Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	4.296	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	4.193	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	3.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	2.934	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	2.221	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1.211	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	0.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	0.687	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	0.344	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	0.346	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	0.334	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	0.34	0.3346	0.1886	0.5455	0.4798	0.5021	0	0.5021
51	0.328	0.3387	0.1464	0.6618	0.4741	0.4969	0	0.5114
52	0.344	0.3423	0.119	0.7628	0.4969	0.5267	0	0.5155
53	0.341	0.3479	0.0999	0.8607	0.4894	0.506	0	0.5212
54	0.32	0.3588	0.0872	0.9657	0.4501	0.5229	0.003	0.5319
55	0.314	0.3579	0.0731	1.045	0.4502	0.543	0.0043	0.5271
56	0.325	0.3625	0.0632	1.134	0.462	0.549	0.0645	0.5289
57	0.339	0.3718	0.0561	1.2329	0.4703	0.5424	0.3852	0.5343
58	0.329	0.3675	0.0469	1.2994	0.4678	0.5239	0.2508	0.5281
59	0.48	0.3764	0.042	1.3972	0.4212	0.5362	0.5248	0.5324
60	0.399	0.3763	0.0359	1.4724	0.4838	0.4265	0.5216	0.5302
61	0.37	0.3767	0.0308	1.5481	0.4955	0.4851	0.5285	0.5285

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.3216	0.0163	0	0	0	0
51	0.4867	-0.0316	0.0239	1e-04	1e-04	0.0085
52	0.6266	0.0048	0.0176	0	0	0.007
53	0.7519	-0.0199	0.0182	0	0	0.007
54	0.863	-0.1081	0.0362	0.0015	3e-04	0.0184
55	0.9796	-0.1226	0.0506	0.0019	6e-04	0.0246
56	1.0858	-0.1035	0.0581	0.0014	7e-04	0.0268
57	1.1818	-0.0882	0.0619	0.0011	8e-04	0.0276
58	1.294	-0.1047	0.0666	0.0015	8e-04	0.029
59	1.3838	0.2753	0.0875	0.0107	0.0018	0.0428
60	1.486	0.0603	0.085	5e-04	0.0017	0.0414
61	1.5863	-0.0179	0.0794	0	0.0016	0.0397