Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
5962-------
6058-------
61395825.713190.28690.12440.50.50.5
62495812.3395103.66050.34960.79260.79260.5
6358582.0775113.92250.50.62380.62380.5
644758-6.5737122.57370.36920.50.50.5
654258-14.1956130.19560.3320.61740.61740.5
666258-21.0863137.08630.46050.65410.65410.5
673958-27.423143.4230.33140.46340.46340.5
684058-33.321149.3210.34960.65830.65830.5
697258-38.8606154.86060.38850.64220.64220.5
707058-44.1160.10.40890.39410.39410.5
715458-49.0834165.08340.47080.41310.41310.5
726558-53.8449169.84490.45120.52790.52790.5


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.284-0.3276036100
620.4017-0.15520.24148122114.8661
630.491900.16090147.333312.1381
640.568-0.18970.1681121140.7511.8638
650.6351-0.27590.1897256163.812.7984
660.69570.0690.169516139.166711.7969
670.7514-0.32760.1921361170.857113.0712
680.8033-0.31030.206932419013.784
690.8520.24140.2107196190.666713.8082
700.89810.20690.210314418613.6382
710.942-0.0690.197516170.545513.0593
720.98390.12070.191149160.416712.6656