Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[57])
45	2520	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1920	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	2010	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1950	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	2240	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	2370	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	2840	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	2700	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	2980	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	3290	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	3300	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	3000	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	2330	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	2190	1987.3775	1765.7355	2285.5419	0.0914	0.0122	0.6711	0.0122
59	1970	2018.4083	1667.5874	2603.4961	0.4356	0.2827	0.5112	0.1483
60	2170	2002.1923	1566.8749	2875.4629	0.3532	0.5288	0.5466	0.2309
61	2830	2186.2566	1597.9871	3743.6043	0.2089	0.5082	0.473	0.4282
62	3190	2302.2154	1603.6996	4658.9048	0.2302	0.3304	0.4775	0.4908
63	3550	2577.8925	1682.331	7301.3678	0.3433	0.3998	0.4567	0.541
64	3240	2589.9309	1666.5467	8125.9874	0.409	0.367	0.4845	0.5367
65	3450	2785.1279	1723.2733	13111.808	0.4498	0.4656	0.4852	0.5344
66	3570	2981.1764	1780.3064	32174.9169	0.4842	0.4874	0.4917	0.5174
67	3230	3039.0206	1795.7815	65791.5448	0.4976	0.4934	0.4967	0.5088
68	3260	2938.7192	1764.9707	25654.5001	0.4889	0.49	0.4979	0.5209
69	2700	2579.9972	1646.0961	8683.2685	0.4846	0.4136	0.532	0.532

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
58	0.0765	0.102	0	41055.87	0	0
59	0.1479	-0.024	0.063	2343.3655	21699.6178	147.3079
60	0.2225	0.0838	0.0699	28159.4107	23852.8821	154.4438
61	0.3634	0.2945	0.1261	414405.6055	121491.0629	348.5557
62	0.5223	0.3856	0.178	788161.5338	254825.1571	504.8021
63	0.9348	0.3771	0.2112	944992.9857	369853.1285	608.1555
64	1.0906	0.251	0.2168	422589.8005	377386.9388	614.3183
65	1.8917	0.2387	0.2196	442054.9484	385470.44	620.8627
66	4.9963	0.1975	0.2171	346713.2085	381164.081	617.3849
67	10.5352	0.0628	0.2017	36473.1305	346694.9859	588.8081
68	3.9438	0.1093	0.1933	103221.3817	324561.0219	569.7026
69	1.2069	0.0465	0.1811	14400.6622	298714.3253	546.5476