Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[89])
77	279	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	300	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	324	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	354	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	354	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	360	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	363	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	385	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	412	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	370	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	389	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	395	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	417	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	404	411.768	362.6257	460.9104	0.3783	0.4174	1	0.4174
91	377	413.0123	351.2233	474.8013	0.1267	0.6125	0.9976	0.4497
92	456	412.7164	338.9823	486.4505	0.125	0.8288	0.9407	0.4547
93	478	412.7868	329.104	496.4695	0.0633	0.1557	0.9157	0.4607
94	468	412.77	320.1344	505.4056	0.1213	0.0838	0.8679	0.4643
95	437	412.774	311.9923	513.5557	0.3188	0.1414	0.8335	0.4672
96	432	412.7731	304.453	521.0931	0.364	0.3306	0.6924	0.4695
97	441	412.7733	297.4071	528.1394	0.3158	0.372	0.5052	0.4714
98	449	412.7732	290.767	534.7794	0.2803	0.3251	0.754	0.4729
99	386	412.7732	284.4702	541.0763	0.3413	0.29	0.6418	0.4743
100	396	412.7732	278.4683	547.0782	0.4033	0.652	0.6023	0.4754
101	394	412.7732	272.7233	552.8231	0.3964	0.5928	0.4764	0.4764

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
90	0.0609	-0.0189	0	60.3424	0	0
91	0.0763	-0.0872	0.053	1296.8847	678.6136	26.0502
92	0.0912	0.1049	0.0703	1873.4715	1076.8995	32.8161
93	0.1034	0.158	0.0922	4252.7675	1870.8665	43.2535
94	0.1145	0.1338	0.1005	3050.3509	2106.7634	45.8995
95	0.1246	0.0587	0.0936	586.8992	1853.4527	43.0517
96	0.1339	0.0466	0.0869	369.6755	1641.4845	40.5152
97	0.1426	0.0684	0.0845	796.7479	1535.8924	39.1905
98	0.1508	0.0878	0.0849	1312.3793	1511.0576	38.8723
99	0.1586	-0.0649	0.0829	716.8062	1431.6325	37.8369
100	0.166	-0.0406	0.0791	281.3414	1327.0606	36.4288
101	0.1731	-0.0455	0.0763	352.4343	1245.8417	35.2965