Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	1.2732	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	1.3449	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	1.3239	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	1.2785	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	1.305	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	1.319	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	1.365	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	1.4016	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	1.4088	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	1.4268	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	1.4562	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	1.4816	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	1.4914	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	1.4614	1.4799	1.4077	1.5582	0.3216	0.3867	0.9996	0.3867
110	1.4272	1.4833	1.3631	1.6215	0.2128	0.6223	0.9882	0.4545
111	1.3686	1.4892	1.3383	1.6694	0.0947	0.7501	0.9891	0.4906
112	1.3569	1.4957	1.3222	1.7086	0.1007	0.879	0.9604	0.5157
113	1.3406	1.497	1.3051	1.7384	0.1021	0.8723	0.9258	0.5181
114	1.2565	1.4901	1.2831	1.7561	0.0426	0.8646	0.8216	0.4961
115	1.2208	1.4862	1.2653	1.776	0.0363	0.9399	0.7164	0.486
116	1.277	1.4883	1.2534	1.8024	0.0937	0.9525	0.6901	0.4923
117	1.2894	1.4776	1.233	1.8102	0.1337	0.8814	0.6177	0.4676
118	1.3067	1.4681	1.2145	1.8183	0.1833	0.8413	0.5264	0.448
119	1.3898	1.4527	1.1927	1.817	0.3674	0.784	0.4383	0.4176
120	1.3661	1.4443	1.1767	1.8244	0.3435	0.6106	0.404	0.404

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
109	0.027	-0.0125	0	3e-04	0	0
110	0.0475	-0.0379	0.0252	0.0032	0.0017	0.0418
111	0.0617	-0.081	0.0438	0.0146	0.006	0.0776
112	0.0726	-0.0928	0.056	0.0193	0.0093	0.0966
113	0.0823	-0.1045	0.0657	0.0245	0.0124	0.1111
114	0.0911	-0.1567	0.0809	0.0545	0.0194	0.1392
115	0.0995	-0.1786	0.0948	0.0704	0.0267	0.1633
116	0.1077	-0.142	0.1007	0.0446	0.0289	0.1701
117	0.1149	-0.1274	0.1037	0.0354	0.0296	0.1722
118	0.1217	-0.1099	0.1043	0.026	0.0293	0.1711
119	0.1279	-0.0433	0.0988	0.004	0.027	0.1643
120	0.1343	-0.0541	0.0951	0.0061	0.0252	0.1589