Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	91.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	91.92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	94.82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	103.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	110.44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	123.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	133.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	133.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	113.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	99.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	72.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	53.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	41.58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	44.86	40.6504	31.8652	53.6409	0.2627	0.4442	0	0.4442
110	43.24	42.3598	29.3392	66.4493	0.4715	0.4194	0	0.5253
111	46.84	44.0938	28.2929	78.0535	0.437	0.5197	3e-04	0.5577
112	50.85	46.6711	27.6374	95.1108	0.4329	0.4973	0.0049	0.5816
113	57.94	49.7272	27.5306	115.5431	0.4034	0.4867	0.0136	0.5959
114	68.59	52.4475	27.1786	140.5575	0.3598	0.4514	0.0365	0.5955
115	64.92	52.3022	25.9776	154.9039	0.4048	0.3778	0.0595	0.5811
116	72.5	47.4255	23.271	144.7337	0.3068	0.3623	0.0905	0.5469
117	67.69	43.1413	21.0326	133.8091	0.2978	0.2628	0.1134	0.5135
118	73.19	35.1288	17.6285	101.4789	0.1304	0.1681	0.1326	0.4244
119	77.04	28.0608	14.613	74.3693	0.0191	0.0281	0.1433	0.2836
120	74.67	23.4124	12.5053	58.6679	0.0022	0.0014	0.1562	0.1562

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
109	0.163	0.1036	0	17.7205	0	0
110	0.2901	0.0208	0.0622	0.7748	9.2477	3.041
111	0.3929	0.0623	0.0622	7.5417	8.679	2.946
112	0.5295	0.0895	0.069	17.4628	10.875	3.2977
113	0.6753	0.1652	0.0883	67.4506	22.1901	4.7106
114	0.8571	0.3078	0.1248	260.5804	61.9218	7.869
115	1.0009	0.2412	0.1415	159.2088	75.8199	8.7075
116	1.0468	0.5287	0.1899	628.7323	144.934	12.0389
117	1.0723	0.569	0.232	602.6388	195.7901	13.9925
118	0.9637	1.0835	0.3172	1448.6577	321.0768	17.9186
119	0.842	1.7455	0.447	2398.9572	509.9751	22.5826
120	0.7683	2.1893	0.5922	2627.3453	686.4226	26.1997