Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	91.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	91.92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	94.82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	103.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	110.44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	123.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	133.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	133.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	113.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	99.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	72.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	53.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	41.58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	44.86	34.4947	23.5194	45.47	0.0321	0.1029	0	0.1029
110	43.24	31.5843	12.5114	50.6571	0.1155	0.0862	0	0.1522
111	46.84	33.931	7.4171	60.4448	0.17	0.2457	0	0.2859
112	50.85	36.6748	3.3816	69.9681	0.202	0.2748	0	0.3864
113	57.94	40.372	0.911	79.8329	0.1914	0.3014	0	0.4761
114	68.59	43.919	-1.1736	89.0117	0.1418	0.2711	1e-04	0.5405
115	64.92	46.4256	-3.8403	96.6914	0.2354	0.1937	3e-04	0.5749
116	72.5	39.1376	-15.9128	94.188	0.1175	0.1793	0.0039	0.4654
117	67.69	33.7475	-25.7583	93.2533	0.1318	0.1009	0.0157	0.3982
118	73.19	25.4675	-38.2139	89.1488	0.0709	0.0969	0.0724	0.31
119	77.04	20.099	-47.5184	87.7163	0.0494	0.0619	0.1684	0.2668
120	74.67	16.4111	-54.9357	87.7578	0.0547	0.0479	0.2446	0.2446

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
109	0.1623	0.3005	0	107.4395	0	0
110	0.3081	0.369	0.3348	135.8565	121.648	11.0294
111	0.3987	0.3804	0.35	166.6427	136.6462	11.6896
112	0.4632	0.3865	0.3591	200.936	152.7186	12.3579
113	0.4987	0.4352	0.3743	308.636	183.9021	13.5611
114	0.5238	0.5617	0.4056	608.6567	254.6945	15.9592
115	0.5524	0.3984	0.4045	342.044	267.173	16.3454
116	0.7176	0.8524	0.4605	1113.0521	372.9079	19.3108
117	0.8996	1.0058	0.5211	1152.0943	459.4842	21.4356
118	1.2758	1.8739	0.6564	2277.4379	641.2796	25.3235
119	1.7164	2.833	0.8543	3242.2796	877.7341	29.6266
120	2.2181	3.55	1.0789	3394.105	1087.4317	32.9762