.920790548075426-0.793960777852716
1401.864975010377890.068694245001939-1.86497501037789-1.68588625767195
159.55.267147562333080.1611082735077894.232852437666922.01752362168052
168.98.506005465351350.2606900238783990.3939945346486551.89815810317172
1710.49.212452524430530.2734483256553291.187547475569470.285325860819789
1813.211.62889194435940.3242532235500091.571108055640561.39233390851652
1918.915.40474328091160.3959138360523863.495256719088352.24853990466556
201916.74915894113040.4147511919463152.250841058869570.617655104444385
2116.317.56027912250530.422684395442711-1.260279122505320.25789229108849
2210.613.64238088387630.335620942749423-3.04238088387629-2.82106755458364
235.89.597606133517240.253160448751408-3.79760613351724-2.84221862055978
243.66.443535145774340.199886274438809-2.84353514577434-2.21268838942214
252.64.253858659161840.170742681732902-1.65385865916184-1.56917993565361
2656.257133475752630.201656046658349-1.257133475752631.18798242169463
277.35.871606468108180.1874184524940251.42839353189182-0.369331430258462
289.27.652369613381380.23260618694821.547630386618620.997566685974631
2915.712.29382402103810.3587839285256043.406175978961922.80134436861488
3016.815.67292253879480.4401147835408791.127077461205151.94290410656132
3118.416.35405392076010.4461654604957462.045946079239930.155783871679245
3218.116.13962350358210.4303845194073341.9603764964179-0.42726740884776
3314.614.64323221239310.38579436916013-0.0432322123931046-1.24517297557190
347.811.22444617283770.300605637927814-3.42444617283768-2.45504460698801
357.69.727213487170330.262277413163760-2.12721348717033-1.15881038409560
363.87.540345062269520.212782379942841-3.74034506226952-1.58047224720608
375.67.492674594137890.207537994567965-1.89267459413789-0.168374477335764
382.25.684382826162860.162884621719733-3.48438282616286-1.29471108707774
396.86.17776079520570.1712053905924590.62223920479430.209659501337110
4011.89.75931974885270.2647819562136002.040680251147312.15380045290694
4114.912.10068467975070.3233493354421512.799315320249341.31903256150365
4216.714.28463209124600.3750511781710752.415367908754031.19110366571554
4316.714.58435591830020.3730275118035472.11564408169977-0.0484336544472961
4415.913.62656783052190.3385366839415052.27343216947811-0.85641855256745
4513.612.44707791450610.3004501826112331.15292208549390-0.975947524034462
469.211.74390753131420.276016781746823-2.54390753131419-0.64436323689181
472.87.70117517256090.173670257025083-4.90117517256089-2.77148011569467
482.56.122324016096020.132732769308401-3.62232401609602-1.12561715861412
494.85.790502866455910.121739961991668-0.990502866455907-0.298420766915152
502.86.47731088791120.135714429799925-3.67731088791120.36163529967828
517.88.094664719529190.174487578612514-0.2946647195291860.942449164979163
5298.585778579336360.1831516329818150.4142214206636420.200824721045076
5312.99.933240654218730.2156814068392802.966759345781270.740312815498227
5416.412.05500366112480.268845813800584.344996338875171.21760715380658
5521.815.68803569966220.3611671556882296.111964300337832.15590812440043
5617.815.73118558609720.3526341341710312.06881441390284-0.203940065164532
5713.513.50593919700290.285049873262307-0.00593919700289369-1.65170479737381
581011.51913441853330.226704319697405-1.51913441853326-1.45411905198806
5910.412.64628189536940.249490524137618-2.246281895369370.576247460095492
605.511.17561788080270.206148907651655-5.67561788080272-1.10154499911721
6148.294209615475250.127578442620685-4.29420961547525-1.97710648680901
626.89.379365119748220.152510259062019-2.579365119748220.611852057073842
635.78.23585671222230.117804985058603-2.5358567122223-0.825334335254345
649.18.880270664407870.1322441194956630.2197293355921250.334765188032734
6513.610.67914773235880.1785381657679442.920852267641181.06071665397851
