Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1311 | 0 | 132 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 24 | 22.0523470839929 | 0.840369300930925 | 25.1072836150762 | -1.94765291600712 |
2 | 29 | 31.5701939800138 | 2.20555902047047 | 24.2242469995157 | 2.57019398001385 |
3 | 29 | 33.5425881519472 | 1.11620146409760 | 23.3412103839552 | 4.54258815194724 |
4 | 25 | 28.8694788550773 | -1.38165105416281 | 22.5121721990855 | 3.86947885507729 |
5 | 16 | 11.3781893906424 | -1.06132340485826 | 21.6831340142159 | -4.62181060935761 |
6 | 18 | 14.9747934490082 | 0.15059111969638 | 20.8746154312954 | -3.02520655099176 |
7 | 13 | 6.29866849866082 | -0.364765347035717 | 20.0660968483749 | -6.70133150133918 |
8 | 22 | 24.5612470895888 | 0.228100451218178 | 19.210652459193 | 2.56124708958881 |
9 | 15 | 11.0965480014072 | 0.548243928581726 | 18.3552080700111 | -3.90345199859284 |
10 | 20 | 22.2003100109309 | 0.159867649668498 | 17.6398223394006 | 2.20031001093086 |
11 | 19 | 22.9404354860675 | -1.86487209485763 | 16.9244366087902 | 3.94043548606748 |
12 | 18 | 19.9393771220751 | -0.576320559842185 | 16.6369434377671 | 1.93937712207510 |
13 | 13 | 8.81018043232506 | 0.840369300930925 | 16.349450266744 | -4.18981956767494 |
14 | 17 | 15.7242072831905 | 2.20555902047047 | 16.0702336963390 | -1.27579271680950 |
15 | 17 | 17.0927814099683 | 1.11620146409760 | 15.7910171259341 | 0.0927814099683495 |
16 | 13 | 12.053103935675 | -1.38165105416281 | 15.3285471184878 | -0.94689606432499 |
17 | 14 | 14.1952462938167 | -1.06132340485826 | 14.8660771110415 | 0.195246293816716 |
18 | 13 | 11.4072364785557 | 0.15059111969638 | 14.4421724017480 | -1.59276352144435 |
19 | 17 | 20.3464976545813 | -0.364765347035717 | 14.0182676924544 | 3.34649765458133 |
20 | 17 | 19.887071561262 | 0.228100451218178 | 13.8848279875198 | 2.88707156126201 |
21 | 15 | 15.7003677888330 | 0.548243928581726 | 13.7513882825852 | 0.700367788833045 |
22 | 9 | 4.1024867022614 | 0.159867649668498 | 13.7376456480701 | -4.8975132977386 |
23 | 10 | 8.14096908130265 | -1.86487209485763 | 13.7239030135550 | -1.85903091869735 |
24 | 9 | 4.82116216267775 | -0.576320559842185 | 13.7551583971644 | -4.17883783732225 |
25 | 14 | 13.3732169182952 | 0.840369300930925 | 13.7864137807739 | -0.626783081704817 |
26 | 18 | 19.9627316093343 | 2.20555902047047 | 13.8317093701952 | 1.96273160933428 |
27 | 18 | 21.0067935762858 | 1.11620146409760 | 13.8770049596166 | 3.00679357628580 |
28 | 12 | 11.4109712676107 | -1.38165105416281 | 13.9706797865521 | -0.58902873238933 |
29 | 16 | 18.9969687913706 | -1.06132340485826 | 14.0643546134877 | 2.99696879137059 |
30 | 12 | 9.82478436563946 | 0.15059111969638 | 14.0246245146642 | -2.17521563436054 |
31 | 19 | 24.3798709311951 | -0.364765347035717 | 13.9848944158407 | 5.37987093119506 |
32 | 13 | 12.1706205887349 | 0.228100451218178 | 13.6012789600469 | -0.829379411265082 |
