Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[96])
84	85.65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	85.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	85.89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	86.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	85.49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	85.97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	85.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	86.72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	85.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	83.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	85.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	85.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	84.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	83.13	84.3427	83.0401	85.6454	0.034	0.5436	0.0178	0.5436
98	83.79	84.6948	82.9496	86.4401	0.1548	0.9606	0.0898	0.6834
99	83.7	84.5319	82.6105	86.4533	0.198	0.7754	0.0571	0.6053
100	83.76	84.4543	82.297	86.6116	0.2641	0.7534	0.1734	0.5665
101	83.47	84.3787	81.9408	86.8166	0.2325	0.6905	0.1004	0.5348
102	83.78	84.2854	81.6104	86.9604	0.3556	0.7249	0.1273	0.5045
103	84.83	84.4093	81.5164	87.3022	0.3878	0.6651	0.0587	0.5376
104	84.43	84.1594	81.0437	87.2752	0.4324	0.3366	0.2139	0.4723
105	84.9	84.2619	80.9277	87.5961	0.3538	0.4607	0.5911	0.4981
106	85.36	84.5193	80.9764	88.0622	0.3209	0.4166	0.3033	0.5548
107	85.49	84.4524	80.7061	88.1986	0.2936	0.3174	0.3193	0.538
108	85.29	84.5361	80.5901	88.482	0.354	0.3178	0.5526	0.5526

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
97	0.0079	-0.0144	0	1.4707	0	0
98	0.0105	-0.0107	0.0125	0.8187	1.1447	1.0699
99	0.0116	-0.0098	0.0116	0.6921	0.9939	0.9969
100	0.013	-0.0082	0.0108	0.482	0.8659	0.9305
101	0.0147	-0.0108	0.0108	0.8257	0.8579	0.9262
102	0.0162	-0.006	0.01	0.2554	0.7574	0.8703
103	0.0175	0.005	0.0093	0.177	0.6745	0.8213
104	0.0189	0.0032	0.0085	0.0732	0.5994	0.7742
105	0.0202	0.0076	0.0084	0.4071	0.578	0.7603
106	0.0214	0.0099	0.0086	0.7068	0.5909	0.7687
107	0.0226	0.0123	0.0089	1.0767	0.635	0.7969
108	0.0238	0.0089	0.0089	0.5684	0.6295	0.7934