661511.76588640895990.2037951018015583.23411359104010.579604490604525
6720.913.09885259753210.2349462346627067.801147402467910.722148955954328
6820.415.08299156923760.2825685702672205.317008430762371.11921003145908
691414.43382242058810.257569328873475-0.433822420588088-0.595759437132807
7013.714.78407503155540.260024393651593-1.084075031555360.0592184615872129
717.111.60005046565520.169553929051414-4.50005046565521-2.20045038755657
720.87.961852359947920.0696898860269607-7.16185235994792-2.43402178776266
732.16.813934839149210.0375615818896349-4.71393483914921-0.77832902508968
741.35.01910866555749-0.0113878481115412-3.71910866555749-1.16984941359758
753.95.746501780645080.00864158732911443-1.846501780645080.470751962172466
7610.78.718934506085510.09002989304989261.981065493914491.88647101250175
7711.19.338786764267120.1046904425137011.761213235732880.337431727567032
7816.411.74588767611650.1684856423257954.654112323883491.46872632353492
7917.111.34512261210580.1527770082921535.75487738789417-0.363615136524896
8017.311.30428769699450.1474743415939965.99571230300548-0.123709327425122
8112.911.92276281977950.1602626842270180.977237180220520.300802238233837
8210.910.82987617360720.1264969975707270.0701238263928003-0.79991097605054
835.39.07396968215440.0760193876617456-3.7739696821544-1.20158218527414
840.77.796835801940630.0397620893750293-7.09683580194063-0.864060262358579
85-0.25.73113737685014-0.0168490989554342-5.93113737685014-1.34451375564957
866.58.085746665669030.0473443580700381-1.585746665669031.51329575526230
878.610.49287769824490.111734931361481-1.892877698244871.50414385202006
888.59.31016729061320.0761645361496686-0.810167290613197-0.824527875592064
8913.310.743623592340.1136252145281382.556376407659990.86481744839751
9016.211.25460625222030.1246029504068174.94539374777970.253424087068524
9117.511.56302578202330.1296704892464605.936974217976750.117330316877039
9221.213.35034168989030.1751762642475587.849658310109741.05827520391311
9314.813.36700317050470.1708464756387661.43299682949533-0.101165902421133
9410.311.24472513894490.108488715449470-0.944725138944861-1.46300019619302
957.310.40145956538190.0826793015953068-3.10145956538192-0.607219362902101
965.110.94076346372710.0950562515886164-5.840763463727070.291400364040211
974.411.56800911651590.109509072235455-7.168009116515920.339645865956382
986.210.38144365629660.0741811751319293-4.18144365629663-0.826828573380992
997.79.655434792785160.0522740509732304-1.95543479278516-0.510136791598769
1009.310.18999305645760.0655292978472939-0.8899930564576120.307335060285335
10115.611.852084171370.1095189046440493.747915828631.01756343534622
10216.312.09527606164080.1132043169677184.204723938359220.0852442859453333
10316.611.80150964310960.1019964717581114.79849035689043-0.259659716856934
10417.410.41802647030730.06118314745049076.98197352969273-0.9478894156745
10515.311.24487965804840.08215986569992344.055120341951630.488471300533817
1069.710.93611813233540.0714773649562187-1.23611813233544-0.249338659362556
1073.79.03423487485730.0176394316819755-5.33423487485729-1.25866241788258
1084.69.419753255817780.0276730874674076-4.819753255817790.234683583420492
1095.410.64964829052150.0604969860077956-5.249648290521540.766992489548304
1103.19.12444038787290.017115224330603-6.0244403878729-1.01142006309705
1117.99.517035392144990.0274124906620305-1.617035392144990.239398619562337
11210.110.71064988112050.0594641879560307-0.6106498811205340.743349952038884
1131511.13712771185760.0695653527714643.862872288142360.233956813436685
11415.611.11662429196490.06708544735264094.48337570803512-0.0574345775154051
11519.712.64039553176010.1071694073965047.059604468239860.929178082270239
11618.112.27901516709740.09429306053609345.82098483290265-0.298895185991773
