Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	120	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	107	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	109	104.8589	98.9201	110.8658	0.0883	0.0883	0.896	0.0883
51	108	98.8127	90.7444	107.015	0.0141	0.0075	0.8189	0.0075
52	107	96.7967	87.0622	106.7313	0.0221	0.0135	0.7731	0.008
53	99	87.7215	76.7783	98.9453	0.0244	4e-04	0.7421	1e-04
54	103	90.7473	78.4766	103.3598	0.0284	0.0998	0.7198	0.0023
55	131	119.9658	105.7518	134.5253	0.0687	0.9888	0.7033	0.9301
56	137	123.9924	108.568	139.8111	0.0535	0.1926	0.6896	0.9684
57	135	120.9725	104.6	137.8015	0.0512	0.031	0.6782	0.9184
58	124	112.9174	95.8328	130.5366	0.1088	0.007	0.6685	0.6685
59	118	108.8886	91.0464	127.3374	0.1665	0.0542	0.6602	0.4953
60	121	110.9031	92.142	130.3236	0.1541	0.2369	0.6532	0.5762
61	121	112.9174	93.2704	133.2755	0.2182	0.2182	0.647	0.647

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0292	0.0395	0	17.1484	0	0
51	0.0424	0.093	0.0662	84.4069	50.7776	7.1258
52	0.0524	0.1054	0.0793	104.1064	68.5539	8.2797
53	0.0653	0.1286	0.0916	127.2047	83.2166	9.1223
54	0.0709	0.135	0.1003	150.1297	96.5992	9.8285
55	0.0619	0.092	0.0989	121.7547	100.7918	10.0395
56	0.0651	0.1049	0.0998	169.1984	110.5642	10.5149
57	0.071	0.116	0.1018	196.7715	121.3401	11.0154
58	0.0796	0.0981	0.1014	122.8249	121.5051	11.0229
59	0.0864	0.0837	0.0996	83.0178	117.6563	10.847
60	0.0893	0.091	0.0988	101.9478	116.2283	10.7809
61	0.092	0.0716	0.0966	65.3291	111.9867	10.5824