Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[132])
131	362	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
132	405	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
133	417	429.1924	376.6291	481.7556	0.3247	0.8165	0.8165	0.8165
134	391	445.2823	365.1072	525.4574	0.0923	0.7553	0.7553	0.8376
135	419	453.4336	359.2084	547.6589	0.2369	0.903	0.903	0.8431
136	461	454.2531	354.8004	553.7058	0.4471	0.7564	0.7564	0.8341
137	472	450.0035	349.3243	550.6827	0.3342	0.4152	0.4152	0.8095
138	535	443.679	342.8432	544.5148	0.0379	0.291	0.291	0.7739
139	622	437.9091	337.0353	538.7829	2e-04	0.0296	0.0296	0.7387
140	606	434.2844	333.2532	535.3156	4e-04	1e-04	1e-04	0.715
141	508	433.2125	331.5339	534.8911	0.0747	4e-04	4e-04	0.7067
142	461	434.1825	331.0142	537.3508	0.3052	0.0804	0.0804	0.7104
143	390	436.2246	330.7853	541.6639	0.1951	0.3226	0.3226	0.7192
144	432	438.3588	330.3127	546.405	0.4541	0.8098	0.8098	0.7275

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
133	0.0625	-0.0284	0	148.6535	0	0
134	0.0919	-0.1219	0.0752	2946.5699	1547.6117	39.3397
135	0.106	-0.0759	0.0754	1185.6736	1426.9657	37.7752
136	0.1117	0.0149	0.0603	45.5204	1081.6044	32.8878
137	0.1141	0.0489	0.058	483.8444	962.0524	31.017
138	0.116	0.2058	0.0826	8339.5269	2191.6315	46.8149
139	0.1175	0.4204	0.1309	33889.4601	6719.8927	81.975
140	0.1187	0.3954	0.1639	29486.2454	9565.6868	97.8043
141	0.1197	0.1726	0.1649	5593.175	9124.2966	95.5212
142	0.1212	0.0618	0.1546	719.1774	8283.7847	91.0153
143	0.1233	-0.106	0.1502	2136.7177	7724.9604	87.8918
144	0.1258	-0.0145	0.1389	40.4347	7084.5833	84.17