| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5318 | 0.1418 | 0.2325 | -0.7548 | 0.6177 | -0.3339 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.0063 ) | (0.2558 ) | (0.0524 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0192 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.5936 | 0 | 0.2899 | -0.7483 | 0.6459 | -0.3668 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.0059 ) | (NA ) | (0.0056 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0.0064 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.105593134369899 |
| -1.64658547476712 |
| -2.16501401311538 |
| 3.13138400074599 |
| -14.434759118394 |
| -9.4382051940723 |
| 7.07759113210281 |
| -22.2300509784787 |
| -2.22280211135781 |
| -9.31953401485799 |
| 2.69161646389994 |
| 4.50283451741442 |
| 6.83687246857599 |
| -4.83118850739846 |
| 2.93670441834367 |
| -6.27176659769337 |
| -2.78428669426996 |
| -0.437692482986241 |
| -2.60394111507477 |
| 0.110373369952822 |
| 11.1337908788143 |
| -12.3003554762726 |
| 1.72886450336767 |
| 2.27670071391226 |
| -5.02769894070154 |
| 4.44655472182178 |
| 2.53155499747774 |
| 8.72725285000046 |
| 3.4747251624099 |
| 5.67521885990472 |
| -3.63681431882156 |
| -9.52459419827488 |
| -6.02633599453026 |
| -2.05774334709713 |
| 2.94006599343206 |
| 2.15530825095355 |
| 4.54458667449862 |
| 4.67601860648534 |
| 7.54610262348393 |
| -6.34304333798514 |
| 4.38777178353039 |
| -4.14594878274987 |
| -1.40736073600083 |
| 10.5563077490484 |
| -7.31662142199744 |
| -7.65072350774633 |
| -1.74985614394406 |
| 3.48679277669825 |
| 0.326568157222145 |
| -0.106557963810265 |
| -7.43808803090771 |
| -3.07560314753598 |
| -0.13416456884417 |
| 2.15927354679851 |
| -2.98548747664453 |
| -1.2736798876395 |
| 1.43811078680116 |
| 2.07260454800049 |
| 0.118980781676442 |
| 1.95254829304512 |
| 0.263446874773155 |
| 0.895799102657334 |
| -1.21241436876413 |
| 4.41134818545199 |
| 3.24939055333481 |
| 0.744917126033891 |
| 9.3251988619409 |
| 3.24286503914768 |
| -1.07751809168475 |
| 10.1675912190849 |
| 0.588333159663769 |
| -1.21187425050043 |
| 1.88845122965215 |
| -0.270704108713752 |
| -1.46208278372730 |
| 1.43606304265537 |
| -10.4530546170287 |
| -6.78317051062561 |
| 7.39798472653957 |
| 20.4637592122234 |
| 0.263783586500204 |
| -2.64397605479461 |
| -2.12478006134966 |
| 0.889601242058935 |
| -2.97465675456244 |