33 | 12 | 10.2340925671651 | 0.548243928581726 | 13.2176635042531 | -1.76590743283487 |
34 | 13 | 13.2405024423805 | 0.159867649668498 | 12.599629907951 | 0.240502442380496 |
35 | 11 | 11.8832757832088 | -1.86487209485763 | 11.9815963116489 | 0.88327578320877 |
36 | 10 | 9.22084157086565 | -0.576320559842185 | 11.3554789889765 | -0.77915842913435 |
37 | 16 | 20.4302690327649 | 0.840369300930925 | 10.7293616663042 | 4.43026903276486 |
38 | 12 | 11.5051293298394 | 2.20555902047047 | 10.2893116496901 | -0.494870670160557 |
39 | 6 | 1.03453690282644 | 1.11620146409760 | 9.84926163307596 | -4.96546309717356 |
40 | 8 | 7.76466067885004 | -1.38165105416281 | 9.61699037531277 | -0.235339321149963 |
41 | 6 | 3.67660428730868 | -1.06132340485826 | 9.38471911754958 | -2.32339571269132 |
42 | 8 | 6.56430930496204 | 0.15059111969638 | 9.28509957534158 | -1.43569069503796 |
43 | 8 | 7.17928531390214 | -0.364765347035717 | 9.18548003313358 | -0.820714686097864 |
44 | 9 | 8.42848446598966 | 0.228100451218178 | 9.34341508279216 | -0.571515534010338 |
45 | 13 | 15.9504059389675 | 0.548243928581726 | 9.50135013245074 | 2.95040593896753 |
46 | 8 | 5.91773923402581 | 0.159867649668498 | 9.9223931163057 | -2.08226076597419 |
47 | 11 | 13.5214359946970 | -1.86487209485763 | 10.3434361001607 | 2.52143599469698 |
48 | 8 | 5.77372283002227 | -0.576320559842185 | 10.8025977298199 | -2.22627716997773 |
49 | 10 | 7.8978713395899 | 0.840369300930925 | 11.2617593594792 | -2.10212866041010 |
50 | 15 | 16.1306287569068 | 2.20555902047047 | 11.6638122226227 | 1.13062875690683 |
51 | 12 | 10.8179334501362 | 1.11620146409760 | 12.0658650857662 | -1.18206654986383 |
52 | 13 | 14.9463797994544 | -1.38165105416281 | 12.4352712547084 | 1.94637979945444 |
53 | 12 | 12.2566459812078 | -1.06132340485826 | 12.8046774236505 | 0.256645981207766 |
54 | 15 | 16.6847888683009 | 0.15059111969638 | 13.1646200120027 | 1.68478886830092 |
55 | 13 | 12.8402027466808 | -0.364765347035717 | 13.5245626003549 | -0.159797253319194 |
56 | 13 | 11.9466025348275 | 0.228100451218178 | 13.8252970139544 | -1.05339746517255 |
57 | 16 | 17.3257246438644 | 0.548243928581726 | 14.1260314275538 | 1.32572464386445 |
58 | 14 | 13.5553829184523 | 0.159867649668498 | 14.2847494318792 | -0.444617081547706 |
59 | 12 | 11.4214046586530 | -1.86487209485763 | 14.4434674362046 | -0.578595341346954 |
60 | 15 | 16.1627168699102 | -0.576320559842185 | 14.4136036899320 | 1.16271686991023 |
61 | 14 | 12.7758907554098 | 0.840369300930925 | 14.3837399436593 | -1.22410924459025 |
62 | 19 | 21.7055231024131 | 2.20555902047047 | 14.0889178771164 | 2.70552310241309 |
63 | 16 | 17.0897027253289 | 1.11620146409760 | 13.7940958105735 | 1.08970272532885 |
64 | 16 | 20.0547177613867 | -1.38165105416281 | 13.3269332927761 | 4.05471776138667 |
65 | 11 | 10.2015526298795 | -1.06132340485826 | 12.8597707749787 | -0.798447370120465 |
