Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[64])
60	248705	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	253950	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	251484	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	251093	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	245996	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	252721	253210.8849	248981.0455	257440.7243	0.4102	0.9996	0.366	0.9996
66	248019	248543.0861	243212.2803	253873.8918	0.4236	0.0623	0.1398	0.8255
67	250464	249635.4513	243248.6033	256022.2992	0.3996	0.6901	0.3273	0.868
68	245571	245064.3915	236939.2722	253189.5108	0.4514	0.0964	0.4111	0.4111
69	252690	251350.3193	240892.2664	261808.3722	0.4009	0.8606	0.3986	0.8422
70	250183	247458.0182	235229.2974	259686.739	0.3311	0.2009	0.4642	0.5926
71	253639	248556.3935	234479.2065	262633.5804	0.2396	0.4104	0.3953	0.6393
72	254436	243645.2447	227738.963	259551.5263	0.0918	0.1091	0.4062	0.386
73	265280	250299.9038	231774.2428	268825.5648	0.0565	0.3308	0.4002	0.6756
74	268705	246320.4211	225613.3171	267027.5251	0.0171	0.0364	0.3573	0.5122
75	270643	247315.9921	224537.2514	270094.7329	0.0224	0.0329	0.2932	0.5452
76	271480	242565.5127	217601.8417	267529.1838	0.0116	0.0137	0.1757	0.3938

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
65	0.0085	-0.0019	0	239987.2019	0	0
66	0.0109	-0.0021	0.002	274666.1878	257326.6949	507.2738
67	0.0131	0.0033	0.0025	686493.0281	400382.1393	632.7576
68	0.0169	0.0021	0.0024	256652.1724	364449.6476	603.6967
69	0.0212	0.0053	0.003	1794744.3548	650508.589	806.5411
70	0.0252	0.011	0.0043	7425525.9308	1779678.146	1334.0458
71	0.0289	0.0204	0.0066	25832889.3348	5215851.1729	2283.8238
72	0.0333	0.0443	0.0113	116440400.5687	19118919.8474	4372.5187
73	0.0378	0.0598	0.0167	224403280.7428	41928293.2802	6475.206
74	0.0429	0.0909	0.0241	501069372.405	87842401.1927	9372.4277
75	0.047	0.0943	0.0305	544149296.11	129324846.1852	11372.1083
76	0.0525	0.1192	0.0379	836047572.9789	188218406.7513	13719.2714