Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[48])
36114.74-------
37116.36-------
38117.53-------
39118.82-------
40119.83-------
41119.97-------
42121.29-------
43120.94-------
44121.02-------
45120.98-------
46121.02-------
47120.89-------
48120.76-------
49123.28122.0834121.2213122.94560.00330.998710.9987
50123.98123.5112122.4105124.61190.20190.659711
51125.91124.3911122.9894125.79270.01680.717311
52125.84124.6325123.0155126.24940.07160.060711
53125.98124.78122.9524126.60760.09910.127811
54127.24125.2403123.2323127.24830.02550.23510.99991
55127.23125.1277122.9494127.30590.02930.02870.99991
56127.82125.1519122.8181127.48570.01250.04050.99970.9999
57127.59125.2099122.7289127.6910.030.01960.99960.9998
58127.74125.1011122.4822127.71990.02410.03120.99890.9994
59127.44125.0925122.3417127.84320.04720.02960.99860.999
60127.35125.0796122.2053127.95390.06080.05370.99840.9984


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
490.00360.009801.431800
500.00450.00380.00680.21980.82580.9087
510.00570.01220.00862.30721.31961.1487
520.00660.00970.00891.45821.35421.1637
530.00750.00960.0091.441.37141.1711
540.00820.0160.01023.99871.80931.3451
550.00890.01680.01114.41982.18221.4772
560.00950.02130.01247.11892.79931.6731
570.01010.0190.01315.66473.11771.7657
580.01070.02110.01396.9643.50231.8714
590.01120.01880.01445.51093.68491.9196
600.01170.01820.01475.15463.80741.9513