Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[51])
39	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	-0.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	-0.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	-0.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	10.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	10.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	10.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	19.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	19.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	19.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	13.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	13.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	13.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	10.6	11.12	5.1341	17.106	0.4324	0.1813	0.9999	0.1813
53	10.6	11.12	2.6546	19.5854	0.4521	0.5479	0.9964	0.2599
54	10.6	11.12	0.752	21.488	0.4608	0.5392	0.986	0.2996
55	4.8	7.42	-4.5519	19.3919	0.334	0.3013	0.2844	0.1444
56	4.8	7.42	-5.965	20.805	0.3506	0.6494	0.3052	0.1713
57	4.8	7.42	-7.2425	22.0825	0.3631	0.6369	0.3209	0.1932
58	4.7	3.12	-12.7173	18.9573	0.4225	0.4176	0.022	0.0911
59	4.7	3.12	-13.8108	20.0508	0.4274	0.4274	0.0297	0.106
60	4.7	3.12	-14.8379	21.0779	0.4315	0.4315	0.0378	0.1197
61	-3.9	1.64	-17.2892	20.5693	0.2831	0.3757	0.1021	0.1021
62	-3.9	1.64	-18.1881	21.4681	0.292	0.708	0.1128	0.1128
63	-3.9	1.64	-19.0479	22.3279	0.2998	0.7002	0.1227	0.1227
64	-0.2	1.64	-19.0479	22.3279	0.4308	0.7002	0.198	0.1227
65	-0.2	1.64	-19.0479	22.3279	0.4308	0.5692	0.198	0.1227
66	-0.2	1.64	-19.0479	22.3279	0.4308	0.5692	0.198	0.1227

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
52	0.2746	-0.0468	0	0.2704	0	0
53	0.3884	-0.0468	0.0468	0.2704	0.2704	0.52
54	0.4757	-0.0468	0.0468	0.2704	0.2704	0.52
55	0.8232	-0.3531	0.1233	6.8644	1.9189	1.3852
56	0.9204	-0.3531	0.1693	6.8644	2.908	1.7053
57	1.0082	-0.3531	0.1999	6.8644	3.5674	1.8888
58	2.5898	0.5064	0.2437	2.4964	3.4144	1.8478
59	2.7686	0.5064	0.2766	2.4964	3.2997	1.8165
60	2.9366	0.5064	0.3021	2.4964	3.2104	1.7918
61	5.8889	-3.378	0.6097	30.6917	5.9585	2.441
62	6.1685	-3.378	0.8614	30.6917	8.207	2.8648
63	6.436	-3.378	1.0711	30.6917	10.0807	3.175
64	6.436	-1.122	1.075	3.3856	9.5657	3.0928
65	6.436	-1.122	1.0783	3.3856	9.1243	3.0206
66	6.436	-1.122	1.0813	3.3856	8.7417	2.9566