Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[36])
24629-------
25685-------
26617-------
27715-------
28715-------
29629-------
30916-------
31531-------
32357-------
33917-------
34828-------
35708-------
36858-------
37775792.572765.7959819.3480.0992010
38785662.457628.7023696.2117000.99580
391006687.2676654.1687720.3666000.05030
40789650.166616.7897683.5423001e-040
41734723.0601689.6369756.48320.26061e-0410
42906906.0763872.5162939.63640.498210.28110.9975
43532510.3801476.6377544.12260.104600.11550
44387346.4943312.6914380.29710.009400.27120
45991822.4618788.6994856.22420100.0196
46841693.1114659.3792726.84350000
47892714.5729680.5733748.5724000.64760
48782857.1962824.9617889.430800.01720.48050.4805


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
370.0172-0.02220308.774200
380.0260.1850.103615016.79587662.78587.5373
390.02460.46380.2236101590.317538971.9625197.4132
400.02620.21350.221119274.876434047.691184.5202
410.02360.01510.1799119.682227262.0892165.1124
420.0189-1e-040.14990.005822718.4087150.7263
430.03370.04240.1346467.419319539.6959139.7845
440.04980.11690.13241640.712417302.323131.5383
450.02090.20490.140428405.120618535.9671136.1469
460.02480.21340.147721871.050718869.4755137.3662
470.02430.24830.156931480.391820015.9224141.4776
480.0192-0.08770.15115654.469618819.1347137.1829