Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 105 | 102.422855015785 | 8.59240626220917 | 98.9847387220055 | -2.57714498421473 |
2 | 104 | 104.314116871312 | 4.4843638633032 | 99.2015192653845 | 0.314116871312336 |
3 | 109.8 | 110.165378360875 | 10.0163218303621 | 99.4182998087634 | 0.365378360874558 |
4 | 98.6 | 100.861794703048 | -3.30663188332245 | 99.644837180275 | 2.26179470304751 |
5 | 93.5 | 94.2182095813604 | -7.08958413314692 | 99.8713745517865 | 0.718209581360426 |
6 | 98.2 | 100.379982558607 | -4.10597766714644 | 100.125995108539 | 2.17998255860736 |
7 | 88 | 87.2817549476964 | -11.6623706129881 | 100.380615665292 | -0.718245052303573 |
8 | 85.3 | 85.2906310988278 | -15.3354154880396 | 100.644784389212 | -0.00936890117222333 |
9 | 96.8 | 96.7995104129409 | -4.10846352607281 | 100.908953113132 | -0.000489587059121277 |
10 | 98.8 | 93.0333117473989 | 3.45572269637396 | 101.110965556227 | -5.76668825260113 |
11 | 110.3 | 110.227117551855 | 9.05990444882288 | 101.312977999322 | -0.072882448145279 |
12 | 111.6 | 111.70718596393 | 9.99972722221843 | 101.493086813851 | 0.107185963930149 |
13 | 111.2 | 112.13439810941 | 8.59240626220917 | 101.67319562838 | 0.93439810941041 |
14 | 106.9 | 107.530783762247 | 4.4843638633032 | 101.784852374449 | 0.630783762247376 |
15 | 117.6 | 123.287169049119 | 10.0163218303621 | 101.896509120518 | 5.68716904911949 |
16 | 97 | 95.4313417586927 | -3.30663188332245 | 101.87529012463 | -1.56865824130728 |
17 | 97.3 | 99.835513004406 | -7.08958413314692 | 101.854071128741 | 2.5355130044059 |
18 | 98.4 | 99.2568394417539 | -4.10597766714644 | 101.649138225393 | 0.856839441753863 |
19 | 87.6 | 85.418165290944 | -11.6623706129881 | 101.444205322044 | -2.18183470905606 |
20 | 87.4 | 88.9706038322114 | -15.3354154880396 | 101.164811655828 | 1.57060383221138 |
21 | 94.7 | 92.6230455364606 | -4.10846352607281 | 100.885417989612 | -2.07695446353944 |
22 | 101.5 | 98.8112698739006 | 3.45572269637396 | 100.733007429725 | -2.68873012609936 |
23 | 110.4 | 111.159498681339 | 9.05990444882288 | 100.580596869839 | 0.75949868133857 |
24 | 108.4 | 106.102723937606 | 9.99972722221843 | 100.697548840176 | -2.2972760623942 |
25 | 109.7 | 109.993092927278 | 8.59240626220917 | 100.814500810513 | 0.29309292727784 |
26 | 105.2 | 104.724703749069 | 4.4843638633032 | 101.190932387628 | -0.475296250931294 |
27 | 111.1 | 110.616314204895 | 10.0163218303621 | 101.567363964743 | -0.483685795105274 |
28 | 96.2 | 93.5444726641784 | -3.30663188332245 | 102.162159219144 | -2.65552733582163 |
29 | 97.3 | 98.932629659602 | -7.08958413314692 | 102.756954473545 | 1.63262965960195 |
30 | 98.9 | 98.4864064156746 | -4.10597766714644 | 103.419571251472 | -0.413593584325383 |
31 | 91.7 | 90.9801825835894 | -11.6623706129881 | 104.082188029399 | -0.719817416410592 |
32 | 90.9 | 92.4134486245034 | -15.3354154880396 | 104.721966863536 | 1.51344862450341 |
33 | 98.8 | 96.3467178283992 | -4.10846352607281 | 105.361745697674 | -2.45328217160085 |
34 | 111.5 | 113.660120514254 | 3.45572269637396 | 105.884156789372 | 2.1601205142542 |
35 | 119 | 122.533527670107 | 9.05990444882288 | 106.40656788107 | 3.53352767010711 |
36 | 115.3 | 113.95148209176 | 9.99972722221843 | 106.648790686022 | -1.3485179082405 |
37 | 116.3 | 117.116580246817 | 8.59240626220917 | 106.891013490974 | 0.816580246816727 |
38 | 113.6 | 115.830193210144 | 4.4843638633032 | 106.885442926553 | 2.2301932101438 |
39 | 115.1 | 113.303805807506 | 10.0163218303621 | 106.879872362132 | -1.79619419249397 |
40 | 109.7 | 116.11353978577 | -3.30663188332245 | 106.593092097552 | 6.41353978577013 |
41 | 97.6 | 95.9832723001741 | -7.08958413314692 | 106.306311832973 | -1.61672769982586 |
42 | 100.8 | 100.038932458112 | -4.10597766714644 | 105.667045209034 | -0.761067541887627 |
43 | 94 | 94.6345920278927 | -11.6623706129881 | 105.027778585095 | 0.634592027892722 |
44 | 87.2 | 85.6776801722042 | -15.3354154880396 | 104.057735315835 | -1.52231982779583 |
45 | 102.9 | 106.820771479497 | -4.10846352607281 | 103.087692046575 | 3.92077147949738 |
46 | 111.3 | 117.167303017432 | 3.45572269637396 | 101.976974286194 | 5.86730301743164 |
47 | 106.6 | 103.273839025364 | 9.05990444882288 | 100.866256525813 | -3.32616097463625 |
48 | 108.9 | 107.846483204795 | 9.99972722221843 | 99.9537895729869 | -1.0535167952053 |
49 | 108.2 | 108.76627111763 | 8.59240626220917 | 99.0413226201604 | 0.56627111763045 |
50 | 100.2 | 97.5159985023988 | 4.4843638633032 | 98.399637634298 | -2.68400149760117 |
51 | 104 | 100.225725521202 | 10.0163218303621 | 97.7579526484356 | -3.77427447879762 |
52 | 90 | 85.513796329858 | -3.30663188332245 | 97.7928355534645 | -4.48620367014202 |
53 | 87.4 | 84.0618656746535 | -7.08958413314692 | 97.8277184584934 | -3.33813432534647 |
54 | 91.9 | 89.9396794564597 | -4.10597766714644 | 97.9662982106868 | -1.96032054354033 |
55 | 89.3 | 92.1574926501079 | -11.6623706129881 | 98.1048779628802 | 2.85749265010791 |
56 | 81.3 | 79.6063419004749 | -15.3354154880396 | 98.3290735875647 | -1.69365809952511 |
57 | 94.9 | 95.3551943138236 | -4.10846352607281 | 98.5532692122492 | 0.455194313823625 |
58 | 102.6 | 102.884569657467 | 3.45572269637396 | 98.8597076461593 | 0.284569657466733 |
59 | 107.2 | 106.173949471108 | 9.05990444882288 | 99.1661460800694 | -1.0260505288923 |
60 | 114 | 118.470269076017 | 9.99972722221843 | 99.5300037017649 | 4.47026907601669 |