Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	8.695	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	9.2205	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	9.0496	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	8.7406	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	8.921	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	9.011	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	9.3157	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	9.5786	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	9.6246	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	9.7485	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	9.9431	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	10.1152	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	10.1827	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	9.9777	10.1882	9.7852	10.5913	0.153	0.5107	1	0.5107
110	9.7436	10.2462	9.5511	10.9413	0.0782	0.7755	0.9996	0.5711
111	9.3462	10.2712	9.3753	11.167	0.0215	0.8758	0.9996	0.5767
112	9.2623	10.2823	9.2279	11.3366	0.029	0.9591	0.9943	0.5734
113	9.1505	10.2625	9.0485	11.4765	0.0363	0.9468	0.9783	0.5513
114	8.5794	10.2685	8.8967	11.6403	0.0079	0.9449	0.9133	0.5488
115	8.3245	10.2179	8.7112	11.7247	0.0069	0.9835	0.7972	0.5183
116	8.6538	10.2292	8.6087	11.8498	0.0284	0.9894	0.7677	0.5224
117	8.752	10.1602	8.4309	11.8896	0.0552	0.9561	0.6796	0.4898
118	8.8104	10.1115	8.2727	11.9502	0.0827	0.9263	0.5712	0.4697
119	9.2665	10.0641	8.122	12.0062	0.2104	0.8971	0.4794	0.4523
120	9.0895	10.0671	8.0315	12.1026	0.1733	0.7796	0.4557	0.4557

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
109	0.0202	-0.0207	0	0.0443	0	0
110	0.0346	-0.0491	0.0349	0.2526	0.1485	0.3853
111	0.0445	-0.0901	0.0533	0.8556	0.3842	0.6198
112	0.0523	-0.0992	0.0647	1.0403	0.5482	0.7404
113	0.0604	-0.1084	0.0735	1.2365	0.6859	0.8282
114	0.0682	-0.1645	0.0886	2.853	1.0471	1.0233
115	0.0752	-0.1853	0.1024	3.5851	1.4096	1.1873
116	0.0808	-0.154	0.1089	2.482	1.5437	1.2425
117	0.0868	-0.1386	0.1122	1.9831	1.5925	1.262
118	0.0928	-0.1287	0.1138	1.6928	1.6025	1.2659
119	0.0985	-0.0792	0.1107	0.6361	1.5147	1.2307
120	0.1032	-0.0971	0.1096	0.9556	1.4681	1.2117