Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[64])
60	248705	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	253950	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	251484	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	251093	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	245996	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	252721	253099.1499	249144.1168	256993.3237	0.4245	0.9998	0.3342	0.9998
66	248019	248589.9353	243526.123	253552.636	0.4108	0.0514	0.1265	0.8472
67	250464	249701.0693	243621.0065	255636.5648	0.4005	0.7107	0.3229	0.8894
68	245571	244991.884	237210.9031	252533.2332	0.4402	0.0775	0.3971	0.3971
69	252690	251414.6831	241628.8681	260833.6172	0.3954	0.888	0.3929	0.8703
70	250183	247545.6515	235889.3063	258677.2784	0.3212	0.1825	0.4668	0.6075
71	253639	248613.8854	235275.6338	261272.0884	0.2183	0.404	0.3873	0.6574
72	254436	243677.4045	228282.8717	258155.545	0.0726	0.0887	0.3988	0.3768
73	265280	250393.8482	232894.5597	266747.6007	0.0372	0.314	0.3916	0.7009
74	268705	246424.5276	226487.4736	264865.0976	0.0089	0.0225	0.3448	0.5182
75	270643	247459.1748	225559.0146	267572.8261	0.0119	0.0192	0.2735	0.5567
76	271480	242592.5341	218005.811	264907.0433	0.0056	0.0069	0.1491	0.3825

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
65	0.0078	-0.0015	0	142997.3579	0	0
66	0.0102	-0.0023	0.0019	325967.0726	234482.2152	484.2336
67	0.0121	0.0031	0.0023	582063.1864	350342.539	591.8974
68	0.0157	0.0024	0.0023	335375.3718	346600.7472	588.7281
69	0.0191	0.0051	0.0029	1626433.1548	602567.2287	776.252
70	0.0229	0.0107	0.0042	6955607.06	1661407.2006	1288.9559
71	0.026	0.0202	0.0064	25251776.9583	5031460.0231	2243.0916
72	0.0303	0.0442	0.0112	115747376.6209	18870949.5978	4344.0706
73	0.0333	0.0595	0.0165	221597516.8193	41396123.7336	6433.982
74	0.0382	0.0904	0.0239	496419449.5972	86898456.3199	9321.9342
75	0.0415	0.0937	0.0303	537489752.012	127861301.3828	11307.5772
76	0.0469	0.1191	0.0377	834485684.3159	186746666.6273	13665.5284