Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	120.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	117.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	120.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	119.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	98.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	94.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	84.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	84.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	79.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	73.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	74.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	67.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	64.8	66.9062	59.5648	74.6741	0.2976	0.4108	0	0.4108
51	66.5	67.7137	57.3921	78.8885	0.4157	0.6953	0	0.494
52	57.7	67.5699	55.0598	81.3595	0.0803	0.5604	0	0.487
53	53.8	64.1297	50.1902	79.7752	0.0978	0.7897	0	0.3228
54	51.8	61.3817	46.2677	78.6283	0.1381	0.8056	0	0.2329
55	50.9	60.1057	43.8458	78.9246	0.1688	0.8065	2e-04	0.2115
56	49	57.0058	40.0489	76.9484	0.2157	0.7258	0.0033	0.1444
57	48.1	56.9429	38.9362	78.3617	0.2092	0.7663	0.006	0.1602
58	42.6	55.2597	36.5818	77.7762	0.1352	0.7334	0.019	0.1375
59	40.9	53.3822	34.1755	76.8541	0.1486	0.816	0.0481	0.1143
60	43.3	53.7087	33.6054	78.5038	0.2053	0.8444	0.0518	0.1327
61	43.7	51.5637	31.1483	77.0972	0.273	0.7371	0.1063	0.1063

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0592	-0.0315	0	4.4359	0	0
51	0.0842	-0.0179	0.0247	1.4732	2.9546	1.7189
52	0.1041	-0.1461	0.0652	97.4145	34.4412	5.8687
53	0.1245	-0.1611	0.0891	106.7028	52.5066	7.2461
54	0.1434	-0.1561	0.1025	91.8099	60.3673	7.7696
55	0.1597	-0.1532	0.111	84.7442	64.4301	8.0268
56	0.1785	-0.1404	0.1152	64.0935	64.382	8.0238
57	0.1919	-0.1553	0.1202	78.1967	66.1088	8.1307
58	0.2079	-0.2291	0.1323	160.2675	76.5709	8.7505
59	0.2243	-0.2338	0.1424	155.8058	84.4944	9.1921
60	0.2355	-0.1938	0.1471	108.3419	86.6623	9.3093
61	0.2526	-0.1525	0.1476	61.8375	84.5936	9.1975