Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	114.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	116.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	117.53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	118.82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	119.83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	119.97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	121.29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	120.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	121.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	120.98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	121.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	120.89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	120.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	123.28	121.3447	120.2729	122.4165	2e-04	0.8575	1	0.8575
50	123.98	121.402	119.674	123.1299	0.0017	0.0166	1	0.7667
51	125.91	121.827	119.4268	124.2273	4e-04	0.0394	0.993	0.8082
52	125.84	122.2453	119.2386	125.2519	0.0096	0.0084	0.9423	0.8335
53	125.98	122.2574	118.6915	125.8233	0.0204	0.0245	0.8957	0.7948
54	127.24	122.8381	118.7608	126.9155	0.0172	0.0655	0.7716	0.8411
55	127.23	122.6758	118.127	127.2246	0.0249	0.0246	0.7727	0.7955
56	127.82	122.7192	117.7339	127.7046	0.0225	0.0381	0.748	0.7794
57	127.59	122.6627	117.2704	128.055	0.0366	0.0304	0.7296	0.7554
58	127.74	122.6702	116.8963	128.4441	0.0426	0.0475	0.7123	0.7416
59	127.44	122.5997	116.466	128.7334	0.061	0.0502	0.7076	0.7217
60	127.35	122.5352	116.0605	129.0099	0.0725	0.0688	0.7045	0.7045

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0045	0.0159	0	3.7454	0	0
50	0.0073	0.0212	0.0186	6.6462	5.1958	2.2794
51	0.0101	0.0335	0.0236	16.6705	9.0207	3.0034
52	0.0125	0.0294	0.025	12.9222	9.9961	3.1617
53	0.0149	0.0304	0.0261	13.8579	10.7684	3.2815
54	0.0169	0.0358	0.0277	19.3765	12.2031	3.4933
55	0.0189	0.0371	0.0291	20.7409	13.4228	3.6637
56	0.0207	0.0416	0.0306	26.0177	14.9972	3.8726
57	0.0224	0.0402	0.0317	24.2785	16.0284	4.0036
58	0.024	0.0413	0.0327	25.703	16.9959	4.1226
59	0.0255	0.0395	0.0333	23.4286	17.5807	4.1929
60	0.027	0.0393	0.0338	23.1825	18.0475	4.2482