Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 508643 | 522556.644549354 | -1583.81376149089 | 496313.169212137 | 13913.6445493536 |
2 | 527568 | 552375.754147494 | -2637.39089156443 | 505397.63674407 | 24807.7541474944 |
3 | 520008 | 520358.250952677 | 5175.64477132048 | 514482.104276003 | 350.25095267687 |
4 | 498484 | 471161.223921275 | 1945.70617417314 | 523861.069904552 | -27322.7760787249 |
5 | 523917 | 507359.408367313 | 7234.55609958649 | 533240.035533101 | -16557.5916326873 |
6 | 553522 | 562402.010777817 | 1856.57998156477 | 542785.409240619 | 8880.01077781664 |
7 | 558901 | 564780.01744136 | 691.199610502914 | 552330.782948136 | 5879.01744136075 |
8 | 548933 | 523988.146067748 | 11839.7927452326 | 562038.06118702 | -24944.8539322524 |
9 | 567013 | 565208.105579335 | -2927.44500523815 | 571745.339425903 | -1804.89442066511 |
10 | 551085 | 527855.912010773 | -7896.7707818405 | 582210.858771068 | -23229.0879892274 |
11 | 588245 | 598150.552294221 | -14336.9304104532 | 592676.378116233 | 9905.55229422066 |
12 | 605010 | 607776.112763144 | 638.898954793995 | 601604.988282062 | 2766.11276314361 |
13 | 631572 | 654194.215313599 | -1583.81376149089 | 610533.598447892 | 22622.2153135987 |
14 | 639180 | 661802.75081208 | -2637.39089156443 | 619194.640079484 | 22622.7508120801 |
15 | 653847 | 674662.673517603 | 5175.64477132048 | 627855.681711076 | 20815.6735176031 |
16 | 657073 | 675113.689251313 | 1945.70617417314 | 637086.604574514 | 18040.6892513129 |
17 | 626291 | 599029.916462462 | 7234.55609958649 | 646317.527437952 | -27261.0835375381 |
18 | 625616 | 594289.15804687 | 1856.57998156477 | 655086.261971566 | -31326.8419531304 |
19 | 633352 | 602157.803884317 | 691.199610502914 | 663854.99650518 | -31194.1961156826 |
20 | 672820 | 660694.286809921 | 11839.7927452326 | 673105.920444847 | -12125.7131900792 |
21 | 691369 | 703308.600620725 | -2927.44500523815 | 682356.844384513 | 11939.6006207247 |
22 | 702595 | 718667.890149673 | -7896.7707818405 | 694418.880632168 | 16072.8901496726 |
23 | 692241 | 692338.013530631 | -14336.9304104532 | 706480.916879822 | 97.0135306308512 |
24 | 718722 | 717134.427026985 | 638.898954793995 | 719670.674018221 | -1587.57297301537 |
25 | 732297 | 733317.38260487 | -1583.81376149089 | 732860.43115662 | 1020.3826048706 |
26 | 721798 | 704737.114460442 | -2637.39089156443 | 741496.276431122 | -17060.8855395576 |
27 | 766192 | 777076.233523056 | 5175.64477132048 | 750132.121705624 | 10884.2335230558 |
28 | 788456 | 822692.611540674 | 1945.70617417314 | 752273.682285152 | 34236.6115406745 |
29 | 806132 | 850614.201035733 | 7234.55609958649 | 754415.242864681 | 44482.2010357325 |
30 | 813944 | 876536.475017298 | 1856.57998156477 | 749494.945001137 | 62592.475017298 |
31 | 788025 | 830784.153251904 | 691.199610502914 | 744574.647137593 | 42759.1532519036 |
32 | 765985 | 788807.79640105 | 11839.7927452326 | 731322.410853717 | 22822.7964010508 |
33 | 702684 | 690225.270435398 | -2927.44500523815 | 718070.17456984 | -12458.7295646017 |
34 | 730159 | 771593.77034751 | -7896.7707818405 | 696621.00043433 | 41434.7703475103 |
35 | 678942 | 697049.104111633 | -14336.9304104532 | 675171.826298821 | 18107.1041116326 |
36 | 672527 | 696224.160763193 | 638.898954793995 | 648190.940282013 | 23697.1607631932 |
37 | 594783 | 569939.759496286 | -1583.81376149089 | 621210.054265205 | -24843.2405037141 |
38 | 594575 | 599910.476689681 | -2637.39089156443 | 591876.914201883 | 5335.47668968141 |
39 | 576299 | 584878.581090118 | 5175.64477132048 | 562543.774138561 | 8579.58109011839 |
40 | 530770 | 527883.668267511 | 1945.70617417314 | 531710.625558316 | -2886.3317324887 |
41 | 524491 | 540869.966922344 | 7234.55609958649 | 500877.47697807 | 16378.9669223437 |
42 | 456590 | 440803.118999261 | 1856.57998156477 | 470520.301019174 | -15786.8810007388 |
43 | 428448 | 416041.675329219 | 691.199610502914 | 440163.125060278 | -12406.3246707811 |
44 | 444937 | 465379.325347728 | 11839.7927452326 | 412654.88190704 | 20442.3253477275 |
45 | 372206 | 362192.806251437 | -2927.44500523815 | 385146.638753802 | -10013.1937485634 |
46 | 317272 | 279766.347861251 | -7896.7707818405 | 362674.42292059 | -37505.6521387493 |
47 | 297604 | 269342.723323075 | -14336.9304104532 | 340202.207087378 | -28261.2766769248 |
48 | 288561 | 251194.286847908 | 638.898954793995 | 325288.814197298 | -37366.7131520921 |
49 | 289287 | 269782.392454273 | -1583.81376149089 | 310375.421307218 | -19504.6075457274 |
50 | 258923 | 216324.990145465 | -2637.39089156443 | 304158.400746099 | -42598.0098545348 |
51 | 255493 | 207868.975043699 | 5175.64477132048 | 297941.38018498 | -47624.0249563005 |
52 | 277992 | 250405.273697659 | 1945.70617417314 | 303633.020128168 | -27586.7263023411 |
53 | 295474 | 274388.783829058 | 7234.55609958649 | 309324.660071356 | -21085.2161709423 |
54 | 291680 | 265688.249048446 | 1856.57998156477 | 315815.170969989 | -25991.7509515538 |
55 | 318736 | 314475.118520875 | 691.199610502914 | 322305.681868622 | -4260.88147912524 |
56 | 338463 | 335387.948885403 | 11839.7927452326 | 329698.258369365 | -3075.05111459712 |
57 | 351963 | 369762.610135131 | -2927.44500523815 | 337090.834870107 | 17799.6101351315 |
58 | 347240 | 356949.942177691 | -7896.7707818405 | 345426.828604149 | 9709.94217769144 |
59 | 347081 | 354736.108072262 | -14336.9304104532 | 353762.822338191 | 7655.10807226179 |
60 | 383486 | 403615.894613786 | 638.898954793995 | 362717.20643142 | 20129.8946137862 |