66 | 13 | 13.3363589311080 | 0.15059111969638 | 12.5130499491957 | 0.336358931107956 |
67 | 12 | 12.1984362236231 | -0.364765347035717 | 12.1663291234126 | 0.198436223623110 |
68 | 11 | 9.84944500990827 | 0.228100451218178 | 11.9224545388736 | -1.15055499009173 |
69 | 6 | -0.226823882916229 | 0.548243928581726 | 11.6785799543345 | -6.22682388291623 |
70 | 9 | 6.2916439988843 | 0.159867649668498 | 11.5484883514472 | -2.7083560011157 |
71 | 6 | 2.44647534629774 | -1.86487209485763 | 11.4183967485599 | -3.55352465370226 |
72 | 15 | 19.0699828717998 | -0.576320559842185 | 11.5063376880424 | 4.06998287179977 |
73 | 17 | 21.5653520715441 | 0.840369300930925 | 11.5942786275249 | 4.56535207154414 |
74 | 13 | 12.0093913608027 | 2.20555902047047 | 11.7850496187269 | -0.990608639197323 |
75 | 12 | 10.9079779259736 | 1.11620146409760 | 11.9758206099288 | -1.09202207402636 |
76 | 13 | 15.3440391989245 | -1.38165105416281 | 12.0376118552384 | 2.34403919892445 |
77 | 10 | 8.96192030431031 | -1.06132340485826 | 12.0994031005479 | -1.03807969568969 |
78 | 14 | 15.9563773345053 | 0.15059111969638 | 11.8930315457983 | 1.95637733450528 |
79 | 13 | 14.678105355987 | -0.364765347035717 | 11.6866599910487 | 1.67810535598699 |
80 | 10 | 8.35832194694586 | 0.228100451218178 | 11.4135776018360 | -1.64167805305414 |
81 | 11 | 10.3112608587951 | 0.548243928581726 | 11.1404952126232 | -0.688739141204918 |
82 | 12 | 12.9180871161313 | 0.159867649668498 | 10.9220452342002 | 0.918087116131304 |
83 | 7 | 5.16127683908043 | -1.86487209485763 | 10.7035952557772 | -1.83872316091957 |
84 | 11 | 12.0673947883771 | -0.576320559842185 | 10.5089257714651 | 1.06739478837708 |
85 | 9 | 6.84537441191606 | 0.840369300930925 | 10.3142562871530 | -2.15462558808394 |
86 | 13 | 13.6924385704528 | 2.20555902047047 | 10.1020024090768 | 0.692438570452763 |
87 | 12 | 12.9940500049019 | 1.11620146409760 | 9.88974853100051 | 0.994050004901887 |
88 | 5 | 1.84731807802191 | -1.38165105416281 | 9.5343329761409 | -3.15268192197809 |
89 | 13 | 17.8824059835770 | -1.06132340485826 | 9.17891742128128 | 4.88240598357698 |
90 | 11 | 13.3115690914744 | 0.15059111969638 | 8.53783978882917 | 2.31156909147445 |
91 | 8 | 8.46800319065864 | -0.364765347035717 | 7.89676215637707 | 0.468003190658642 |
92 | 8 | 8.83938923074823 | 0.228100451218178 | 6.93251031803359 | 0.839389230748233 |
93 | 8 | 9.48349759172817 | 0.548243928581726 | 5.9682584796901 | 1.48349759172817 |
94 | 8 | 10.9441034190456 | 0.159867649668498 | 4.89602893128588 | 2.94410341904562 |
95 | 0 | -1.95892728802402 | -1.86487209485763 | 3.82379938288166 | -1.95892728802402 |
96 | 3 | 3.70806663296536 | -0.576320559842185 | 2.86825392687683 | 0.708066632965358 |
97 | 0 | -2.75307777180292 | 0.840369300930925 | 1.912708470872 | -2.75307777180292 |
98 | -1 | -5.48363789299196 | 2.20555902047047 | 1.27807887252149 | -4.48363789299196 |
