Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	160.672	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	152.364	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	144.936	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	122.974	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	94.456	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	82.491	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	84.89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	85.277	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	81.206	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	71.012	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	87.302	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	97.427	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	133.242	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	137.064	136.2314	119.0559	154.5638	0.4645	0.6254	0.0423	0.6254
110	119.042	124.0611	105.4614	144.1706	0.3124	0.1025	0.0209	0.1854
111	116.47	113.312	94.5647	133.7535	0.381	0.2914	0.1771	0.028
112	96.028	85.7413	68.9275	104.3884	0.1398	6e-04	0.1798	0
113	79.281	76.3456	60.0332	94.6162	0.3764	0.0174	0.2549	0
114	73.872	75.4012	58.7363	94.1446	0.4365	0.3425	0.1605	0
115	80.964	76.9448	59.6554	96.4314	0.343	0.6214	0.201	0
116	86.739	80.497	62.3478	100.9615	0.275	0.4822	0.4729	0
117	89.997	76.4445	58.3731	96.9492	0.0976	0.1626	0.6982	0
118	96.292	87.5593	67.6976	109.9723	0.2225	0.4156	0.509	0
119	101.355	94.8754	73.7036	118.7166	0.2971	0.4536	0.4169	8e-04
120	136.543	128.5265	103.1494	156.6917	0.2885	0.9707	0.3714	0.3714

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
109	0.0687	0.0061	0	0.6932	0	0
110	0.0827	-0.0405	0.0233	25.1916	12.9424	3.5976
111	0.092	0.0279	0.0248	9.973	11.9526	3.4573
112	0.111	0.12	0.0486	105.8159	35.4184	5.9513
113	0.1221	0.0384	0.0466	8.6164	30.058	5.4825
114	0.1268	-0.0203	0.0422	2.3385	25.4381	5.0436
115	0.1292	0.0522	0.0436	16.1539	24.1118	4.9104
116	0.1297	0.0775	0.0479	38.9627	25.9682	5.0959
117	0.1369	0.1773	0.0622	183.6695	43.4905	6.5947
118	0.1306	0.0997	0.066	76.26	46.7675	6.8387
119	0.1282	0.0683	0.0662	41.9856	46.3328	6.8068
120	0.1118	0.0624	0.0659	64.2643	47.8271	6.9157