Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	2014.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	1862.83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1905.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1810.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1670.07	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1864.44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	2052.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	2029.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	2070.83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	2293.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	2443.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	2513.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	2466.92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	2502.66	2454.3997	2077.165	2831.6343	0.401	0.4741	0.9989	0.4741
50	2539.91	2451.0103	1841.0201	3061.0004	0.3876	0.4341	0.9602	0.4796
51	2482.6	2450.0927	1656.9104	3243.275	0.468	0.4122	0.9429	0.4834
52	2626.15	2449.8443	1504.417	3395.2717	0.3574	0.4729	0.947	0.4859
53	2656.32	2449.7771	1372.458	3527.0962	0.3535	0.3742	0.8565	0.4876
54	2446.66	2449.7589	1254.7832	3644.7346	0.498	0.3674	0.7429	0.4888
55	2467.38	2449.754	1147.6515	3751.8564	0.4894	0.5019	0.7365	0.4897
56	2462.32	2449.7526	1048.6758	3850.8295	0.493	0.4902	0.702	0.4904
57	2504.58	2449.7523	956.242	3943.2626	0.4713	0.4934	0.5813	0.491
58	2579.39	2449.7522	869.2039	4030.3005	0.4361	0.4729	0.5032	0.4915
59	2649.24	2449.7522	786.7147	4112.7896	0.4071	0.4393	0.4702	0.4919
60	2636.87	2449.7521	708.1281	4191.3762	0.4166	0.4112	0.4923	0.4923

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0784	0.0197	0.0016	2329.0607	194.0884	13.9316
50	0.127	0.0363	0.003	7903.1613	658.5968	25.6631
51	0.1652	0.0133	0.0011	1056.7224	88.0602	9.384
52	0.1969	0.072	0.006	31083.6836	2590.307	50.8951
53	0.2244	0.0843	0.007	42659.9674	3554.9973	59.6238
54	0.2489	-0.0013	1e-04	9.6032	0.8003	0.8946
55	0.2712	0.0072	6e-04	310.6768	25.8897	5.0882
56	0.2918	0.0051	4e-04	157.9385	13.1615	3.6279
57	0.311	0.0224	0.0019	3006.0789	250.5066	15.8274
58	0.3292	0.0529	0.0044	16805.9639	1400.497	37.4232
59	0.3464	0.0814	0.0068	39795.4002	3316.2833	57.5872
60	0.3627	0.0764	0.0064	35013.0905	2917.7575	54.0163