Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	120	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	107	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	109	104.5181	99.1646	110.2535	0.0628	0.0628	0.8854	0.0628
51	108	98.2475	91.7383	105.3701	0.0036	0.0015	0.8142	0.0015
52	107	96.1585	88.6364	104.5319	0.0056	0.0028	0.7701	0.0013
53	99	86.7652	79.2928	95.1795	0.0022	0	0.7402	0
54	103	89.8949	81.2672	99.7523	0.0046	0.0351	0.7176	1e-04
55	131	120.2159	106.6541	136.1079	0.0918	0.9831	0.6985	0.9167
56	137	124.407	109.2426	142.4257	0.0854	0.2366	0.6842	0.9531
57	135	121.2635	105.6962	139.9479	0.0748	0.0494	0.6727	0.9009
58	124	112.8866	97.9184	130.9708	0.1142	0.0083	0.6632	0.6632
59	118	108.7012	93.7574	126.8954	0.1582	0.0497	0.655	0.4872
60	121	110.7936	94.8269	130.4393	0.1543	0.2361	0.6475	0.571
61	121	112.8866	95.8989	134.0033	0.2257	0.2257	0.6409	0.6409

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.028	0.0429	0	20.0878	0	0
51	0.037	0.0993	0.0711	95.1113	57.5995	7.5894
52	0.0444	0.1127	0.085	117.539	77.5794	8.8079
53	0.0495	0.141	0.099	149.6907	95.6072	9.7779
54	0.0559	0.1458	0.1083	171.7436	110.8345	10.5278
55	0.0674	0.0897	0.1052	116.2958	111.7447	10.5709
56	0.0739	0.1012	0.1047	158.5846	118.4361	10.8828
57	0.0786	0.1133	0.1057	188.6911	127.218	11.2791
58	0.0817	0.0984	0.1049	123.5084	126.8058	11.2608
59	0.0854	0.0855	0.103	86.4671	122.7719	11.0802
60	0.0905	0.0921	0.102	104.17	121.0808	11.0037
61	0.0954	0.0719	0.0995	65.8278	116.4764	10.7924