Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 10554.27 | NA | NA | 178.343706597222 | NA |
2 | 10532.54 | NA | NA | 300.574644097223 | NA |
3 | 10324.31 | NA | NA | 73.1373524305562 | NA |
4 | 10695.25 | NA | NA | -82.3670225694447 | NA |
5 | 10827.81 | NA | NA | 78.6737065972228 | NA |
6 | 10872.48 | NA | NA | -127.888897569444 | NA |
7 | 10971.19 | 10555.9852690972 | 10906.5383333333 | -350.553064236112 | 415.204730902778 |
8 | 11145.65 | 10437.2520399306 | 10977.54375 | -540.291710069445 | 708.397960069444 |
9 | 11234.68 | 11041.2398524306 | 11087.5379166667 | -46.2980642361116 | 193.440147569445 |
10 | 11333.88 | 11512.3336024306 | 11217.9008333333 | 294.432769097223 | -178.453602430558 |
11 | 10997.97 | 11549.5434982639 | 11344.5554166667 | 204.988081597221 | -551.57349826389 |
12 | 11036.89 | 11494.7297482639 | 11477.48125 | 17.2484982638883 | -457.83974826389 |
13 | 11257.35 | 11793.3541232639 | 11615.0104166667 | 178.343706597222 | -536.004123263889 |
14 | 11533.59 | 12031.5504774306 | 11730.9758333333 | 300.574644097223 | -497.960477430554 |
15 | 11963.12 | 11914.2381857639 | 11841.1008333333 | 73.1373524305562 | 48.8818142361142 |
16 | 12185.15 | 11908.4833940972 | 11990.8504166667 | -82.3670225694447 | 276.666605902778 |
17 | 12377.62 | 12259.3620399306 | 12180.6883333333 | 78.6737065972228 | 118.257960069444 |
18 | 12512.89 | 12266.0756857639 | 12393.9645833333 | -127.888897569444 | 246.814314236113 |
19 | 12631.48 | 12235.8594357639 | 12586.4125 | -350.553064236112 | 395.620564236113 |
20 | 12268.53 | 12213.0566232639 | 12753.3483333333 | -540.291710069445 | 55.4733767361122 |
21 | 12754.8 | 12872.1444357639 | 12918.4425 | -46.2980642361116 | -117.344435763889 |
22 | 13407.75 | 13335.9415190972 | 13041.50875 | 294.432769097223 | 71.8084809027769 |
23 | 13480.21 | 13331.6959982639 | 13126.7079166667 | 204.988081597221 | 148.51400173611 |
24 | 13673.28 | 13187.8972482639 | 13170.64875 | 17.2484982638883 | 485.382751736111 |
25 | 13239.71 | 13341.2141232639 | 13162.8704166667 | 178.343706597222 | -101.504123263889 |
26 | 13557.69 | 13451.5050607639 | 13150.9304166667 | 300.574644097223 | 106.184939236111 |
27 | 13901.28 | 13216.8669357639 | 13143.7295833333 | 73.1373524305562 | 684.41306423611 |
28 | 13200.58 | 13032.4692274306 | 13114.83625 | -82.3670225694447 | 168.110772569446 |
29 | 13406.97 | 13109.3928732639 | 13030.7191666667 | 78.6737065972228 | 297.577126736111 |
30 | 12538.12 | 12745.5619357639 | 12873.4508333333 | -127.888897569444 | -207.441935763889 |
31 | 12419.57 | 12353.7369357639 | 12704.29 | -350.553064236112 | 65.8330642361107 |
32 | 12193.88 | 11990.9745399306 | 12531.26625 | -540.291710069445 | 202.905460069444 |
33 | 12656.63 | 12186.5031857639 | 12232.80125 | -46.2980642361116 | 470.126814236111 |
34 | 12812.48 | 12139.5015190972 | 11845.06875 | 294.432769097223 | 672.978480902779 |
35 | 12056.67 | 11658.4968315972 | 11453.50875 | 204.988081597221 | 398.17316840278 |
36 | 11322.38 | 11097.7018315972 | 11080.4533333333 | 17.2484982638883 | 224.678168402779 |
37 | 11530.75 | 10889.1724565972 | 10710.82875 | 178.343706597222 | 641.577543402782 |
38 | 11114.08 | 10607.7583940972 | 10307.18375 | 300.574644097223 | 506.321605902778 |
39 | 9181.73 | 9979.36610243056 | 9906.22875 | 73.1373524305562 | -797.636102430557 |
40 | 8614.55 | 9445.58589409722 | 9527.95291666667 | -82.3670225694447 | -831.035894097224 |
41 | 8595.56 | 9278.38578993055 | 9199.71208333333 | 78.6737065972228 | -682.825789930555 |
42 | 8396.2 | 8817.39401909722 | 8945.28291666667 | -127.888897569444 | -421.194019097222 |
43 | 7690.5 | 8394.78193576389 | 8745.335 | -350.553064236112 | -704.281935763887 |
44 | 7235.47 | 8053.57537326389 | 8593.86708333333 | -540.291710069445 | -818.10537326389 |
45 | 7992.12 | 8514.08985243056 | 8560.38791666667 | -46.2980642361116 | -521.969852430555 |
46 | 8398.37 | 8950.64943576389 | 8656.21666666667 | 294.432769097223 | -552.279435763888 |
47 | 8593 | 9005.46141493055 | 8800.47333333333 | 204.988081597221 | -412.461414930554 |
48 | 8679.75 | 8980.76016493056 | 8963.51166666667 | 17.2484982638883 | -301.010164930556 |
49 | 9374.63 | 9333.48245659722 | 9155.13875 | 178.343706597222 | 41.1475434027780 |
50 | 9634.97 | 9704.29922743056 | 9403.72458333333 | 300.574644097223 | -69.3292274305568 |
51 | 9857.34 | 9747.78193576389 | 9674.64458333333 | 73.1373524305562 | 109.558064236111 |
52 | 10238.83 | 9807.35464409722 | 9889.72166666667 | -82.3670225694447 | 431.475355902778 |
53 | 10433.44 | 10121.2324565972 | 10042.55875 | 78.6737065972228 | 312.207543402779 |
54 | 10471.24 | 10044.2015190972 | 10172.0904166667 | -127.888897569444 | 427.038480902778 |
55 | 10214.51 | 9926.46485243056 | 10277.0179166667 | -350.553064236112 | 288.045147569444 |
56 | 10677.52 | NA | NA | -540.291710069445 | NA |
57 | 11052.15 | NA | NA | -46.2980642361116 | NA |
58 | 10500.19 | NA | NA | 294.432769097223 | NA |
59 | 10159.27 | NA | NA | 204.988081597221 | NA |
60 | 10222.24 | NA | NA | 17.2484982638883 | NA |
61 | 10350.4 | NA | NA | NA | NA |