Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[82])
70	8850	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	5582	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	6496	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	3255	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	6189	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	6452	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	5099	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	6833	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	7046	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	7739	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	10142	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	16054	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	7721	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	6182	5790.7058	3219.955	8361.4566	0.3827	0.0706	0.5632	0.0706
84	6490	7524.4578	4675.0617	10373.8538	0.2384	0.8221	0.7604	0.4462
85	3704	5437.6149	2334.2019	8541.0279	0.1368	0.2531	0.916	0.0746
86	6235	7367.7702	4210.7422	10524.7982	0.2409	0.9885	0.7679	0.4132
87	4655	6889.782	3576.7524	10202.8115	0.0931	0.6508	0.6022	0.3114
88	5072	6446.6304	2986.8434	9906.4173	0.2181	0.8449	0.7774	0.2352
89	3640	7814.106	4165.5566	11462.6553	0.0125	0.9296	0.7009	0.5199
90	5147	8134.6216	4344.1042	11925.1389	0.0612	0.9899	0.7132	0.5847
91	5703	8287.2774	4358.3182	12216.2366	0.0987	0.9414	0.6078	0.6112
92	11889	10986.0321	6933.1673	15038.8968	0.3312	0.9947	0.6584	0.9428
93	15603	16786.3188	12603.7311	20968.9065	0.2896	0.9891	0.6343	1
94	9589	9479.5591	5171.9377	13787.1804	0.4801	0.0027	0.7882	0.7882

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
83	0.2265	0.0676	0	153111.1595	0	0
84	0.1932	-0.1375	0.1025	1070102.8916	611607.0255	782.0531
85	0.2912	-0.3188	0.1746	3005420.6285	1409544.8932	1187.2426
86	0.2186	-0.1537	0.1694	1283168.3548	1377950.7586	1173.8615
87	0.2453	-0.3244	0.2004	4994250.555	2101210.7179	1449.5554
88	0.2738	-0.2132	0.2025	1889608.6274	2065943.7028	1437.3391
89	0.2382	-0.5342	0.2499	17423160.7355	4259831.8503	2063.936
90	0.2377	-0.3673	0.2646	8925882.6555	4843088.201	2200.7018
91	0.2419	-0.3118	0.2698	6678489.618	5047021.6918	2246.5577
92	0.1882	0.0822	0.2511	815351.1148	4623854.6341	2150.315
93	0.1271	-0.0705	0.2347	1400243.3473	4330799.0625	2081.0572
94	0.2318	0.0115	0.2161	11977.3168	3970897.2504	1992.711