| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2237 | 0.1282 | 0.4787 |
| (p-val) | (0.0856 ) | (0.3264 ) | (4e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.2462 | 0 | 0.4515 |
| (p-val) | (0.0587 ) | (NA ) | (6e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.4336 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0016 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -56.8325257750343 |
| -419.50288366033 |
| -700.249593398541 |
| 984.05852301488 |
| 487.380270178659 |
| 373.064962553827 |
| 1204.52495321814 |
| -1398.64751922542 |
| -454.381389958605 |
| 1033.22811628433 |
| 351.263508147054 |
| -70.4311784017328 |
| 88.254309688787 |
| 188.951161948330 |
| -1334.88157666166 |
| 2940.33448751041 |
| -2145.38916453091 |
| 748.091868710373 |
| -1564.56175323194 |
| 853.755663796783 |
| 923.975699660805 |
| -2715.72994668837 |
| -3030.19424951826 |
| -1154.20595606673 |
| -1441.18330794192 |
| 1012.67851961508 |
| 113.684848501314 |
| -1320.80726770985 |
| 449.27226630615 |
| 522.268288645952 |
| 925.811029901753 |
| 570.419270264058 |
| -198.545833664735 |
| 1407.34180707079 |
| 2229.76712030003 |
| 3015.89736831457 |
| -158.886858268002 |
| -725.817385822585 |
| 655.239199978512 |
| 864.221433682194 |
| -230.211915954049 |
| -262.682904798174 |
| -832.506709804986 |
| -51.5211907997928 |
| -559.88751532015 |