11717.712.63173758878130.1013836023591665.06826241121870.164833234496593
11810.711.94825224983820.079880567425552-1.24825224983819-0.500537652710383
1196.211.83413850908720.0745706789284152-5.63413850908718-0.123717058725175
1204.210.65466689795630.0402524254271669-6.45466689795633-0.799839032571725
12149.481790427492030.00703530579940385-5.48179042749203-0.773787063489812
1225.910.71505343140470.0406484331053456-4.815053431404660.782045636789683
1237.110.30254526842020.0282099502718445-3.20254526842016-0.288938436648900
12410.510.75667390524510.0399149446809554-0.2566739052450510.271525914510727
12515.111.18359381469590.05055900846585243.916406185304060.246727741609601
12616.812.13938967122900.07546229705403354.660610328770950.577231539786625
12715.310.30789134073160.02301777096687794.99210865926841-1.21621677627229
12818.411.10022096647930.04415980521191537.299779033520710.490670628809171
12916.110.96122344623790.0391308715158575.13877655376211-0.116808272284557
13011.311.52044981489820.0533992292760488-0.2204498148981750.331658758187879
1317.912.19924117603000.0705470404130025-4.299241176029950.398805086779305
1325.612.05683447338930.064708726239526-6.45683447338935-0.135808211047094
1333.410.79626159886600.0283641842923194-7.39626159886603-0.845215659604916
1344.89.98376508501650.00529033661015886-5.1837650850165-0.536233954801848
1356.59.896075756734030.00273701189089286-3.39607575673403-0.0592865456338294
1368.59.47775026589698-0.00883364772365531-0.977750265896976-0.268453682492958
13715.110.30433858510440.01413383511356204.795661414895580.532643587595783
13815.710.38973943629050.01609339185026745.310260563709540.0454433792622407
13918.712.20368796622830.06551896675765836.496312033771731.14653223996487
14019.212.37852844383720.06852316951672516.821471556162820.0697185739554163
14112.910.35746669257590.01112953071679672.54253330742409-1.33253532887539
14214.412.20229369169670.06147114276703922.197706308303341.16928418710705
1436.211.49476772177240.0403659680400127-5.29476772177236-0.490361596214505
1443.310.12618886714670.00170046585233422-6.8261888671467-0.898476226239116
1454.610.59599560351230.0145486674687357-5.995995603512270.298518119514408
1467.211.51321086838540.0393326200382627-4.31321086838540.575622823627492
1477.811.50201845051890.0379448150624614-3.70201845051888-0.0322166380242998
1489.911.47203046462510.0360781545142273-1.57203046462510-0.0433136407926642
14913.610.37235363118740.004861863941702623.22764636881257-0.724158040538503
15017.111.30674748058600.03041225631396105.793252519413960.592711606074051
15117.811.34297059162810.03057196736919456.457029408371860.00370552087473502
15218.611.18426663410010.02537087300406167.41573336589987-0.120701211173704
15314.711.98945027944970.04679320950962992.710549720550350.497269091671175
15410.510.0368811642428-0.008116927483969080.463118835757228-1.27489899019316
1558.611.30910670865630.0270398808311372-2.709106708656290.816412394803794
1564.411.69342618341340.0368498971018388-7.293426183413350.227826847511582
1572.310.3290752895904-0.00162680467730463-8.02907528959037-0.893524974244464
1582.88.5122235081421-0.0514816743402214-5.71222350814211-1.15752014111035
1598.810.0564569684450-0.0076456113962539-1.256456968445031.01749281050220
16010.711.18618356861300.0236058625562564-0.4861835686130440.725205083814198
16113.911.34335366911020.02727632456924252.556646330889760.0851627663817625
16219.312.40591671284590.05572832306530506.894083287154140.660143327663225
16319.512.87256302086660.06702074429880736.627436979133420.262030063989321
16420.413.05318349231520.07014219566044887.346816507684750.0724398672830532
16515.312.49419153610650.05285780833313822.80580846389345-0.401175312165746
1667.910.2834598036250-0.00932112144360216-2.38345980362497-1.44337063343309
1678.310.2081922276043-0.0111324298394944-1.90819222760429-0.0420504666230691
