Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.157445652416388
beta0.00916996697365402
gamma0.694119859153262


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1314.315.2827457264957-0.982745726495732
1414.615.5184975911223-0.918497591122335
1517.518.2797056114228-0.779705611422848
1617.217.7949734421629-0.594973442162864
1717.217.5926342108219-0.392634210821914
1814.114.3632522043784-0.263252204378409
1910.412.8996940896714-2.49969408967138
206.87.00957560299231-0.209575602992307
214.13.579723736290640.520276263709361
226.55.023868366249181.47613163375082
236.14.89147279857681.20852720142320
246.36.256188913516270.0438110864837329
259.312.1586793020158-2.8586793020158
2616.412.12904188424694.27095811575306
2716.115.78836358786360.311636412136444
281815.58495793908292.41504206091707
2917.615.98067500372641.61932499627360
301413.15244663367630.847553366323726
3110.510.5661496303475-0.0661496303475051
326.96.412350297893320.48764970210668
332.83.53395180909005-0.733951809090051
340.75.35266561425973-4.65266561425973
353.64.10299038614618-0.502990386146184
366.74.518776129281822.18122387071818
3712.59.065110468001513.43488953199849
3814.414.20989865086050.190101349139466
3916.514.91914887517721.58085112482282
4018.716.15553699792772.54446300207229
4119.416.1162744364263.28372556357401
4215.813.11114942019822.68885057980178
4311.310.29545954380981.00454045619018
449.76.65072925254523.04927074745481
452.93.48152454435278-0.58152454435278
460.13.05297293779391-2.95297293779391
472.54.52076233020462-2.02076233020462
486.76.288194592328510.411805407671486
4910.311.3073671284030-1.00736712840301
5011.213.8669057227964-2.66690572279635
5117.414.94739098845652.45260901154354
5220.516.89354596358823.60645403641182
531717.4643278672635-0.464327867263485
5414.213.52626679108850.673733208911457
5510.69.410436345143651.18956365485635
566.16.9931037051144-0.8931037051144


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
571.07652528957599-2.74375536655544.89680594570738
58-0.649783694223311-4.517986888625583.21841950017896
591.82997711226625-2.086420979600635.74637520413314
605.342985219531851.378122130098789.30784830896492
619.471514297931485.4579183156423313.4851102802206
6211.22473221590547.1621375977791315.2873268340317
6315.728653219282311.616796323858519.8405101147061
6417.969400278611913.808019516815622.1307810404082
6515.592361564197811.381197351798419.8035257765972
6612.39438410496568.1331788165719916.6555893933591
678.47458034568724.163078270224312.7860824211501
684.650652573744530.2885998713566719.01270527613238