Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[72])
60551.45-------
61604.41-------
62625.29-------
63623.56-------
64577.42-------
65572.28-------
66571.69-------
67596.28-------
68560-------
69577.93-------
70606.51-------
71597.31-------
72607.58-------
73648.14607.58568.8022647.63640.02360.50.56160.5
74737.48607.58553.1144664.602800.08160.27140.5
75708.73607.58541.2255677.77030.00241e-040.32770.5
76674.01607.58531.303688.97140.05480.00740.76620.5
77679.9607.58522.6372698.91590.06030.0770.77560.5
78674.93607.58514.864707.96760.09430.0790.75830.5
79663.38607.58507.7672716.3430.15730.11240.58070.5
80665.69607.58501.206724.18280.16430.17410.78810.5
81684.21607.58495.0824731.58510.11290.17920.68030.5
82703.71607.58489.3252738.62090.07520.12590.50640.5
83755.42607.58483.8806745.34410.01770.08570.55810.5
84772.43607.58478.7067751.79650.01250.02230.50.5


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
730.03360.066801645.113600
740.04790.21380.140316874.019259.561896.2266
750.05890.16650.14910231.32259583.48297.8953
760.06830.10930.13914412.94498290.847791.0541
770.07670.1190.13515230.18247678.714787.6283
780.08430.11080.1314536.02257154.932684.5868
790.09130.09180.12543113.646577.605181.1024
800.09790.09560.12173376.77216177.50178.5971
810.10410.12610.12225872.15696143.573978.381
820.110.15820.12589240.97696453.314280.3325
830.11570.24330.136521856.66567853.618988.6206
840.12110.27130.147727175.52259463.777597.2819