Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[96])
84	62.31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	54.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	57.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	62.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	67.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	67.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	71.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	77.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	70.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	77.13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	83.04	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	92.53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	91.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	91.92	88.7957	68.2363	120.2673	0.4229	0.4344	0.9842	0.4344
98	94.82	90.001	63.3935	137.692	0.4215	0.4686	0.9074	0.4763
99	103.28	86.6975	58.0161	143.3983	0.2833	0.3894	0.802	0.4348
100	110.44	84.8779	54.5402	149.8913	0.2205	0.2895	0.7009	0.4215
101	123.94	82.4904	51.3715	153.6086	0.1267	0.2206	0.6604	0.4025
102	133.05	85.7605	51.2521	171.8467	0.1408	0.1924	0.6288	0.4485
103	133.9	84.2072	49.0632	176.9083	0.1467	0.1509	0.5589	0.4391
104	113.85	83.3896	47.4021	183.7557	0.276	0.162	0.5971	0.4375
105	99.06	83.1584	46.1319	192.4288	0.3877	0.291	0.5431	0.4409
106	72.84	82.0518	44.6174	197.9032	0.4381	0.3868	0.4933	0.4368
107	53.24	83.7035	44.2808	214.1972	0.3236	0.5648	0.4473	0.4537
108	41.58	84.5179	43.6588	228.151	0.279	0.6652	0.4623	0.4623
109	44.86	85.5802	42.8894	248.01	0.3116	0.7023	0.4695	0.4718
110	43.24	84.0818	41.3261	255.5466	0.3203	0.673	0.4512	0.4664
111	46.84	86.3233	41.1274	284.091	0.3478	0.6653	0.4333	0.4797
112	50.85	87.6435	40.6534	310.0051	0.3728	0.6404	0.4204	0.4866
113	57.94	89.664	40.4244	343.807	0.4034	0.6177	0.3958	0.4945
114	68.59	86.6748	38.7305	341.1643	0.4446	0.5876	0.3605	0.4853
115	64.92	87.9662	38.3685	372.6678	0.437	0.5531	0.3759	0.4904
116	72.5	88.669	37.8604	402.0139	0.4597	0.559	0.4374	0.4931
117	67.69	88.8615	37.2401	428.7144	0.4514	0.5376	0.4765	0.494
118	73.19	89.8819	36.8691	467.1636	0.4654	0.5459	0.5353	0.4968
119	77.04	88.3493	35.8591	477.039	0.4773	0.5305	0.5703	0.4938
120	74.67	87.6234	35.0981	496.8281	0.4753	0.5202	0.5873	0.4927

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
97	0.1808	0.0352	0	9.7611	0	0
98	0.2704	0.0535	0.0444	23.223	16.4921	4.061
99	0.3337	0.1913	0.0933	274.9778	102.654	10.1318
100	0.3908	0.3012	0.1453	653.4192	240.3453	15.5031
101	0.4399	0.5025	0.2167	1718.0721	535.8906	23.1493
102	0.5121	0.5514	0.2725	2236.2968	819.2917	28.6233
103	0.5617	0.5901	0.3179	2469.3745	1055.0178	32.481
104	0.6141	0.3653	0.3238	927.8335	1039.1198	32.2354
105	0.6704	0.1912	0.3091	252.8617	951.7578	30.8506
106	0.7204	-0.1123	0.2894	84.8578	865.0678	29.412
107	0.7954	-0.3639	0.2962	928.0238	870.791	29.5092
108	0.8671	-0.508	0.3138	1843.6592	951.8634	30.8523
109	0.9684	-0.4758	0.3263	1658.1363	1006.1921	31.7205
110	1.0404	-0.4857	0.3377	1668.0495	1053.4676	32.4572
111	1.1689	-0.4574	0.3457	1558.9345	1087.1654	32.9722
112	1.2944	-0.4198	0.3503	1353.7611	1103.8276	33.2239
113	1.4461	-0.3538	0.3505	1006.4129	1098.0973	33.1376
114	1.498	-0.2087	0.3426	327.0595	1055.2619	32.4848
115	1.6513	-0.262	0.3384	531.1295	1027.676	32.0574
116	1.803	-0.1824	0.3306	261.4363	989.364	31.4542
117	1.9513	-0.2383	0.3262	448.2308	963.5958	31.0418
118	2.1416	-0.1857	0.3198	278.6207	932.4605	30.5362
119	2.2446	-0.128	0.3115	127.9009	897.4797	29.958
120	2.3827	-0.1478	0.3046	167.7906	867.076	29.4462