| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0842 | -0.1402 | -0.5524 | -0.0422 | -0.1423 | -0.8062 |
| (p-val) | (0.8078 ) | (0.4507 ) | (0.1127 ) | (0.817 ) | (0.354 ) | (8e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.1068 | -0.1326 | -0.57 | 0 | -0.1193 | -1.1696 |
| (p-val) | (0.7466 ) | (0.4699 ) | (0.0911 ) | (NA ) | (0.3195 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | -0.1779 | -0.4643 | 0 | -0.1267 | -0.8538 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.091 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.2785 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | -0.1936 | -0.4747 | 0 | 0 | -1.0002 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0627 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0602 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.5733 | 0 | 0 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0067 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -0.459030557479166 |
| -7.8738842331684 |
| 11.8783753406542 |
| 0.807771640328755 |
| -7.3175708117008 |
| 0.383952458038887 |
| 5.46845223895703 |
| -10.0755503989388 |
| -3.45630720045167 |
| -4.26276805050549 |
| 0.70444499600489 |
| -19.0805823488855 |
| -1.38304264913240 |
| 1.93676603995061 |
| 5.11229154937765 |
| -4.52883829256379 |
| 12.4771480509256 |
| 0.419967650603868 |
| 3.72126160756322 |
| -4.90198710808147 |
| 2.70056544712030 |
| 3.51599897513131 |
| 1.72700188317219 |
| -0.751843444498409 |
| 20.7989058273046 |
| -0.940221495865163 |
| -2.31377228665794 |
| -2.63571315738930 |
| -5.69962071976402 |
| -5.06456545664077 |
| -0.39583386170639 |
| -4.24735203705092 |
| 12.4040117897304 |
| -5.62365127731324 |
| -8.56434742716567 |
| -3.05963258964406 |
| 4.97651532453101 |
| 6.78067895718706 |
| -7.40395213662449 |
| 8.4952688152091 |
| -4.06344582806771 |
| 4.54502749154223 |
| -1.79624391679645 |
| -0.491878642138078 |
| -6.73656215503015 |
| -0.29137589525068 |
| 2.00870146848419 |
| 17.1034537422167 |
| -14.7021515286242 |
| -1.47102397587643 |
| 0.396450768948759 |
| -7.97628372144712 |
| 7.01306739403155 |
| 7.39669354764166 |
| 2.3155935866175 |
| 3.18302541243885 |
| -13.5304707445034 |
| -9.13301151559731 |
| -5.83730907257924 |
| -6.20422953755327 |
| -29.085092891503 |
| 16.5778869461747 |
| 2.92047808628974 |
| 3.68635278055895 |
| 5.32074604340576 |
| -3.40034088984897 |
| -2.12123208455758 |
| -7.19559525493574 |
| -1.06460032139698 |
| -9.11512809808019 |
| -2.82067388567570 |
| -19.6216874218266 |
| -0.228712789431582 |
| 20.0425978669860 |
| 12.9076321862835 |
| -1.37215813241298 |
| -5.03867557672741 |
| 3.15122284095163 |
| -1.49188991019637 |
| 1.96221971880468 |
| 4.44464794442167 |
| 0.752425418414621 |
| 16.3826828310773 |
| 14.798410543312 |
| -5.16001341190647 |
| 9.38081747022465 |
| -10.5495787497232 |
| -2.65594076218971 |
| -5.53592662231587 |
| 2.11628686271662 |
| -1.26977490489535 |
| -9.42878584117265 |
| -11.6726602019390 |
| -3.20658994677866 |
| 1.03250730533833 |
| 0.0299797926556037 |
| -1.14326889531698 |
| -1.51081489650520 |
| 6.49284062200216 |
| 10.8917349803964 |
| 0.370373519694886 |
| -1.50414524697316 |
| 2.73393706894467 |
| 1.30932573847699 |
| 8.17499863099876 |
| -1.70434631753624 |
| -0.847732373889361 |
| -3.2425420525876 |
