Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 548604 | 543214.858399259 | -9567.47830465812 | 563560.619905399 | -5389.14160074084 |
2 | 563668 | 561168.962159225 | 1721.76984394179 | 564445.267996833 | -2499.03784077521 |
3 | 586111 | 586339.498574205 | 20552.5853375265 | 565329.916088268 | 228.498574205441 |
4 | 604378 | 606684.368375574 | 35958.266637269 | 566113.364987157 | 2306.36837557389 |
5 | 600991 | 606301.842207124 | 28783.34390683 | 566896.813886046 | 5310.84220712376 |
6 | 544686 | 545553.498538309 | -23757.5300625179 | 567576.031524209 | 867.498538308777 |
7 | 537034 | 533210.754652384 | -27398.0038147558 | 568255.249162372 | -3823.24534761626 |
8 | 551531 | 549431.762607737 | -15154.9143988771 | 568785.15179114 | -2099.23739226290 |
9 | 563250 | 567976.578285036 | -10791.6327049442 | 569315.054419908 | 4726.57828503638 |
10 | 574761 | 581919.303230043 | -1482.70110253999 | 569085.397872497 | 7158.30323004338 |
11 | 580112 | 588515.227074315 | 2853.03160059949 | 568855.741325085 | 8403.22707431507 |
12 | 575093 | 584136.975044412 | -1716.74683928251 | 567765.77179487 | 9043.97504441242 |
13 | 557560 | 558011.676040003 | -9567.47830465812 | 566675.802264655 | 451.676040003193 |
14 | 564478 | 562426.215447185 | 1721.76984394179 | 564808.014708874 | -2051.78455281537 |
15 | 580523 | 577553.187509381 | 20552.5853375265 | 562940.227153092 | -2969.81249061867 |
16 | 596594 | 597470.980978125 | 35958.266637269 | 559758.752384606 | 876.980978125357 |
17 | 586570 | 587779.378477051 | 28783.34390683 | 556577.277616119 | 1209.37847705092 |
18 | 536214 | 543876.677665202 | -23757.5300625179 | 552308.852397316 | 7662.67766520171 |
19 | 523597 | 526551.576636242 | -27398.0038147558 | 548040.427178513 | 2954.57663624245 |
20 | 536535 | 545182.619623422 | -15154.9143988771 | 543042.294775455 | 8647.61962342204 |
21 | 536322 | 545391.470332548 | -10791.6327049442 | 538044.162372397 | 9069.47033254756 |
22 | 532638 | 534097.837313636 | -1482.70110253999 | 532660.863788904 | 1459.83731363621 |
23 | 528222 | 526313.40319399 | 2853.03160059949 | 527277.565205411 | -1908.59680601046 |
24 | 516141 | 511833.711495758 | -1716.74683928251 | 522165.035343524 | -4307.28850424156 |
25 | 501866 | 496246.972823021 | -9567.47830465812 | 517052.505481637 | -5619.02717697911 |
26 | 506174 | 497544.550876016 | 1721.76984394179 | 513081.679280042 | -8629.44912398409 |
27 | 517945 | 506226.561584026 | 20552.5853375265 | 509110.853078447 | -11718.4384159739 |
28 | 533590 | 524207.901303189 | 35958.266637269 | 507013.832059542 | -9382.09869681083 |
29 | 528379 | 523057.845052534 | 28783.34390683 | 504916.811040636 | -5321.15494746628 |
30 | 477580 | 474008.676563032 | -23757.5300625179 | 504908.853499486 | -3571.32343696826 |
31 | 469357 | 461211.10785642 | -27398.0038147558 | 504900.895958336 | -8145.89214358025 |
32 | 490243 | 489177.651277906 | -15154.9143988771 | 506463.263120971 | -1065.34872209409 |
33 | 492622 | 488010.002421338 | -10791.6327049442 | 508025.630283606 | -4611.99757866206 |
34 | 507561 | 506246.680986077 | -1482.70110253999 | 510358.020116463 | -1314.31901392271 |
35 | 516922 | 518300.558450081 | 2853.03160059949 | 512690.409949319 | 1378.55845008139 |
36 | 514258 | 514934.236468609 | -1716.74683928251 | 515298.510370674 | 676.236468608782 |
37 | 509846 | 511352.86751263 | -9567.47830465812 | 517906.610792028 | 1506.86751262983 |
38 | 527070 | 531573.206244555 | 1721.76984394179 | 520845.023911503 | 4503.20624455542 |
39 | 541657 | 538977.977631496 | 20552.5853375265 | 523783.437030977 | -2679.02236850373 |
40 | 564591 | 566151.081863908 | 35958.266637269 | 527072.651498823 | 1560.08186390763 |
41 | 555362 | 551578.7901265 | 28783.34390683 | 530361.865966669 | -3783.20987349947 |
42 | 498662 | 486797.638395869 | -23757.5300625179 | 534283.891666648 | -11864.3616041306 |
43 | 511038 | 511268.086448128 | -27398.0038147558 | 538205.917366627 | 230.086448128219 |
44 | 525919 | 523708.345066615 | -15154.9143988771 | 543284.569332262 | -2210.6549333852 |
45 | 531673 | 525774.411407047 | -10791.6327049442 | 548363.221297897 | -5898.58859295293 |
46 | 548854 | 544999.878301141 | -1482.70110253999 | 554190.822801399 | -3854.1216988588 |
47 | 560576 | 558280.5440945 | 2853.03160059949 | 560018.424304901 | -2295.4559055001 |
48 | 557274 | 550525.176751508 | -1716.74683928251 | 565739.570087774 | -6748.8232484915 |
49 | 565742 | 569590.76243401 | -9567.47830465812 | 571460.715870648 | 3848.76243401051 |
50 | 587625 | 597332.983464452 | 1721.76984394179 | 576195.246691606 | 9707.98346445174 |
51 | 619916 | 638349.637149908 | 20552.5853375265 | 580929.777512565 | 18433.6371499082 |
52 | 625809 | 631821.487990055 | 35958.266637269 | 583838.245372676 | 6012.48799005535 |
53 | 619567 | 623603.942860384 | 28783.34390683 | 586746.713232786 | 4036.94286038389 |
54 | 572942 | 580803.304055867 | -23757.5300625179 | 588838.226006651 | 7861.30405586702 |
55 | 572775 | 582018.26503424 | -27398.0038147558 | 590929.738780516 | 9243.2650342402 |
56 | 574205 | 570676.153495563 | -15154.9143988771 | 592888.760903314 | -3528.84650443716 |
57 | 579799 | 575541.849678831 | -10791.6327049442 | 594847.783026113 | -4257.15032116859 |
58 | 590072 | 585058.449586536 | -1482.70110253999 | 596568.251516004 | -5013.55041346408 |
59 | 593408 | 585674.248393505 | 2853.03160059949 | 598288.720005895 | -7733.75160649477 |
60 | 597141 | 596175.917599874 | -1716.74683928251 | 599822.829239409 | -965.082400126266 |
61 | 595404 | 599018.539831736 | -9567.47830465812 | 601356.938472922 | 3614.53983173566 |