99 | -1 | -3.75965073826858 | 1.11620146409760 | 0.64344927417098 | -2.75965073826858 |
100 | -4 | -6.91300488780998 | -1.38165105416281 | 0.294655941972783 | -2.91300488780998 |
101 | 1 | 3.11546079508367 | -1.06132340485826 | -0.0541373902254153 | 2.11546079508367 |
102 | -1 | -2.04160489341302 | 0.15059111969638 | -0.108986226283359 | -1.04160489341302 |
103 | 0 | 0.52860040937702 | -0.364765347035717 | -0.163835062341303 | 0.52860040937702 |
104 | -1 | -2.14055932568515 | 0.228100451218178 | -0.0875411255330258 | -1.14055932568515 |
105 | 6 | 11.4630032601430 | 0.548243928581726 | -0.0112471887247481 | 5.46300326014302 |
106 | 0 | -0.162301795975297 | 0.159867649668498 | 0.00243414630679873 | -0.162301795975297 |
107 | -3 | -4.15124338648071 | -1.86487209485763 | 0.0161154813383456 | -1.15124338648071 |
108 | -3 | -5.475965492561 | -0.576320559842185 | 0.052286052403185 | -2.475965492561 |
109 | 4 | 7.07117407560105 | 0.840369300930925 | 0.0884566234680244 | 3.07117407560105 |
110 | 1 | -0.527424679845944 | 2.20555902047047 | 0.321865659375471 | -1.52742467984594 |
111 | 0 | -1.67147615938052 | 1.11620146409760 | 0.555274695282918 | -1.67147615938052 |
112 | -4 | -7.58852350756102 | -1.38165105416281 | 0.970174561723824 | -3.58852350756102 |
113 | -2 | -4.32375102330647 | -1.06132340485826 | 1.38507442816473 | -2.32375102330647 |
114 | 3 | 3.93928638323596 | 0.15059111969638 | 1.91012249706766 | 0.93928638323596 |
115 | 2 | 1.92959478106513 | -0.364765347035717 | 2.43517056597059 | -0.0704052189348734 |
116 | 5 | 6.85546527119971 | 0.228100451218178 | 2.91643427758211 | 1.85546527119971 |
117 | 6 | 8.05405808222464 | 0.548243928581726 | 3.39769798919363 | 2.05405808222464 |
118 | 6 | 8.06474334035414 | 0.159867649668498 | 3.77538900997736 | 2.06474334035414 |
119 | 3 | 3.71179206409654 | -1.86487209485763 | 4.15308003076109 | 0.71179206409654 |
120 | 4 | 4.32081791813428 | -0.576320559842185 | 4.25550264170791 | 0.320817918134277 |
121 | 7 | 8.80170544641435 | 0.840369300930925 | 4.35792525265472 | 1.80170544641435 |
122 | 5 | 3.51675501146904 | 2.20555902047047 | 4.27768596806049 | -1.48324498853096 |
123 | 6 | 6.68635185243615 | 1.11620146409760 | 4.19744668346625 | 0.686351852436152 |
124 | 1 | -0.87316402548323 | -1.38165105416281 | 4.25481507964604 | -1.87316402548323 |
125 | 3 | 2.74913992903243 | -1.06132340485826 | 4.31218347582582 | -0.250860070967565 |
126 | 6 | 7.46184587288986 | 0.15059111969638 | 4.38756300741376 | 1.46184587288986 |
127 | 0 | -4.09817719196599 | -0.364765347035717 | 4.4629425390017 | -4.09817719196599 |
128 | 3 | 1.22733261207864 | 0.228100451218178 | 4.54456693670318 | -1.77266738792136 |
129 | 4 | 2.82556473701362 | 0.548243928581726 | 4.62619133440466 | -1.17443526298638 |
130 | 7 | 9.10608541281595 | 0.159867649668498 | 4.73404693751555 | 2.10608541281595 |
131 | 6 | 9.02296955423119 | -1.86487209485763 | 4.84190254062645 | 3.02296955423119 |