1684.510.5042877139796-0.00269426338568091-6.004287713979580.19590629060636
1693.210.63568548199080.000988800447542322-7.435685481990780.0855061418045782
170511.21537462002450.0168853792035266-6.215374620024490.369014843663567
1716.610.0178931863072-0.0164768269304446-3.41789318630716-0.774331286567024
17211.110.72896730807910.003513484875921910.3710326919208770.463905195884593
17312.810.91438785594280.008512001398500861.885612144057230.115988709349207
17416.310.2953156108554-0.008733518928364376.00468438914456-0.400174008864943
17517.410.3284405280937-0.00758331025868227.071559471906320.0266913818996258
17618.910.5513613727633-0.001249814962446408.34863862723670.146983838987164
17715.811.20089905479790.01663010974346674.599100945202110.414977158345525
17811.712.71868618134510.0578698453893491-1.018686181345100.957203484598758
1796.410.93247430224330.00721227595130937-4.53247430224328-1.17586538034148
1802.99.72363108433544-0.026192553272393-6.82363108433544-0.775418291419035
1814.710.75820781989470.00294725261529634-6.058207819894690.676406960006153
1822.49.66102852015636-0.0272753789652218-7.26102852015636-0.7014999669027
1837.210.1222747453652-0.0138537916747777-2.922274745365230.311502064561537
18410.710.2851869447809-0.008997022121396280.4148130552190980.112711686335567
18513.410.75778752821360.004235819535764512.642212471786430.307082068534069
18618.511.73064036002910.03085093399139866.76935963997090.617630265460058
18718.311.7955058918820.03178555604165226.504494108118010.0216894565814585
18816.810.4387893853457-0.00636503892383396.36121061465434-0.885383899321693
18916.611.15173563373140.01339784799384095.448264366268620.458667919663852
19014.112.63775665592130.05385585212521711.462243344078680.939006889495548
1916.111.67808139577000.0260116180189042-5.57808139577001-0.646269498638805
1923.511.0458554714180.00792839789429527-7.54585547141801-0.41972269537971
1931.79.14523116217976-0.0445043239722753-7.44523116217976-1.21698982601054
1942.39.20601036792327-0.041611834566277-6.906010367923270.0671339513651266
1954.58.47510779290151-0.0605496853163416-3.97510779290152-0.439520912346724
1969.38.75186581415017-0.05128201564633720.5481341858498310.215079515944943
19714.210.3554465009380-0.005812790281377173.844553499062031.05519935144463
19817.310.58867915230810.0007553196483147736.711320847691910.152425199001913
1992313.22338092855280.07312622301546719.776619071447251.67952873682653
20016.312.34949781388690.04710650456590543.95050218611312-0.603859474710321
20118.412.74013270299510.05654492072438895.659867297004850.219049385167289
20214.212.44629412806500.04691841893523661.75370587193498-0.223419102573331
2039.113.14091893968980.0647132829773483-4.040918939689820.413004138431924
2045.912.93045622107220.0571532449538756-7.03045622107219-0.175464299855388
2057.213.72017006843830.077279345271518-6.520170068438340.467114915219488
2066.813.77147804580240.076565805692122-6.97147804580237-0.0165605420280307
207813.19785397147680.0587020477182086-5.19785397147677-0.414588402651813
20814.313.90692340307980.07657105149720750.3930765969202060.414699023068944
20914.612.81360539594370.04442758941091741.78639460405634-0.745965398718904
21017.512.25787602277560.02793779025522485.24212397722437-0.38268468105243
21117.29.64192978867276-0.04470481667934947.55807021132724-1.68585879890837
21217.211.0479846564338-0.004844593896941826.152015343566250.925070857329837
21314.19.9992946379964-0.03352424446393254.1007053620036-0.665601602796992
21410.59.37227837167051-0.04983019060275291.12772162832949-0.378435016881371
2156.89.9763279172859-0.0318653147282525-3.176327917285890.416940400667529
2164.110.7932519830868-0.00854553539911842-6.693251983086780.541224265712183
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