| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 797 | 712.746156799127 | 47.825417874594 | 833.42842532628 | -84.2538432008733 |
| 2 | 840 | 861.724651528597 | -16.099269625205 | 834.374618096608 | 21.7246515285973 |
| 3 | 988 | 1063.10317448963 | 77.5760146434371 | 835.320810866936 | 75.1031744896267 |
| 4 | 819 | 781.982577691397 | 19.9937815776385 | 836.023640730964 | -37.0174223086027 |
| 5 | 831 | 849.461978801919 | -24.1884493969109 | 836.726470594992 | 18.4619788019186 |
| 6 | 904 | 945.423442381555 | 25.3479888751701 | 837.228568743275 | 41.4234423815551 |
| 7 | 814 | 783.384725331435 | 6.88460777700814 | 837.730666891557 | -30.6152746685651 |
| 8 | 798 | 810.337517610217 | -51.8616976125129 | 837.524180002296 | 12.3375176102165 |
| 9 | 828 | 820.690367789851 | -2.00806090288690 | 837.317693113036 | -7.30963221014883 |
| 10 | 789 | 764.328198088699 | -20.0533055737423 | 833.725107485044 | -24.6718019113015 |
| 11 | 930 | 1017.56613922262 | 12.3013389203291 | 830.132521857052 | 87.5661392226189 |
| 12 | 744 | 740.262079554157 | -75.7184193711462 | 823.45633981699 | -3.73792044584343 |
| 13 | 832 | 799.394424348479 | 47.825417874594 | 816.780157776927 | -32.6055756515212 |
| 14 | 826 | 859.756879277821 | -16.099269625205 | 808.342390347384 | 33.7568792778212 |
| 15 | 907 | 936.519362438723 | 77.5760146434371 | 799.90462291784 | 29.5193624387226 |
| 16 | 776 | 741.932509525646 | 19.9937815776385 | 790.073708896715 | -34.0674904743538 |
| 17 | 835 | 913.94565452132 | -24.1884493969109 | 780.24279487559 | 78.9456545213204 |
| 18 | 715 | 634.135219479075 | 25.3479888751701 | 770.516791645755 | -80.8647805209255 |
| 19 | 729 | 690.324603807072 | 6.88460777700814 | 760.79078841592 | -38.6753961929281 |
| 20 | 733 | 767.71310251613 | -51.8616976125129 | 750.148595096383 | 34.7131025161297 |
| 21 | 736 | 734.50165912604 | -2.00806090288690 | 739.506401776846 | -1.49834087395959 |
| 22 | 712 | 715.188956072798 | -20.0533055737423 | 728.864349500944 | 3.18895607279842 |
| 23 | 711 | 691.47636385463 | 12.3013389203291 | 718.222297225041 | -19.5236361453706 |
| 24 | 667 | 700.348217525064 | -75.7184193711462 | 709.370201846082 | 33.348217525064 |
| 25 | 799 | 849.656475658283 | 47.825417874594 | 700.518106467123 | 50.6564756582832 |
| 26 | 661 | 644.244307212295 | -16.099269625205 | 693.85496241291 | -16.7556927877046 |
| 27 | 692 | 619.232166997867 | 77.5760146434371 | 687.191818358696 | -72.7678330021334 |
| 28 | 649 | 596.712719567113 | 19.9937815776385 | 681.293498855249 | -52.2872804328872 |
| 29 | 729 | 806.79327004511 | -24.1884493969109 | 675.395179351801 | 77.7932700451097 |
| 30 | 622 | 550.414493572832 | 25.3479888751701 | 668.237517551998 | -71.5855064271682 |
| 31 | 671 | 674.035536470797 | 6.88460777700814 | 661.079855752195 | 3.03553647079696 |
| 32 | 635 | 671.825378083024 | -51.8616976125129 | 650.036319529489 | 36.8253780830239 |
| 33 | 648 | 659.015277596104 | -2.00806090288690 | 638.992783306783 | 11.0152775961038 |
| 34 | 745 | 885.289241562326 | -20.0533055737423 | 624.764064011416 | 140.289241562326 |
| 35 | 624 | 625.163316363621 | 12.3013389203291 | 610.53534471605 | 1.16331636362111 |
| 36 | 477 | 433.743265255534 | -75.7184193711462 | 595.975154115612 | -43.256734744466 |
| 37 | 710 | 790.759618610231 | 47.825417874594 | 581.414963515175 | 80.7596186102313 |
| 38 | 515 | 475.632535925924 | -16.099269625205 | 570.466733699281 | -39.3674640740763 |
| 39 | 461 | 284.905481473175 | 77.5760146434371 | 559.518503883388 | -176.094518526825 |
| 40 | 590 | 604.299980791732 | 19.9937815776385 | 555.70623763063 | 14.2999807917320 |
| 41 | 415 | 302.29447801904 | -24.1884493969109 | 551.893971377871 | -112.705521980960 |
| 42 | 554 | 520.963355328479 | 25.3479888751701 | 561.68865579635 | -33.0366446715207 |
| 43 | 585 | 591.632052008162 | 6.88460777700814 | 571.48334021483 | 6.63205200816196 |
| 44 | 513 | 480.930790935153 | -51.8616976125129 | 596.93090667736 | -32.0692090648471 |
| 45 | 591 | 561.629587762997 | -2.00806090288690 | 622.37847313989 | -29.3704122370032 |
| 46 | 561 | 485.01159830119 | -20.0533055737423 | 657.041707272552 | -75.9884016988099 |
| 47 | 684 | 663.993719674457 | 12.3013389203291 | 691.704941405214 | -20.0062803255435 |
| 48 | 668 | 685.358696200341 | -75.7184193711462 | 726.359723170806 | 17.3586962003405 |
| 49 | 795 | 781.160077189009 | 47.825417874594 | 761.014504936397 | -13.8399228109909 |
| 50 | 776 | 777.787017127957 | -16.099269625205 | 790.312252497248 | 1.78701712795657 |
| 51 | 1043 | 1188.81398529846 | 77.5760146434371 | 819.6100000581 | 145.813985298463 |
| 52 | 964 | 1073.83533700516 | 19.9937815776385 | 834.170881417201 | 109.835337005160 |
| 53 | 762 | 699.456686620608 | -24.1884493969109 | 848.731762776303 | -62.5433133793916 |
| 54 | 1030 | 1172.19923445834 | 25.3479888751701 | 862.452776666495 | 142.199234458335 |
| 55 | 939 | 994.941601666305 | 6.88460777700814 | 876.173790556687 | 55.941601666305 |
| 56 | 779 | 721.43666751386 | -51.8616976125129 | 888.425030098653 | -57.5633324861406 |
| 57 | 918 | 937.331791262267 | -2.00806090288690 | 900.67626964062 | 19.3317912622670 |
| 58 | 839 | 787.120689881116 | -20.0533055737423 | 910.932615692626 | -51.8793101188838 |
| 59 | 874 | 814.509699335038 | 12.3013389203291 | 921.188961744632 | -59.4903006649616 |
| 60 | 840 | 825.708022960949 | -75.7184193711462 | 930.010396410197 | -14.2919770390507 |
