Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	3.1	2.7191	2.0705	3.4558	0.1554	0.3151	0.9502	0.3151
51	3.5	3.096	2.139	4.2295	0.2424	0.4972	0.9921	0.6327
52	3.6	2.9383	1.8235	4.3177	0.1736	0.2124	0.9471	0.5217
53	4.4	3.1447	1.8314	4.8109	0.0699	0.2961	0.9432	0.6133
54	4.1	2.9018	1.5224	4.7223	0.0985	0.0534	0.8822	0.5008
55	5.1	3.2102	1.6314	5.3183	0.0395	0.204	0.9621	0.6135
56	5.8	3.305	1.5934	5.6341	0.0179	0.0655	0.9542	0.6334
57	5.9	3.3433	1.5238	5.8686	0.0236	0.0283	0.9436	0.6346
58	5.4	3.4718	1.5208	6.2168	0.0843	0.0415	0.9476	0.6585
59	5.5	3.4966	1.4539	6.4215	0.0897	0.1011	0.92	0.6553
60	4.8	2.9713	1.0551	5.8579	0.1072	0.043	0.6998	0.5193
61	3.2	2.3136	0.6297	5.0562	0.2632	0.0378	0.3376	0.3376

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.1382	0.1401	0	0.1451	0	0
51	0.1868	0.1305	0.1353	0.1632	0.1542	0.3926
52	0.2395	0.2252	0.1653	0.4379	0.2487	0.4987
53	0.2703	0.3992	0.2237	1.5758	0.5805	0.7619
54	0.3201	0.4129	0.2616	1.4357	0.7515	0.8669
55	0.3351	0.5887	0.3161	3.5714	1.2215	1.1052
56	0.3596	0.7549	0.3788	6.2252	1.9363	1.3915
57	0.3854	0.7647	0.427	6.5366	2.5114	1.5847
58	0.4034	0.5554	0.4413	3.7178	2.6454	1.6265
59	0.4268	0.573	0.4545	4.0136	2.7822	1.668
60	0.4957	0.6155	0.4691	3.3442	2.8333	1.6832
61	0.6048	0.3831	0.4619	0.7857	2.6627	1.6318