Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	160.672	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	152.364	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	144.936	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	122.974	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	94.456	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	82.491	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	84.89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	85.277	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	81.206	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	71.012	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	87.302	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	97.427	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	133.242	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	137.064	138.5079	121.0743	155.9415	0.4355	0.7231	0.0596	0.7231
110	119.042	125.168	105.5713	144.7647	0.27	0.1171	0.024	0.2097
111	116.47	113.817	93.1809	134.4531	0.4005	0.3099	0.1922	0.0325
112	96.028	84.1285	62.7101	105.5468	0.1381	0.0015	0.1723	0
113	79.281	73.9115	51.793	96.0299	0.3171	0.025	0.2235	0
114	73.872	72.7049	49.9231	95.4867	0.46	0.2858	0.1472	0
115	80.964	74.4774	51.0554	97.8995	0.2936	0.5202	0.1831	0
116	86.739	78.6001	54.5559	102.6442	0.2535	0.4236	0.4159	0
117	89.997	74.2908	49.6406	98.941	0.1059	0.1611	0.6028	0
118	96.292	86.4214	61.1796	111.6633	0.2217	0.3906	0.4727	1e-04
119	101.355	94.1849	68.3642	120.0057	0.2931	0.4365	0.4028	0.0015
120	136.543	130.9585	104.5694	157.3476	0.3392	0.9861	0.4327	0.4327

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
109	0.0642	-0.0104	0	2.0848	0	0
110	0.0799	-0.0489	0.0297	37.5277	19.8063	4.4504
111	0.0925	0.0233	0.0276	7.0383	15.5503	3.9434
112	0.1299	0.1414	0.056	141.5987	47.0624	6.8602
113	0.1527	0.0726	0.0594	28.8319	43.4163	6.5891
114	0.1599	0.0161	0.0521	1.3621	36.4073	6.0338
115	0.1605	0.0871	0.0571	42.0754	37.217	6.1006
116	0.1561	0.1035	0.0629	66.2422	40.8452	6.391
117	0.1693	0.2114	0.0794	246.6847	63.7162	7.9822
118	0.149	0.1142	0.0829	97.428	67.0874	8.1907
119	0.1399	0.0761	0.0823	51.4103	65.6622	8.1032
120	0.1028	0.0426	0.079	31.1866	62.7892	7.924