Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[72])
60	629	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	685	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	617	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	715	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	715	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	629	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	916	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	531	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	357	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	917	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	828	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	708	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	858	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	775	788.4236	679.6316	897.2156	0.4045	0.105	0.9688	0.105
74	785	737.9916	627.7067	848.2764	0.2017	0.2554	0.9842	0.0165
75	1006	795.4814	682.8192	908.1437	1e-04	0.5723	0.9193	0.1384
76	789	703.8427	582.3703	825.315	0.0847	0	0.4286	0.0064
77	734	739.7628	616.9425	862.583	0.4634	0.216	0.9614	0.0296
78	906	864.0019	739.648	988.3558	0.254	0.9798	0.2062	0.5377
79	532	487.1548	360.773	613.5365	0.2434	0	0.2483	0
80	387	378.3821	251.2585	505.5056	0.4471	0.0089	0.6292	0
81	991	830.0506	702.2357	957.8655	0.0068	1	0.0912	0.3341
82	841	791.9632	663.5229	920.4036	0.2271	0.0012	0.2912	0.1568
83	892	701.4414	572.6597	830.2231	0.0019	0.0168	0.4602	0.0086
84	782	759.6901	630.6245	888.7557	0.3674	0.0223	0.0677	0.0677

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
73	0.0704	-0.017	0	180.1937	0	0
74	0.0762	0.0637	0.0404	2209.7923	1194.993	34.5687
75	0.0723	0.2646	0.1151	44318.0624	15569.3495	124.7772
76	0.0881	0.121	0.1166	7251.7705	13489.9547	116.1463
77	0.0847	-0.0078	0.0948	33.2095	10798.6057	103.9163
78	0.0734	0.0486	0.0871	1763.8429	9292.8119	96.3992
79	0.1324	0.0921	0.0878	2011.0958	8252.5667	90.8436
80	0.1714	0.0228	0.0797	74.2687	7230.2795	85.0311
81	0.0786	0.1939	0.0924	25904.714	9305.2166	96.4636
82	0.0827	0.0619	0.0893	2404.6058	8615.1555	92.8179
83	0.0937	0.2717	0.1059	36312.577	11133.103	105.5135
84	0.0867	0.0294	0.0995	497.7306	10246.8219	101.2266